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British Pound Forecast to Fall Further

David Rodriguez

ssi_gbp-usd_body_Picture_8.png, British Pound Forecast to Fall Further

GBPUSD – Retail FX traders have bought aggressively into British Pound weakness against the US Dollar (ticker: USDOLLAR), and in fact the crowd is now its most net-long since the GBPUSD bottomed near $1.54.

Trade Implications – GBPUSD: Our sentiment-based trading strategies have sold the British Pound versus the USD and Japanese Yen, and such one-sided positioning warns that we may see continued GBP weakness. The risk is that crowd positions tend to be at their most one-sided at key turning points, but such reversals are extremely difficult to predict and only clear in hindsight.

--- Written by David Rodriguez, Quantitative Strategist for DailyFX.com

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