When Should You Buy Allison Transmission Holdings Inc (NYSE:ALSN)?
Allison Transmission Holdings Inc (NYSE:ALSN), a machinery company based in United States, received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the NYSE in the over the last few months, increasing to $45.33 at one point, and dropping to the lows of $38.95. This high level of volatility gives investors the opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at an artificially low price. A question to answer is whether Allison Transmission Holdings’s current trading price of $41.72 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Allison Transmission Holdings’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change. View our latest analysis for Allison Transmission Holdings
What is Allison Transmission Holdings worth?
The stock is currently trading at US$41.72 on the share market, which means it is overvalued by 21% compared to my intrinsic value of $34.62. This means that the opportunity to buy Allison Transmission Holdings at a good price has disappeared! But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Allison Transmission Holdings’s share price is quite volatile, this could mean it can sink lower (or rise even further) in the future, giving us another chance to invest. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.
What kind of growth will Allison Transmission Holdings generate?
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to grow by a double-digit 16.96% over the next couple of years, the outlook is positive for Allison Transmission Holdings. It looks like higher cash flows is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? ALSN’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above its fair value. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe ALSN should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on ALSN for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for ALSN, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Allison Transmission Holdings. You can find everything you need to know about Allison Transmission Holdings in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Allison Transmission Holdings, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
To help readers see pass the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price sensitive company announcements.
The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned.
