When Should You Buy Applied Materials Inc (AMAT)?

Applied Materials Inc (NASDAQ:AMAT) is trading with a trailing P/E of 16.9x, which is lower than the industry average of 36.1x. While AMAT might seem like an attractive stock to buy, it is important to understand the assumptions behind the P/E ratio before you make any investment decisions. Today, I will explain what the P/E ratio is as well as what you should look out for when using it. See our latest analysis for AMAT

Breaking down the P/E ratio

NasdaqGS:AMAT PE PEG Gauge Sep 19th 17
NasdaqGS:AMAT PE PEG Gauge Sep 19th 17

P/E is a popular ratio used for relative valuation. By comparing a stock’s price per share to its earnings per share, we are able to see how much investors are paying for each dollar of the company’s earnings.

Formula

Price-Earnings Ratio = Price per share ÷ Earnings per share

P/E Calculation for AMAT

Price per share = 48.05

Earnings per share = 2.841

∴ Price-Earnings Ratio = 48.05 ÷ 2.841 = 16.9x

On its own, the P/E ratio doesn’t tell you much; however, it becomes extremely useful when you compare it with other similar companies. Ideally, we want to compare the stock’s P/E ratio to the average of companies that have similar characteristics as AMAT, such as size and country of operation. A quick method of creating a peer group is to use companies in the same industry, which is what I will do. Since it is expected that similar companies have similar P/E ratios, we can come to some conclusions about the stock if the ratios are different.

Since AMAT's P/E of 16.9x is lower than its industry peers (36.1x), it means that investors are paying less than they should for each dollar of AMAT's earnings. Therefore, according to this analysis, AMAT is an under-priced stock.

A few caveats

Before you jump to the conclusion that AMAT represents the perfect buying opportunity, it is important to realise that our conclusion rests on two important assertions. The first is that our “similar companies” are actually similar to AMAT. If the companies aren’t similar, the difference in P/E might be a result of other factors. For example, if you accidentally compared higher growth firms with AMAT, then AMAT’s P/E would naturally be lower since investors would reward its peers’ higher growth with a higher price. Alternatively, if you inadvertently compared less risky firms with AMAT, AMAT’s P/E would again be lower since investors would reward its peers’ lower risk with a higher price as well. The second assumption that must hold true is that the stocks we are comparing AMAT to are fairly valued by the market. If this assumption does not hold true, AMAT’s lower P/E ratio may be because firms in our peer group are being overvalued by the market.

NasdaqGS:AMAT Future Profit Sep 19th 17
NasdaqGS:AMAT Future Profit Sep 19th 17

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? If your personal research into the stock confirms what the P/E ratio is telling you, it might be a good time to add more of AMAT to your portfolio. But keep in mind that the usefulness of relative valuation depends on whether you are comfortable with making the assumptions I mentioned above.

Are you a potential investor? If you are considering investing in AMAT, basing your decision on the PE metric at one point in time is certainly not sufficient. I recommend you do additional analysis by looking at its intrinsic valuation and using other relative valuation ratios like PEG or EV/EBITDA.

PE is one aspect of your portfolio construction to consider when holding or entering into a stock. But it is certainly not the only factor. Take a look at our most recent infographic report on Applied Materials for a more in-depth analysis of the stock to help you make a well-informed investment decision. Since we know a limitation of PE is it doesn't properly account for growth, you can use our free platform to see my list of stocks with a high growth potential and see if their PE is still reasonable.


To help readers see pass the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned.

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