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Should You Buy Arrow Financial Corporation (NASDAQ:AROW) At $37.65?

Gabriel Boyd

Arrow Financial Corporation (NASDAQ:AROW), operating in the financial services industry based in United States, saw a decent share price growth in the teens level on the NasdaqGS over the last few months. Less-covered, small caps sees more of an opportunity for mispricing due to the lack of information available to the public, which can be a good thing. So, could the stock still be trading at a low price relative to its actual value? Let’s take a look at Arrow Financial’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists. View our latest analysis for Arrow Financial

What’s the opportunity in Arrow Financial?

According to my valuation model, the stock is currently overvalued by about 50%, trading at US$37.65 compared to my intrinsic value of $25.11. This means that the opportunity to buy Arrow Financial at a good price has disappeared! In addition to this, it seems like Arrow Financial’s share price is quite stable, which could mean two things: firstly, it may take the share price a while to fall back down to an attractive buying range, and secondly, there may be less chances to buy low in the future once it reaches that value. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.

What does the future of Arrow Financial look like?

NasdaqGS:AROW Future Profit May 21st 18

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company’s future expectations. Arrow Financial’s earnings growth are expected to be in the teens in the upcoming year, indicating a solid future ahead. This should lead to robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in AROW’s positive outlook, with shares trading above its fair value. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe AROW should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on AROW for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for AROW, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Arrow Financial. You can find everything you need to know about Arrow Financial in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Arrow Financial, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.


To help readers see pass the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned.