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When Should You Buy Golden Ocean Group Limited (NASDAQ:GOGL)?

Simply Wall St

Golden Ocean Group Limited (NASDAQ:GOGL), which is in the shipping business, and is based in Bermuda, received a lot of attention from a substantial price increase on the NASDAQGS over the last few months. With many analysts covering the stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Let’s examine Golden Ocean Group’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

Check out our latest analysis for Golden Ocean Group

What is Golden Ocean Group worth?

According to my relative valuation model, the stock is currently overvalued. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that Golden Ocean Group’s ratio of 51.18x is above its peer average of 22.32x, which suggests the stock is overvalued compared to the Shipping industry. But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Golden Ocean Group’s share price is quite volatile, this could mean it can sink lower (or rise even further) in the future, giving us another chance to invest. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What does the future of Golden Ocean Group look like?

NasdaqGS:GOGL Past and Future Earnings, September 13th 2019

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. With profit expected to more than double over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Golden Ocean Group. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in GOGL’s positive outlook, with shares trading above its fair value. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe GOGL should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on GOGL for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for GOGL, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Golden Ocean Group. You can find everything you need to know about Golden Ocean Group in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Golden Ocean Group, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.