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Before You Buy POET Technologies Inc (CVE:PTK), Consider Its Volatility

If you own shares in POET Technologies Inc (CVE:PTK) then it’s worth thinking about how it contributes to the volatility of your portfolio, overall. In finance, Beta is a measure of volatility. Volatility is considered to be a measure of risk in modern finance theory. Investors may think of volatility as falling into two main categories. First, we have company specific volatility, which is the price gyrations of an individual stock. Holding at least 8 stocks can reduce this kind of risk across a portfolio. The second sort is caused by the natural volatility of markets, overall. For example, certain macroeconomic events will impact (virtually) all stocks on the market.

Some stocks are more sensitive to general market forces than others. Some investors use beta as a measure of how much a certain stock is impacted by market risk (volatility). While we should keep in mind that Warren Buffett has cautioned that ‘Volatility is far from synonymous with risk’, beta is still a useful factor to consider. To make good use of it you must first know that the beta of the overall market is one. Any stock with a beta of greater than one is considered more volatile than the market, while those with a beta below one are either less volatile or poorly correlated with the market.

View our latest analysis for POET Technologies

What PTK’s beta value tells investors

Given that it has a beta of 1.12, we can surmise that the POET Technologies share price has been fairly sensitive to market volatility (over the last 5 years). If this beta value holds true in the future, POET Technologies shares are likely to rise more than the market when the market is going up, but fall faster when the market is going down. Many would argue that beta is useful in position sizing, but fundamental metrics such as revenue and earnings are more important overall. You can see POET Technologies’s revenue and earnings in the image below.

TSXV:PTK Income Statement Export November 28th 18

Does PTK’s size influence the expected beta?

POET Technologies is a rather small company. It has a market capitalisation of CA$86m, which means it is probably under the radar of most investors. It takes less money to influence the share price of a very small company. This may explain the excess volatility implied by this beta value.

What this means for you:

Since POET Technologies tends to moves up when the market is going up, and down when it’s going down, potential investors may wish to reflect on the overall market, when considering the stock. In order to fully understand whether PTK is a good investment for you, we also need to consider important company-specific fundamentals such as POET Technologies’s financial health and performance track record. I highly recommend you dive deeper by considering the following:

  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for PTK’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for PTK’s outlook.
  2. Past Track Record: Has PTK been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of PTK’s historicals for more clarity.
  3. Other Interesting Stocks: It’s worth checking to see how PTK measures up against other companies on valuation. You could start with this free list of prospective options.

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.