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When Should You Buy Prysmian S.p.A. (BIT:PRY)?

Simply Wall St

Prysmian S.p.A. (BIT:PRY), which is in the electrical business, and is based in Italy, saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the BIT. As a mid-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Prysmian’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.

View our latest analysis for Prysmian

What's the opportunity in Prysmian?

Prysmian appears to be overvalued by 44% at the moment, based on my discounted cash flow valuation. The stock is currently priced at €20.41 on the market compared to my intrinsic value of €14.14. This means that the buying opportunity has probably disappeared for now. But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Given that Prysmian’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

What does the future of Prysmian look like?

BIT:PRY Past and Future Earnings, October 17th 2019

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Prysmian’s earnings over the next few years are expected to double, indicating a very optimistic future ahead. This should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in PRY’s positive outlook, with shares trading above its fair value. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe PRY should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on PRY for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for PRY, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Prysmian. You can find everything you need to know about Prysmian in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Prysmian, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.