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When Should You Buy Vastned Retail NV. (AMS:VASTN)?

Armando Maloney

Vastned Retail NV. (ENXTAM:VASTN), a reits company based in Netherlands, saw significant share price volatility over the past couple of months on the ENXTAM, rising to the highs of €42.4 and falling to the lows of €37.9. This high level of volatility gives investors the opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at an artificially low price. A question to answer is whether Vastned Retail’s current trading price of €41.5 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Vastned Retail’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change. Check out our latest analysis for Vastned Retail

What is Vastned Retail worth?

According to my valuation model, the stock is currently overvalued by about 41%, trading at €41.50 compared to my intrinsic value of €29.49. Not the best news for investors looking to buy! Another thing to keep in mind is that Vastned Retail’s share price is quite stable relative to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta. This means that if you believe the current share price should move towards its intrinsic value over time, a low beta could suggest it is not likely to reach that level anytime soon, and once it’s there, it may be hard to fall back down into an attractive buying range again.

What does the future of Vastned Retail look like?

ENXTAM:VASTN Future Profit May 19th 18

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company’s future expectations. Though in the case of Vastned Retail, it is expected to deliver a highly negative earnings growth in the next few years, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? If you believe VASTN should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. Given the risk from a negative growth outlook, this could be the right time to de-risk your portfolio. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on VASTN for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. Its price has risen beyond its true value, on top of a negative future outlook. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management. Should the price fall in the future, will you be well-informed enough to buy?

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Vastned Retail. You can find everything you need to know about Vastned Retail in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Vastned Retail, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

To help readers see pass the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned.