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At CA$4.78, Is CanWel Building Materials Group Ltd. (TSE:CWX) Worth Looking At Closely?

Scott Perkins

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CanWel Building Materials Group Ltd. (TSE:CWX), which is in the trade distributors business, and is based in Canada, saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the TSX. With many analysts covering the stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Today I will analyse the most recent data on CanWel Building Materials Group’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

View our latest analysis for CanWel Building Materials Group

Is CanWel Building Materials Group still cheap?

According to my valuation model, CanWel Building Materials Group seems to be fairly priced at around 2.8% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy CanWel Building Materials Group today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is CA$4.92, then there isn’t much room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. So, is there another chance to buy low in the future? Given that CanWel Building Materials Group’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us an opportunity to buy later on. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

Can we expect growth from CanWel Building Materials Group?

TSX:CWX Past and Future Earnings, February 25th 2019

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company’s future expectations. However, with a negative profit growth of -19% expected over the next couple of years, near-term growth certainly doesn’t appear to be a driver for a buy decision for CanWel Building Materials Group. This certainty tips the risk-return scale towards higher risk.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? Currently, CWX appears to be trading around its fair value, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to de-risk your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock optimal for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on the stock, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on CWX for a while, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. The price seems to be trading at fair value, which means there’s less benefit from mispricing. Furthermore, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven’t considered today, which can help gel your views on CWX should the price fluctuate below its true value.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on CanWel Building Materials Group. You can find everything you need to know about CanWel Building Materials Group in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in CanWel Building Materials Group, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.