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Was Caisse Régionale de Crédit Agricole Mutuel de Normandie-Seine’s (EPA:CCN) Earnings Decline Part Of A Broader Industry Downturn?

Vernon Smith

Understanding how Caisse Régionale de Crédit Agricole Mutuel de Normandie-Seine (ENXTPA:CCN) is performing as a company requires looking at more than just a years’ earnings. Today I will run you through a basic sense check to gain perspective on how Caisse Régionale de Crédit Agricole Mutuel de Normandie-Seine is doing by comparing its latest earnings with its long-term trend as well as the performance of its banks industry peers. See our latest analysis for Caisse Régionale de Crédit Agricole Mutuel de Normandie-Seine

Did CCN perform worse than its track record and industry?

I use the ‘latest twelve-month’ data, which either annualizes the most recent 6-month earnings update, or in some cases, the most recent annual report is already the latest available financial data. This allows me to assess many different companies on a more comparable basis, using new information. For Caisse Régionale de Crédit Agricole Mutuel de Normandie-Seine, its most recent bottom-line (trailing twelve month) is €92.68M, which, against the previous year’s figure, has dropped by -2.77%. Since these values may be fairly myopic, I’ve determined an annualized five-year figure for Caisse Régionale de Crédit Agricole Mutuel de Normandie-Seine’s net income, which stands at €106.74M This doesn’t look much better, as earnings seem to have steadily been falling over the longer term.

ENXTPA:CCN Income Statement Apr 23rd 18

Why is this? Well, let’s look at what’s occurring with margins and if the whole industry is facing the same headwind. Revenue growth in the last few years, has been positive, nevertheless earnings growth has been deteriorating. This implies that Caisse Régionale de Crédit Agricole Mutuel de Normandie-Seine has been ramping up expenses, which is harming margins and earnings, and is not a sustainable practice. Looking at growth from a sector-level, the FR banks industry has been relatively flat in terms of earnings growth over the previous few years. This shows that any near-term headwind the industry is facing, it’s hitting Caisse Régionale de Crédit Agricole Mutuel de Normandie-Seine harder than its peers.

What does this mean?

Though Caisse Régionale de Crédit Agricole Mutuel de Normandie-Seine’s past data is helpful, it is only one aspect of my investment thesis. Generally companies that face an extended period of diminishing earnings are going through some sort of reinvestment phase Although, if the whole industry is struggling to grow over time, it may be a indicator of a structural change, which makes Caisse Régionale de Crédit Agricole Mutuel de Normandie-Seine and its peers a riskier investment. I suggest you continue to research Caisse Régionale de Crédit Agricole Mutuel de Normandie-Seine to get a better picture of the stock by looking at:

  1. Financial Health: Is CCN’s operations financially sustainable? Balance sheets can be hard to analyze, which is why we’ve done it for you. Check out our financial health checks here.
  2. Valuation: What is CCN worth today? Is the stock undervalued, even when its growth outlook is factored into its intrinsic value? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether CCN is currently mispriced by the market.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the trailing twelve months from 31 December 2017. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.
To help readers see pass the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned.