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Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) Stock Down Despite Q2 Earnings Beat

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated CAKE reported second-quarter fiscal 2021 results, with earnings and revenues beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate as well as increasing on a year-over-year basis. The company benefitted from lifting of indoor dining restrictions and solid off-premise sales.

Despite reporting solid fiscal second-quarter results, shares of the company fell 5.7% during after hours trading session on Jul 27. Negative investor sentiments were witnessed as the company stated cost of sales inflation to be 3% for the back half of the year. Also, the company anticipates increased expenses in terms of business reinvestment and rewards program building.

Earnings & Revenue Discussion

In the quarter under review, adjusted earnings per share came in at 80 cents that beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 75 cents by 6.7%. In the prior-year quarter, the company had reported adjusted loss of 90 cents per share. The upside was primarily driven by improvements in labor and other operating expenses.

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Quote

During fiscal second quarter, total revenues of $769 million surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $748 million by 2.9%. Also, the top line surged 159.9% on a year-over-year basis. The upside can be primarily attributed to the easing of COVID-19 restrictions and solid off-premise sales. During the quarter, off-premise model contributed 27% to total sales. Moreover, off-premise average weekly sales have doubled compared with fiscal 2019 levels.

During the reported quarter, comps at Cheesecake Factory restaurants increased 150% year over year. In the prior-year quarter, the company’s comps had fallen 56.9% year over year. Nonetheless, comps are up 7.8% compared with 2019 levels.

Costs in Detail

Cost of sales, as a percentage of revenues, declined 240 basis points (bps) year over year to 22% in the fiscal second quarter. Labor expenses, as a percentage of total revenues, was 35.7%, down 580 bps from the year-ago quarter’s levels. Other operating costs (as a percentage of total revenues) came in at 25.9%, down 1520 bps from the prior-year quarter’s levels.

General and administrative (G&A) expenses accounted for 6.3% of revenues compared with 12.1% in the prior-year quarter. In fiscal second quarter, pre-opening expenses accounted for 0.4% of revenues, down 30 bps year over year.

Balance Sheet

As of Jun 29, 2021, Cheesecake Factory’s cash and cash equivalents totaled $161.8 million compared with $154.1 million as of Dec 29, 2020. During fiscal second quarter, long-term debt (net of issuance costs) came in at $465 million compared with $280 million as of Dec 29, 2020.

Developmental Details

As of Jun 29, all of company’s restaurants are operating with no indoor dining restrictions.

During fiscal second quarter, the company opened two North Italia restaurants in Miami and San Antonio along with a Flower Child store in Atlanta. It also opened a one Cheesecake Factory restaurant in Shanghai under a licensing agreement. Subsequent to quarter-end, the company opened its second North Italia store in the Nashville area. Nonetheless, the company is on track to achieve its development plan to open as many as 14 new restaurants in 2021.

Other Business Updates

Since the start of fiscal third quarter to Jul 26, 2021, comps at Cheesecake Factory (across all operating models) increased approximately 61% year over year. Moreover, comps increased 10% from 2019 levels. Notably, easing of pandemic-led restrictions coupled with solid off-premise sales contribution, clearly benefitted the company.

Zacks Rank & Other Key Picks

Cheesecake Factory sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

Some other better-ranked stocks in the same space include Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. CBRL, Dine Brands Global, Inc. DIN and Ruth's Hospitality Group, Inc. RUTH, each sporting a Zacks Rank #1.

2021 earnings for Cracker Barrel, Dine Brands and Ruth's Hospitality are expected to surge 163.7%, 269.3% and 381.6%, respectively.


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