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Is Colorado Resources Ltd (CVE:CXO) An Industry Laggard Or Leader?

Sean Barnes

Colorado Resources Ltd (TSXV:CXO), a CA$19.48M small-cap, operates in the basic materials industry which is sensitive to changes in the business cycle, as it supplies materials for construction activities. Basic material analysts are forecasting for the entire industry, a relatively muted growth of 1.32% in the upcoming year , and an overall negative growth rate in the next couple of years. Unsuprisingly, this is below the growth rate of the Canadian stock market as a whole. In this article, I’ll take you through the sector growth expectations, and also determine whether Colorado Resources is a laggard or leader relative to its basic materials sector peers. See our latest analysis for Colorado Resources

What’s the catalyst for Colorado Resources’s sector growth?

TSXV:CXO Past Future Earnings Feb 13th 18

Overall, the basic materials sector seems like it has reached maturity in its life cycle. Companies appear to be highly competitive and consolidation seems to be a inevitable. However, the industry is still facing many emerging trends including the reduction of waste, raw material inflation, and innovation in global supply chain management. Over the past year, the industry saw growth in the forties, beating the Canadian market growth of 12.45%. Colorado Resources lags the pack with its sustained negative earnings over the past couple of years. The company’s outlook seems uncertain, with a lack of analyst coverage, which doesn’t boost our confidence in the stock. This lack of growth and transparency means Colorado Resources may be trading cheaper than its peers.

Is Colorado Resources and the sector relatively cheap?

TSXV:CXO PE PEG Gauge Feb 13th 18

The metals and mining sector’s PE is currently hovering around 11.31x, lower than the rest of the Canadian stock market PE of 16.48x. This means the industry, on average, is relatively undervalued compared to the wider market – a potential mispricing opportunity here! Though, the industry returned a similar 7.39% on equities compared to the market’s 9.20%. Since Colorado Resources’s earnings doesn’t seem to reflect its true value, its PE ratio isn’t very useful. A loose alternative to gauge Colorado Resources’s value is to assume the stock should be relatively in-line with its industry.

Next Steps:

Colorado Resources has been a metals and mining industry laggard in the past year. If Colorado Resources has been on your watchlist for a while, now may be a good time to dig deeper into the stock. Although it delivered lower growth relative to its materials peers in the near term, the market may be pessimistic on the stock, leading to a potential undervaluation. However, before you make a decision on the stock, I suggest you look at Colorado Resources’s fundamentals in order to build a holistic investment thesis.

To help readers see pass the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned.