With QE3 tapering off the table for the time being, the insurance industry – a likely beneficiary of a rising interest rate environment – could see a down phase in the near term as investors foresee a set back in its progression. But the strength that the industry has built up so far should push up the sector ETFs in the long run. So it’s better to look at any short-term price correction pertaining to the no-taper decision as a good entry point. (Read: 3 ETF Winners from No Taper Shocker)
Before zeroing in on the top ETFs in the sector, let us see how the sector is shaping up for the long run.
The U.S. insurance industry continues to move forward with consistent earnings growth and decelerating combined ratios from most of the primary insurers in the first half of 2013. The expectations for the upcoming quarters also signal optimism. The key driver of this betterment is the improvement in premium rates for over a year, after prolonged softness. Further, favorable reserve development and lower catastrophe losses helped insurers show their potency. (Read: Buy these ETFs for the Brighter Insurance Sector Outlook)
The sector is heading toward a favorable pricing cycle and its near-term outlook for pricing power remains upbeat in the wake of rising demand from economically recovering American households. But a dearth of positive catalysts is delaying the recovery process of the insurers. Among the fundamental challenges, weak underwriting gains and low investment yields stand out.
Catastrophe losses further add to the concerns. Though the industry has not witnessed any severe weather disruption as of now, it is braving the peak of the hurricane season (mid-August to late October). So, any active storm, as severe as last year’s Superstorm Sandy, could cause widespread damage and result in billions of insured losses. Notably, insured property losses due to Sandy were much higher than the average over the last decade.
Though insurers are preparing themselves better to withstand significant losses, increased probability of natural catastrophe will continue to raise concerns. Some analysts expect catastrophic losses to double every 10 years and the pace of capacity buildup by the insurers to be insufficient to withstand the resulting insured losses. (Read: 3 ETFs to Buy for Obama's Climate Change Plan)
Moreover, international events such as continued debt crisis in the Eurozone and financial issues in emerging markets will further limit the industry’s growth prospects. (Read: Play a Resurgent Europe with These ETFs)
However, the overall health of the industry has improved somewhat in the recent past riding on the ongoing economic recovery, after enduring pricing pressures and reduced insured exposure since the latest recession. Moreover, learning from past experiences, insurers are resorting to expense saving measures to support bottom-line growth.
Rising premium rates should ultimately translate into margin expansion and mitigate the negative impact of the still low interest rate environment on insurers’ investment income. Further, increasing awareness on the risk of catastrophe, strong underwriting discipline and favorable reserve development in the recent quarters should place the industry at least one step ahead. (Read: 3 Sector ETFs to Profit from Rising Rates)
That said, though the market isn’t soft anymore, it is not likely to harden reasonably until the end of 2013. Moreover, a stressed balance sheet, lack of real employment growth and legislative challenges are threatening insurers’ ability to rebound to the historical growth rate.
Also, limited organic growth opportunities and strict regulatory capital requirements will push the industry more toward consolidation. Insurers are seeking structural economies of scale through mergers and acquisitions to enhance market share. While this will help insurers stay afloat, inter-segment competition will alleviate.
Overall, the industry has been undertaking several structural changes that will make underwriting and pricing schemes more attractive to consumers. Also, improving fundamentals on the back of favorable macroeconomic trends make a number of industry participants appear attractive. (Read: 3 Top Ranked Financial ETFs to Buy Now)
3 Insurance ETFs to Buy Now
While an investor looking to play the insurance sector to benefit from the sector dynamics can directly invest in attractive insurance stocks, an ETF approach can spread out assets among a variety of companies and reduce company-specific risk at nominal cost. (See: All Financials ETFs)
There are only a few choices in this space among which we recommend the following three ETFs that look attractive at this point with a favorable Zacks Rank. (Read: Zacks ETF Rank Guide)
SPDR S&P Insurance ETF (KIE)
KIE closely follows the S&P Insurance Select Industry Index, which is an equal weight index. Launched in August 2005, the product manages $357.7 million in assets, which are currently invested in 48 securities.
The product charges a reasonable 35 basis points per year in fees. It currently pays out a decent dividend that yields 2.21%.
In terms of holdings, about 40% of the assets are invested in the property and casualty insurance sector while life & health account for another 20% of the asset base. Due to the equal-weight methodology, any single security doesn’t account for more than 2.3% of total assets. The fund carries a Zacks ETF Rank #2 (Buy) with a medium level of risk.
iShares U.S. Insurance ETF (IAK)
IAK tracks the Dow Jones U.S. Select Insurance Index – a free-float adjusted market capitalization-weighted index. The product was launched in May 2006 and holds 68 stocks in its basket. It has a moderate dividend yield of 1.50% and charges investors 46 basis points a year in fees. With a medium level of risk, the fund holds a Zacks ETF Rank #2 (Buy).
The ETF is slightly top-holdings focused with more than half of its assets invested in the top 10 securities. From a sector perspective, it is skewed toward property and casualty insurance firms with investments of nearly 50% of the asset base while life insurance companies account for over 34% of its assets.
In terms of individual stocks, AIG accounts for about 12% of the fund’s assets, followed by MetLife with 9% and Prudential Financial with over 6%.
PowerShares KBW Insurance Portfolio (KBWI)
KBWI follows the KBW Insurance index which comprises 24 insurance companies representing approximately three-quarters of the market capitalization. Incepted in November 2005, the product manages assets worth $8.8 million and charges investors just 35 basis points a year in fees. It pays a decent dividend that yields 1.9%.
More than half of its assets are invested in the top 10 of the 27 stocks in its kitty. MetLife occupies the top position with nearly 8% of its assets. The followers are Travelers (nearly 7%) and Prudential Financial (about 6.5%).
It carries a Zacks ETF Rank #2 (Buy) with a low level of risk.
Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report >>
Read the analyst report on KIERead the analyst report on IAKRead the analyst report on KBWIZacks Investment Research
Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report