U.S. markets closed
  • S&P Futures

    3,838.25
    +10.25 (+0.27%)
     
  • Dow Futures

    31,423.00
    +52.00 (+0.17%)
     
  • Nasdaq Futures

    12,827.75
    -4.00 (-0.03%)
     
  • Russell 2000 Futures

    2,191.20
    -8.80 (-0.40%)
     
  • Crude Oil

    63.19
    -0.34 (-0.54%)
     
  • Gold

    1,771.90
    -3.50 (-0.20%)
     
  • Silver

    27.43
    -0.25 (-0.90%)
     
  • EUR/USD

    1.2182
    -0.0004 (-0.04%)
     
  • 10-Yr Bond

    1.5180
    +0.1290 (+9.29%)
     
  • Vix

    28.89
    +7.55 (+35.38%)
     
  • GBP/USD

    1.4016
    +0.0003 (+0.02%)
     
  • USD/JPY

    105.8830
    -0.3470 (-0.33%)
     
  • BTC-USD

    47,448.82
    -3,331.59 (-6.56%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    945.21
    -49.45 (-4.97%)
     
  • FTSE 100

    6,651.96
    -7.01 (-0.11%)
     
  • Nikkei 225

    29,442.62
    -725.65 (-2.41%)
     

Core Molding Technologies, Inc.'s (NYSEMKT:CMT) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.
Simply Wall St
·4 min read
  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.

Core Molding Technologies' (NYSEMKT:CMT) stock is up by a considerable 28% over the past three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Core Molding Technologies' ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

See our latest analysis for Core Molding Technologies

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Core Molding Technologies is:

3.8% = US$3.6m ÷ US$94m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every $1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of $0.04.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Core Molding Technologies' Earnings Growth And 3.8% ROE

It is hard to argue that Core Molding Technologies' ROE is much good in and of itself. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 10%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 61% seen by Core Molding Technologies over the last five years is not surprising. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

However, when we compared Core Molding Technologies' growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 7.1% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

past-earnings-growth
past-earnings-growth

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Core Molding Technologies is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Core Molding Technologies Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Because Core Molding Technologies doesn't pay any dividends, we infer that it is retaining all of its profits, which is rather perplexing when you consider the fact that there is no earnings growth to show for it. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

Conclusion

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Core Molding Technologies' performance. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. You can see the 3 risks we have identified for Core Molding Technologies by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.