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Could the Trade War be Bullish for Stocks?

Tracey Ryniec
  • (0:30) - Predictions for The Continuing Trade War
  • (2:00) - Whats Wrong With The Current Strategy
  • (15:10) - Finding Buying Opportunities: How Will This Impact Investors?
  • (23:20) - Fed Rate Cut, Gold Investing and Brexit
  • (27:00) - Is There A Recession On The Way?
  • (33:05) - Episode Roundup: UNH, CNC, MTZ, BAC, GLD, OZK, BMY


Welcome to Episode #193 of the Zacks Market Edge Podcast.

Every week, host and Zacks stock strategist, Tracey Ryniec, will be joined by guests to discuss the hottest investing topics in stocks, bonds and ETFs and how it impacts your life.

This week, Tracey is joined by John Blank, Zacks Chief Equity Strategist, to talk about the trade war and the economy.

Where could stocks go from here? Where should investors be parking their money?

Gold? Bitcoin? Value stocks?

3 Parts to the Trade War

1.       The intellectual property issues: trademarks, patents, branding etc. The FBI has said there are a thousand cases of theft from China. The two sides need to sit down and figure out improvement.

2.       The trade deficit is about $500 billion. If the US has a $21 trillion economy, that’s about 4% of the US economy.

3.       Must bring down the US deficit.

The Stock Market’s Response

Even with the tariffs and the trade issues as overhang, for the past 18 months, the stock market has been essentially flat. It hasn’t gone up, or down.

Is the pessimism already baked in?

Stocks to Hide Out In

1.       UnitedHealth Group UNH is among the healthcare stocks that have been ignored in 2019. It has a forward P/E of just 15.5 yet it’s supposed to grow earnings by 15% in 2019 and 12.2% in 2020.

2.       Centene CNC is even cheaper than UNH. It has a P/E of just 10.5. But it too has great earnings growth with analysts expecting 25% in 2019 and another 12% in 2012. That gives it a PEG of 0.7 which indicates its both a growth and a value stock.

3.       MasTec MTZ is an infrastructure play in energy and utilities including wind farms and wireless networks. Shares have really popped in 2019, adding 60% year-to-date. But they’re still cheap at just 13x. Earnings are expected to jump 32% in 2019.

4.       Bank of America BAC is also cheap, with a forward P/E of 10. John isn’t a fan of the banks with the Fed cutting though. But investors will get a dividend yielding 2.5% for their patience.

5.       Bristol-Myers Squibb BMY is a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). The drug giant is also cheap with a forward P/E of just 11.2. Investors also get a dividend yielding 3.4%.

What else should you know about investing during this period of economic uncertainty?

Listen to this week’s podcast to find out.

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Bank of America Corporation (BAC) : Free Stock Analysis Report
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Centene Corporation (CNC) : Free Stock Analysis Report
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