CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust (FXY) rose 0.5% on Monday to reverse a seven-day losing streak. A continued bounce would catch many off-guard since sentiment gauges reveal traders are extremely bearish on the yen.
Only 14% of investors are bullish on the Japanese currency, according to a recent Kimble Charting Solutions note, which cited SentimenTrader data.
FXY is down 11% the past three months and its Relative Strength Index (RSI), a technical momentum indicator, is at the lowest level in at least three years.
The currency ETF has nosedived in the wake of incoming Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s recent election victory amid rising speculation the Bank of Japan will announce further monetary easing. [Yen Currency ETF Drops to Fresh Low]
Abe has pledged to pressure the central bank to engage in unlimited quantitative easing to assist the flagging Japanese economy.
The Japanese government will announce around 12 trillion yen ($136 billion) in fiscal stimulus measures to boost the nation’s shrinking economy, Bloomberg News reported Monday.
However, some Japanese executives “after months of demanding the government take action to weaken the yen, are now warning that such weakness could go too far if the currency loses value too fast and for the wrong reasons, or if it leaves the country exposed to soaring fuel costs that would undermine the economy,” The Wall Street Journal said in a separate report.
CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust
The opinions and forecasts expressed herein are solely those of John Spence, and may not actually come to pass. Information on this site should not be used or construed as an offer to sell, a solicitation of an offer to buy, or a recommendation for any product.