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Deutsche Bank Shares Slip as CFO Projects Lower Revenues

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At an investors’ conference in London, Deutsche Bank’s DB chief financial officer, James von Moltke, left impressions that the corporate and investment bank’s first-quarter 2018 segmental revenues might decline about €450 million from the year-ago quarter, thanks to foreign exchange headwinds and higher funding costs.

Shares of Deutsche Bank dropped to the lowest since November 2016 on Mar 21, as Moltke’s comment came less than a week after the bank published its annual report, which included optimistic outlook for full-year trading revenues.

Moltke reflected that euro’s gain against the dollar is expected to reduce Deutsche Bank’s securities unit revenues by nearly €300 million as about 40% of the unit’s revenue base is either dollar denominated or linked to it.

Further, €150 million impact is expected on account of higher internal funding costs. Allocation of refinancing costs is at the discretion of Deutsche Bank, which chooses to distribute the group’s funding costs to the investment banking unit.

On the same day, Deutsche Bank trimmed the price target range for its planned IPO of its asset management segment — DWS Group — to €32-€33 per share, down from the previous band of €30-€36. The bank will be able to raise about €1.6 billion in place of its original target of €2 billion, by floating shares at this valuation range.

The bank  disclosed earlier that it will not achieve its target of reducing total adjusted costs to €22 billion in 2018, due to delay in sale of some business units.

Though Deutsche Bank is adhering to measures to revive the business, it continues to witness several headwinds and continues to be under close scrutiny of investors. Also, litigation issues related to past misconducts and legal costs might deter the bottom-line growth. Further, the bank’s margins continue to remain under pressure owing to low interest rates in the domestic economy.

Shares of Deutsche Bank have lost 12.5% over the past year, compared with the industry’s rally of 13.4%.

The stock carries a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell).

Stocks to Consider

KB Financial Group KB has witnessed upward estimate revision of 1.7% for the last 60 days. In a year’s time, the company’s shares have returned more than 30%. It carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

BanColombia S.A. CIB carries a Zacks Rank of 2. Its earnings estimates for 2018 have been revised 7.3% upward over the last 60 days. The company’s shares have gained 9.8% in the past year.

ING Group ING carries a Zacks Rank of 2. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the company has jumped 2.4% for the current year, in the last 60 days. The stock has gained 15.3% in the past year.

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