U.S. Markets close in 3 hrs 13 mins

Did Business Growth Power Evolution Mining’s (ASX:EVN) Share Price Gain of 286%?

Simply Wall St

When you buy shares in a company, it’s worth keeping in mind the possibility that it could fail, and you could lose your money. But when you pick a company that is really flourishing, you can make more than 100%. For instance, the price of Evolution Mining Limited (ASX:EVN) stock is up an impressive 286% over the last five years. We note the stock price is up 7.4% in the last seven days.

Check out our latest analysis for Evolution Mining

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company’s share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

During the last half decade, Evolution Mining became profitable. That kind of transition can be an inflection point that justifies a strong share price gain, just as we have seen here. Given that the company made a profit three years ago, but not five years ago, it is worth looking at the share price returns over the last three years, too. Indeed, the Evolution Mining share price has gained 141% in three years. In the same period, EPS is up 50% per year. This EPS growth is higher than the 34% average annual increase in the share price over the same three years. Therefore, it seems the market has moderated its expectations for growth, somewhat.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

ASX:EVN Past and Future Earnings, March 12th 2019

It is of course excellent to see how Evolution Mining has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Evolution Mining, it has a TSR of 373% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

It’s good to see that Evolution Mining has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 27% in the last twelve months. That’s including the dividend. However, the TSR over five years, coming in at 36% per year, is even more impressive. If you would like to research Evolution Mining in more detail then you might want to take a look at whether insiders have been buying or selling shares in the company.

But note: Evolution Mining may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on AU exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.