Did Changing Sentiment Drive Bausch Health Companies’s (NYSE:BHC) Share Price Down A Painful 83%?

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Long term investing works well, but it doesn’t always work for each individual stock. It hits us in the gut when we see fellow investors suffer a loss. For example, we sympathize with anyone who was caught holding Bausch Health Companies Inc. (NYSE:BHC) during the five years that saw its share price drop a whopping 83%. Unhappily, the share price slid 2.9% in the last week.

We really hope anyone holding through that price crash has a diversified portfolio. Even when you lose money, you don’t have to lose the lesson.

See our latest analysis for Bausch Health Companies

Given that Bausch Health Companies didn’t make a profit in the last twelve months, we’ll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. When a company doesn’t make profits, we’d generally expect to see good revenue growth. That’s because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.

Over five years, Bausch Health Companies grew its revenue at 3.3% per year. That’s not a very high growth rate considering it doesn’t make profits. Nonetheless, it’s fair to say the rapidly declining share price (down 30%, compound, over five years) suggests the market is very disappointed with this level of growth. We’d be pretty cautious about this one, although the sell-off may be too severe. We’d recommend focussing any further research on the likelihood of profitability in the foreseeable future, given the muted revenue growth.

The graphic below shows how revenue and earnings have changed as management guided the business forward. If you want to see cashflow, you can click on the chart.

NYSE:BHC Income Statement, March 11th 2019
NYSE:BHC Income Statement, March 11th 2019

It’s good to see that there was some significant insider buying in the last three months. That’s a positive. On the other hand, we think the revenue and earnings trends are much more meaningful measures of the business. This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on Bausch Health Companies

A Different Perspective

It’s good to see that Bausch Health Companies has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 49% in the last twelve months. Notably the five-year annualised TSR loss of 30% per year compares very unfavourably with the recent share price performance. We generally put more weight on the long term performance over the short term, but the recent improvement could hint at a (positive) inflection point within the business. Investors who like to make money usually check up on insider purchases, such as the price paid, and total amount bought. You can find out about the insider purchases of Bausch Health Companies by clicking this link.

Bausch Health Companies is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.

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