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Did Changing Sentiment Drive International Cement Group's (SGX:KUO) Share Price Down By 43%?

Simply Wall St

It's easy to match the overall market return by buying an index fund. While individual stocks can be big winners, plenty more fail to generate satisfactory returns. That downside risk was realized by International Cement Group Ltd. (SGX:KUO) shareholders over the last year, as the share price declined 43%. That contrasts poorly with the market return of -0.6%. We wouldn't rush to judgement on International Cement Group because we don't have a long term history to look at. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 38% in the last three months.

View our latest analysis for International Cement Group

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

Even though the International Cement Group share price is down over the year, its EPS actually improved. It could be that the share price was previously over-hyped.

The divergence between the EPS and the share price is quite notable, during the year. But we might find some different metrics explain the share price movements better.

International Cement Group managed to grow revenue over the last year, which is usually a real positive. Since the fundamental metrics don't readily explain the share price drop, there might be an opportunity if the market has overreacted.

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

SGX:KUO Income Statement, September 30th 2019

This free interactive report on International Cement Group's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

A Different Perspective

We doubt International Cement Group shareholders are happy with the loss of 43% over twelve months. That falls short of the market, which lost 0.6%. That's disappointing, but it's worth keeping in mind that the market-wide selling wouldn't have helped. The share price decline has continued throughout the most recent three months, down 38%, suggesting an absence of enthusiasm from investors. Given the relatively short history of this stock, we'd remain pretty wary until we see some strong business performance. Before forming an opinion on International Cement Group you might want to consider these 3 valuation metrics.

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Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on SG exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.