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Did You Miss Colliers International Group's (TSE:CIGI) 75% Share Price Gain?

Simply Wall St

By buying an index fund, you can roughly match the market return with ease. But if you buy good businesses at attractive prices, your portfolio returns could exceed the average market return. For example, the Colliers International Group Inc. (TSE:CIGI) share price is up 75% in the last three years, clearly besting the market return of around 3.1% (not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 9.8% in the last year , including dividends .

Check out our latest analysis for Colliers International Group

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

During three years of share price growth, Colliers International Group achieved compound earnings per share growth of 17% per year. We don't think it is entirely coincidental that the EPS growth is reasonably close to the 20% average annual increase in the share price. This suggests that sentiment and expectations have not changed drastically. Au contraire, the share price change has arguably mimicked the EPS growth.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

TSX:CIGI Past and Future Earnings, October 20th 2019

We know that Colliers International Group has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? You could check out this free report showing analyst revenue forecasts.

What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

Investors should note that there's a difference between Colliers International Group's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price change, which we've covered above. Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. Colliers International Group's TSR of 76% for the 3 years exceeded its share price return, because it has paid dividends.

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that Colliers International Group shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 9.8% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. However, that falls short of the 22% TSR per annum it has made for shareholders, each year, over five years. The pessimistic view would be that be that the stock has its best days behind it, but on the other hand the price might simply be moderating while the business itself continues to execute. Before spending more time on Colliers International Group it might be wise to click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling shares.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CA exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.