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Did You Miss Nemaska Lithium's (TSE:NMX) Impressive 195% Share Price Gain?

Simply Wall St

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The last three months have been tough on Nemaska Lithium Inc. (TSE:NMX) shareholders, who have seen the share price decline a rather worrying 47%. But that scarcely detracts from the really solid long term returns generated by the company over five years. It's fair to say most would be happy with 195% the gain in that time. So while it's never fun to see a share price fall, it's important to look at a longer time horizon. Of course, that doesn't necessarily mean it's cheap now.

See our latest analysis for Nemaska Lithium

Nemaska Lithium didn't have any revenue in the last year, so it's fair to say it doesn't yet have a proven product (or at least not one people are paying for). So it seems that the investors focused more on what could be, than paying attention to the current revenues (or lack thereof). For example, investors may be hoping that Nemaska Lithium finds some valuable resources, before it runs out of money.

We think companies that have neither significant revenues nor profits are pretty high risk. You should be aware that there is always a chance that this sort of company will need to issue more shares to raise money to continue pursuing its business plan. While some such companies do very well over the long term, others become hyped up by promoters before eventually falling back down to earth, and going bankrupt (or being recapitalized). Nemaska Lithium has already given some investors a taste of the sweet gains that high risk investing can generate, if your timing is right.

Our data indicates that Nemaska Lithium had net debt of CA$293,912,000 when it last reported in December 2018. That puts it in the highest risk category, according to our analysis. So the fact that the stock is up 24% per year, over 5 years shows that high risks can lead to high rewards, sometimes. It's clear more than a few people believe in the potential. The image below shows how Nemaska Lithium's balance sheet has changed over time; if you want to see the precise values, simply click on the image.

TSX:NMX Historical Debt, May 10th 2019

It can be extremely risky to invest in a company that doesn't even have revenue. There's no way to know its value easily. One thing you can do is check if company insiders are buying shares. It's often positive if so, assuming the buying is sustained and meaningful. You can click here to see if there are insiders buying.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market gained around 3.1% in the last year, Nemaska Lithium shareholders lost 76%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 24%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. It is all well and good that insiders have been buying shares, but we suggest you check here to see what price insiders were buying at.

There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. You probably do not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CA exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.