Did Nicolet Bankshares Inc (NASDAQ:NCBS) Create Value For Shareholders?

This analysis is intended to introduce important early concepts to people who are starting to invest and want to start learning about core concepts of fundamental analysis on practical examples from today’s market.

Nicolet Bankshares Inc (NASDAQ:NCBS) outperformed the Regional Banks industry on the basis of its ROE – producing a higher 10.3% relative to the peer average of 8.2% over the past 12 months. On the surface, this looks fantastic since we know that NCBS has made large profits from little equity capital; however, ROE doesn’t tell us if management have borrowed heavily to make this happen. Today, we’ll take a closer look at some factors like financial leverage to see how sustainable NCBS’s ROE is.

Check out our latest analysis for Nicolet Bankshares

Peeling the layers of ROE – trisecting a company’s profitability

Return on Equity (ROE) is a measure of Nicolet Bankshares’s profit relative to its shareholders’ equity. For example, if the company invests $1 in the form of equity, it will generate $0.10 in earnings from this. While a higher ROE is preferred in most cases, there are several other factors we should consider before drawing any conclusions.

Return on Equity = Net Profit ÷ Shareholders Equity

ROE is measured against cost of equity in order to determine the efficiency of Nicolet Bankshares’s equity capital deployed. Its cost of equity is 10.8%. Given a discrepancy of -0.5% between return and cost, this indicated that Nicolet Bankshares may be paying more for its capital than what it’s generating in return. ROE can be dissected into three distinct ratios: net profit margin, asset turnover, and financial leverage. This is called the Dupont Formula:

Dupont Formula

ROE = profit margin × asset turnover × financial leverage

ROE = (annual net profit ÷ sales) × (sales ÷ assets) × (assets ÷ shareholders’ equity)

ROE = annual net profit ÷ shareholders’ equity

NasdaqCM:NCBS Last Perf September 12th 18
NasdaqCM:NCBS Last Perf September 12th 18

Basically, profit margin measures how much of revenue trickles down into earnings which illustrates how efficient the business is with its cost management. Asset turnover shows how much revenue Nicolet Bankshares can generate with its current asset base. Finally, financial leverage will be our main focus today. It shows how much of assets are funded by equity and can show how sustainable the company’s capital structure is. Since ROE can be artificially increased through excessive borrowing, we should check Nicolet Bankshares’s historic debt-to-equity ratio. Currently the debt-to-equity ratio stands at a low 20.8%, which means its above-average ROE is driven by its ability to grow its profit without a significant debt burden.

NasdaqCM:NCBS Historical Debt September 12th 18
NasdaqCM:NCBS Historical Debt September 12th 18

Next Steps:

While ROE is a relatively simple calculation, it can be broken down into different ratios, each telling a different story about the strengths and weaknesses of a company. Nicolet Bankshares’s ROE is impressive relative to the industry average, though its returns were not strong enough to cover its own cost of equity. Its high ROE is not likely to be driven by high debt. Therefore, investors may have more confidence in the sustainability of this level of returns going forward. ROE is a helpful signal, but it is definitely not sufficient on its own to make an investment decision.

For Nicolet Bankshares, there are three important factors you should look at:

  1. Financial Health: Does it have a healthy balance sheet? Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis with six simple checks on key factors like leverage and risk.

  2. Valuation: What is Nicolet Bankshares worth today? Is the stock undervalued, even when its growth outlook is factored into its intrinsic value? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether Nicolet Bankshares is currently mispriced by the market.

  3. Other High-Growth Alternatives : Are there other high-growth stocks you could be holding instead of Nicolet Bankshares? Explore our interactive list of stocks with large growth potential to get an idea of what else is out there you may be missing!

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.

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