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Did The Underlying Business Drive Weibo’s Lovely 358% Share Price Gain?

Simply Wall St

Investing can be hard but the potential fo an individual stock to pay off big time inspires us. You won’t get it right every time, but when you do, the returns can be truly splendid. For example, the Weibo Corporation (NASDAQ:WB) share price is up a whopping 358% in the last three years, a handsome return for long term holders. It’s also up 23% in about a month.

Check out our latest analysis for Weibo

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

Weibo was able to grow its EPS at 191% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. This EPS growth is higher than the 66% average annual increase in the share price. So it seems investors have become more cautious about the company, over time.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

NasdaqGS:WB Past and Future Earnings, March 2nd 2019

We know that Weibo has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? If you are thinking of buying or selling Weibo stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

A Different Perspective

Over the last year, Weibo shareholders took a loss of 45%. In contrast the market gained about 5.0%. Of course the long term matters more than the short term, and even great stocks will sometimes have a poor year. Investors are up over three years, booking 66% per year, much better than the more recent returns. Sometimes when a good quality long term winner has a weak period, it’s turns out to be an opportunity, but you really need to be sure that the quality is there. Before forming an opinion on Weibo you might want to consider these 3 valuation metrics.

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.