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What Does e.l.f. Beauty, Inc.'s (NYSE:ELF) Share Price Indicate?

Simply Wall St

e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. (NYSE:ELF), which is in the personal products business, and is based in United States, received a lot of attention from a substantial price increase on the NYSE over the last few months. With many analysts covering the stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Let’s examine e.l.f. Beauty’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

View our latest analysis for e.l.f. Beauty

What's the opportunity in e.l.f. Beauty?

According to my valuation model, e.l.f. Beauty seems to be fairly priced at around 2.37% above my intrinsic value, which means if you buy e.l.f. Beauty today, you’d be paying a relatively fair price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is $12.66, there’s only an insignificant downside when the price falls to its real value. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because e.l.f. Beauty’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

What does the future of e.l.f. Beauty look like?

NYSE:ELF Past and Future Earnings, April 21st 2019

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. With profit expected to grow by 53% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for e.l.f. Beauty. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in ELF’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on ELF, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on e.l.f. Beauty. You can find everything you need to know about e.l.f. Beauty in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in e.l.f. Beauty, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.