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Does Farmmi, Inc.’s (NASDAQ:FAMI) P/E Ratio Signal A Buying Opportunity?

Simply Wall St

The goal of this article is to teach you how to use price to earnings ratios (P/E ratios). We’ll look at Farmmi, Inc.’s (NASDAQ:FAMI) P/E ratio and reflect on what it tells us about the company’s share price. Based on the last twelve months, Farmmi’s P/E ratio is 11.13. In other words, at today’s prices, investors are paying $11.13 for every $1 in prior year profit.

View our latest analysis for Farmmi

How Do I Calculate A Price To Earnings Ratio?

The formula for price to earnings is:

Price to Earnings Ratio = Share Price ÷ Earnings per Share (EPS)

Or for Farmmi:

P/E of 11.13 = $3.21 ÷ $0.29 (Based on the year to September 2018.)

Is A High Price-to-Earnings Ratio Good?

A higher P/E ratio means that buyers have to pay a higher price for each $1 the company has earned over the last year. That isn’t necessarily good or bad, but a high P/E implies relatively high expectations of what a company can achieve in the future.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

P/E ratios primarily reflect market expectations around earnings growth rates. Earnings growth means that in the future the ‘E’ will be higher. That means even if the current P/E is high, it will reduce over time if the share price stays flat. Then, a lower P/E should attract more buyers, pushing the share price up.

Farmmi saw earnings per share decrease by 12% last year. But it has grown its earnings per share by 27% per year over the last three years.

How Does Farmmi’s P/E Ratio Compare To Its Peers?

The P/E ratio essentially measures market expectations of a company. We can see in the image below that the average P/E (18.6) for companies in the food industry is higher than Farmmi’s P/E.

NasdaqCM:FAMI Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 10th 2019

This suggests that market participants think Farmmi will underperform other companies in its industry. Since the market seems unimpressed with Farmmi, it’s quite possible it could surprise on the upside. If you consider the stock interesting, further research is recommended. For example, I often monitor director buying and selling.

Remember: P/E Ratios Don’t Consider The Balance Sheet

The ‘Price’ in P/E reflects the market capitalization of the company. That means it doesn’t take debt or cash into account. Hypothetically, a company could reduce its future P/E ratio by spending its cash (or taking on debt) to achieve higher earnings.

Such expenditure might be good or bad, in the long term, but the point here is that the balance sheet is not reflected by this ratio.

Is Debt Impacting Farmmi’s P/E?

Since Farmmi holds net cash of US$2.7m, it can spend on growth, justifying a higher P/E ratio than otherwise.

The Bottom Line On Farmmi’s P/E Ratio

Farmmi has a P/E of 11.1. That’s below the average in the US market, which is 17.4. Falling earnings per share are likely to be keeping potential buyers away, but the net cash position means the company has time to improve: if so, the low P/E could be an opportunity.

Investors have an opportunity when market expectations about a stock are wrong. If it is underestimating a company, investors can make money by buying and holding the shares until the market corrects itself. We don’t have analyst forecasts, but shareholders might want to examine this detailed historical graph of earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with modest (or no) debt, trading on a P/E below 20.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.