How Does Gem International Resources Inc (CVE:GI) Compare To The Basic Materials Sector?

Gem International Resources Inc (TSXV:GI), a CA$1.17M small-cap, is a metals and mining operating in an industry which can be affected by shifts in the housing market, as many produced raw materials are components of construction projects. Basic material analysts are forecasting for the entire industry, a somewhat weaker growth of 4.97% in the upcoming year , and a single-digit 0.0073% growth over the next couple of years. This rate is larger than the growth rate of the Canadian stock market as a whole. Today, I will analyse the industry outlook, as well as evaluate whether Gem International Resources is lagging or leading in the industry. See our latest analysis for Gem International Resources

What’s the catalyst for Gem International Resources’s sector growth?

TSXV:GI Past Future Earnings Jan 31st 18
TSXV:GI Past Future Earnings Jan 31st 18

Overall, the basic materials sector seems like it has reached maturity in its life cycle. Companies appear to be highly competitive and consolidation seems to be a inevitable. However, the industry is still facing many emerging trends including the reduction of waste, raw material inflation, and innovation in global supply chain management. Over the past year, the industry saw growth in the forties, beating the Canadian market growth of 11.48%. Gem International Resources lags the pack with its sustained negative earnings over the past couple of years. The company’s outlook seems uncertain, with a lack of analyst coverage, which doesn’t boost our confidence in the stock. This lack of growth and transparency means Gem International Resources may be trading cheaper than its peers.

Is Gem International Resources and the sector relatively cheap?

TSXV:GI PE PEG Gauge Jan 31st 18
TSXV:GI PE PEG Gauge Jan 31st 18

The metals and mining industry is trading at a PE ratio of 12.2x, relatively similar to the rest of the Canadian stock market PE of 17x. This means the industry, on average, is fairly valued compared to the wider market – minimal expected gains and losses from mispricing here. Furthermore, the industry returned a similar 7.39% on equities compared to the market’s 9.06%. Since Gem International Resources’s earnings doesn’t seem to reflect its true value, its PE ratio isn’t very useful. A loose alternative to gauge Gem International Resources’s value is to assume the stock should be relatively in-line with its industry.

Next Steps:

Gem International Resources has been a metals and mining industry laggard in the past year. If Gem International Resources has been on your watchlist for a while, now may be a good time to dig deeper into the stock. Although it delivered lower growth relative to its materials peers in the near term, the market may be pessimistic on the stock, leading to a potential undervaluation. However, before you make a decision on the stock, I suggest you look at Gem International Resources’s fundamentals in order to build a holistic investment thesis.


To help readers see pass the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned.

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