Does J.W. Mays, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MAYS) P/E Ratio Signal A Buying Opportunity?

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the J.W. Mays (NASDAQ:MAYS) share price has dived in the last thirty days. Even longer term holders have taken a real hit with the stock declining 20% in the last year.

Assuming no other changes, a sharply higher share price makes a stock less attractive to potential buyers. While the market sentiment towards a stock is very changeable, in the long run, the share price will tend to move in the same direction as earnings per share. So some would prefer to hold off buying when there is a lot of optimism towards a stock. Perhaps the simplest way to get a read on investors' expectations of a business is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). A high P/E ratio means that investors have a high expectation about future growth, while a low P/E ratio means they have low expectations about future growth.

See our latest analysis for J.W. Mays

How Does J.W. Mays's P/E Ratio Compare To Its Peers?

We can tell from its P/E ratio of 35.99 that there is some investor optimism about J.W. Mays. You can see in the image below that the average P/E (27.3) for companies in the real estate industry is lower than J.W. Mays's P/E.

NasdaqCM:MAYS Price Estimation Relative to Market, December 23rd 2019
NasdaqCM:MAYS Price Estimation Relative to Market, December 23rd 2019

Its relatively high P/E ratio indicates that J.W. Mays shareholders think it will perform better than other companies in its industry classification. Shareholders are clearly optimistic, but the future is always uncertain. So investors should always consider the P/E ratio alongside other factors, such as whether company directors have been buying shares.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

Generally speaking the rate of earnings growth has a profound impact on a company's P/E multiple. When earnings grow, the 'E' increases, over time. Therefore, even if you pay a high multiple of earnings now, that multiple will become lower in the future. And as that P/E ratio drops, the company will look cheap, unless its share price increases.

J.W. Mays's earnings per share fell by 31% in the last twelve months. But it has grown its earnings per share by 18% per year over the last five years.

Remember: P/E Ratios Don't Consider The Balance Sheet

The 'Price' in P/E reflects the market capitalization of the company. So it won't reflect the advantage of cash, or disadvantage of debt. Hypothetically, a company could reduce its future P/E ratio by spending its cash (or taking on debt) to achieve higher earnings.

While growth expenditure doesn't always pay off, the point is that it is a good option to have; but one that the P/E ratio ignores.

J.W. Mays's Balance Sheet

Net debt totals just 0.4% of J.W. Mays's market cap. The market might award it a higher P/E ratio if it had net cash, but its unlikely this low level of net borrowing is having a big impact on the P/E multiple.

The Bottom Line On J.W. Mays's P/E Ratio

J.W. Mays has a P/E of 36.0. That's higher than the average in its market, which is 18.9. With modest debt but no EPS growth in the last year, it's fair to say the P/E implies some optimism about future earnings, from the market. Given J.W. Mays's P/E ratio has declined from 36.0 to 36.0 in the last month, we know for sure that the market is less confident about the business today, than it was back then. For those who prefer to invest with the flow of momentum, that might be a bad sign, but for a contrarian, it may signal opportunity.

Investors should be looking to buy stocks that the market is wrong about. If the reality for a company is better than it expects, you can make money by buying and holding for the long term. We don't have analyst forecasts, but shareholders might want to examine this detailed historical graph of earnings, revenue and cash flow.

You might be able to find a better buy than J.W. Mays. If you want a selection of possible winners, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a P/E below 20 (but have proven they can grow earnings).

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.

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