What Does Old Second Bancorp, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:OSBC) Share Price Indicate?

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Old Second Bancorp, Inc. (NASDAQ:OSBC), operating in the financial services industry based in United States, saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the NASDAQGS. With many analysts covering the stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Let’s examine Old Second Bancorp’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

See our latest analysis for Old Second Bancorp

What is Old Second Bancorp worth?

Great news for investors – Old Second Bancorp is still trading at a fairly cheap price. According to my valuation, the intrinsic value for the stock is $18.08, which is above what the market is valuing the company at the moment. This indicates a potential opportunity to buy low. Although, there may be another chance to buy again in the future. This is because Old Second Bancorp’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company's shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

What does the future of Old Second Bancorp look like?

NasdaqGS:OSBC Past and Future Earnings, January 9th 2020
NasdaqGS:OSBC Past and Future Earnings, January 9th 2020

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Though in the case of Old Second Bancorp, it is expected to deliver a negative earnings growth of -5.0%, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? Although OSBC is currently undervalued, the negative outlook does bring on some uncertainty, which equates to higher risk. I recommend you think about whether you want to increase your portfolio exposure to OSBC, or whether diversifying into another stock may be a better move for your total risk and return.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on OSBC for a while, but hesitant on making the leap, I recommend you research further into the stock. Given its current undervaluation, now is a great time to make a decision. But keep in mind the risks that come with negative growth prospects in the future.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Old Second Bancorp. You can find everything you need to know about Old Second Bancorp in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Old Second Bancorp, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.

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