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Does The Resolute Forest Products Inc. (NYSE:RFP) Share Price Tend To Follow The Market?

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Anyone researching Resolute Forest Products Inc. (NYSE:RFP) might want to consider the historical volatility of the share price. Modern finance theory considers volatility to be a measure of risk, and there are two main types of price volatility. The first type is company specific volatility. Investors use diversification across uncorrelated stocks to reduce this kind of price volatility across the portfolio. The second sort is caused by the natural volatility of markets, overall. For example, certain macroeconomic events will impact (virtually) all stocks on the market.

Some stocks are more sensitive to general market forces than others. Beta is a widely used metric to measure a stock's exposure to market risk (volatility). Before we go on, it's worth noting that Warren Buffett pointed out in his 2014 letter to shareholders that 'volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' Having said that, beta can still be rather useful. The first thing to understand about beta is that the beta of the overall market is one. A stock with a beta greater than one is more sensitive to broader market movements than a stock with a beta of less than one.

See our latest analysis for Resolute Forest Products

What we can learn from RFP's beta value

Given that it has a beta of 1.73, we can surmise that the Resolute Forest Products share price has been fairly sensitive to market volatility (over the last 5 years). Based on this history, investors should be aware that Resolute Forest Products are likely to rise strongly in times of greed, but sell off in times of fear. Beta is worth considering, but it's also important to consider whether Resolute Forest Products is growing earnings and revenue. You can take a look for yourself, below.

NYSE:RFP Income Statement, June 12th 2019
NYSE:RFP Income Statement, June 12th 2019

How does RFP's size impact its beta?

With a market capitalisation of US$564m, Resolute Forest Products is a small cap stock. However, it is big enough to catch the attention of professional investors. It has a relatively high beta, which is not unusual among small-cap stocks. Because it takes less capital to move the share price of a smaller company, actively traded small-cap stocks often have a higher beta that a similar large-cap stock.

What this means for you:

Since Resolute Forest Products tends to moves up when the market is going up, and down when it's going down, potential investors may wish to reflect on the overall market, when considering the stock. This article aims to educate investors about beta values, but it's well worth looking at important company-specific fundamentals such as Resolute Forest Products’s financial health and performance track record. I highly recommend you dive deeper by considering the following:

  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for RFP’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for RFP’s outlook.

  2. Past Track Record: Has RFP been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of RFP's historicals for more clarity.

  3. Other Interesting Stocks: It's worth checking to see how RFP measures up against other companies on valuation. You could start with this free list of prospective options.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.