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Does On Track Innovations Ltd. (NASDAQ:OTIV) Have A Volatile Share Price?

Simply Wall St

If you own shares in On Track Innovations Ltd. (NASDAQ:OTIV) then it's worth thinking about how it contributes to the volatility of your portfolio, overall. In finance, Beta is a measure of volatility. Modern finance theory considers volatility to be a measure of risk, and there are two main types of price volatility. First, we have company specific volatility, which is the price gyrations of an individual stock. Holding at least 8 stocks can reduce this kind of risk across a portfolio. The other type, which cannot be diversified away, is the volatility of the entire market. Every stock in the market is exposed to this volatility, which is linked to the fact that stocks prices are correlated in an efficient market.

Some stocks see their prices move in concert with the market. Others tend towards stronger, gentler or unrelated price movements. Beta is a widely used metric to measure a stock's exposure to market risk (volatility). Before we go on, it's worth noting that Warren Buffett pointed out in his 2014 letter to shareholders that 'volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' Having said that, beta can still be rather useful. The first thing to understand about beta is that the beta of the overall market is one. A stock with a beta below one is either less volatile than the market, or more volatile but not corellated with the overall market. In comparison a stock with a beta of over one tends to be move in a similar direction to the market in the long term, but with greater changes in price.

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View our latest analysis for On Track Innovations

What we can learn from OTIV's beta value

Given that it has a beta of 1.34, we can surmise that the On Track Innovations share price has been fairly sensitive to market volatility (over the last 5 years). Based on this history, investors should be aware that On Track Innovations are likely to rise strongly in times of greed, but sell off in times of fear. Beta is worth considering, but it's also important to consider whether On Track Innovations is growing earnings and revenue. You can take a look for yourself, below.

NasdaqCM:OTIV Income Statement, May 21st 2019

Does OTIV's size influence the expected beta?

On Track Innovations is a noticeably small company, with a market capitalisation of US$20m. Most companies this size are not always actively traded. It takes less money to influence the share price of a very small company. This may explain the excess volatility implied by this beta value.

What this means for you:

Since On Track Innovations has a reasonably high beta, it's worth considering why it is so heavily influenced by broader market sentiment. For example, it might be a high growth stock or have a lot of operating leverage in its business model. In order to fully understand whether OTIV is a good investment for you, we also need to consider important company-specific fundamentals such as On Track Innovations’s financial health and performance track record. I highly recommend you dive deeper by considering the following:

  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for OTIV’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for OTIV’s outlook.
  2. Past Track Record: Has OTIV been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of OTIV's historicals for more clarity.
  3. Other Interesting Stocks: It's worth checking to see how OTIV measures up against other companies on valuation. You could start with this free list of prospective options.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.