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Donaldson (DCI) Misses Q3 Earnings Estimates, Lowers View

Donaldson Company, Inc. DCI yet again reported weaker-than-expected results in third-quarter fiscal 2019 (ended Apr 30, 2019). Its negative earnings surprise of 6.45% in the reported quarter marked the third consecutive quarter of disappointing results.

The company’s adjusted earnings in the reported quarter were 58 cents per share, lagging the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 62 cents. However, the bottom line increased 9.4% from the year-ago quarter’s figure of 53 cents on sales growth and lower taxes, partially offset by higher raw material and supply-chain costs.

Engine Products Drive Revenues

In the fiscal third quarter, Donaldson’s net sales were $712.8 million, reflecting year-over-year growth of 1.8%. Notably, the BOFA International acquisition added 1.4% to sales growth while pricing had a positive 1.5% impact and other items added roughly 0.5%. This was partially offset by 4.1% negative impact of unfavorable movements in foreign currencies.

However, the top line lagged the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $742 billion by roughly 4%.

On a geographical basis, the company’s net sales in the United States increased 7.6% year over year. Sales in Europe, Middle East and Africa grew 0.8% while in the Asia Pacific it decreased 7.1%. Sales in Latin America expanded 1.9% year over year.

The company reports revenues under the following segments — Engine Products and Industrial Products. A brief snapshot of the segmental sales is provided below:

Engine Products’ (accounting for 68.7% of net sales in third-quarter fiscal 2019) sales were roughly $489.4 million, reflecting year-over-year growth of 3.6%.

This improvement was primarily driven by growth of 11.1% in On-Road sales, 4% in Aftermarket sales, and 19.9% in Aerospace and Defense sales. Notably, Off-Road sales in the reported quarter declined 5.6% year over year.

Revenues generated from Industrial Products (accounting for 31.3% of net sales in third-quarter fiscal 2019) amounted to $223.4 million, decreasing 1.9% from the year-ago quarter.

Results suffered from a decline of 14.2% in Gas Turbine Systems’ sales and 6.2% fall in Special Applications’ sales. This was partially offset by 1.9% growth in Industrial Filtration Solutions’ sales.

Gross & Operating Margins Fall Y/Y

In the reported quarter, Donaldson’s cost of sales increased 2.6% year over year to $472.1 million. It represented 66.2% of net sales versus 65.7% in the year-ago quarter. Adjusted gross margin in the quarter was 33.8%, down 40 basis points (bps) year over year. Results were adversely impacted by higher supply-chain and raw material costs. However, favorable pricing was a relief.

Operating expenses grew 0.3% year over year to $140.7 million. It represented 19.7% of net sales versus 20% in the year-ago quarter. Adjusted operating margin in the quarter under review was 14%, down 20 bps year over year. Adjusted effective tax rate in the quarter was 24.5%, down from 29% in the year-ago quarter.

Balance Sheet & Cash Flow

Exiting third-quarter fiscal 2019, Donaldson’s cash and cash equivalents were $203.8 million, up 6.6% from $191.2 million recorded in the last reported quarter. Long-term debt was up 1.9% sequentially to $644.4 million.

In the first three quarters of fiscal 2019, the company repaid long-term debt of $24.8 million while raised $145 million from long-term debts.

In the reported quarter, Donaldson generated net cash of $80.4 million from operating activities, reflecting an increase of 64.4% from the year-ago figure. Capital expenditure totaled $45.3 million versus $27.3 million in the year-ago quarter. Free cash flow in the reported quarter was $35.1 million, up from $21.6 million in the year-ago quarter.

Rewards to Shareholders

In the first three quarters of fiscal 2019, the company used $104.4 million for purchasing treasury stocks and $72.9 million for paying dividends.

On Jun 3, 2019, Donaldson announced that it is giving twin rewards in forms of share buyback authorization and hike in the quarterly dividend to its shareholders. These rewards were approved by its board of directors.

Under the new buyback program, the company has been allowed to repurchase up to 13 million shares (i.e. equivalent to 10% of its shares outstanding). Additionally, it announced 10.5% or 2 cents per share hike in the quarterly dividend rate, which now increased from 19 cents to 21 cents. The revised dividend will be paid on Jun 28, 2019, to shareholders of record as of Jun 13.

Outlook

In the years ahead, Donaldson believes that its focus on driving operational excellence, investments in growth businesses — including air and fuel products as well as process filtration — and commitment of rewarding shareholders handsomely will work in its favour.

The company seems concerned about the difficult operating environment in the near term.

Sales in fiscal 2019 are projected to increase 3.5-4.5%, down from the previously stated 5-9%. Forex woes are predicted to have an adverse 3% impact (projection maintained). The BOFA buyout will add 1% to sales (maintained).

Engine sales will likely increase 3.5-4.5%, down from 6-10% mentioned earlier. Within the Engine segment, Off-Road sales are now predicted to decline in a mid-single digit versus growth in a low-single digit stated earlier (sales will likely fall in the fiscal fourth quarter as backlog from big customers decline).

Aftermarket sales are now predicted to grow in a mid-single digit (sales to grow modestly in the fiscal fourth quarter, forex woes remain) versus a high-single digit growth mentioned earlier. On-Road sales are still predicted to grow in the mid-teens range while Aerospace and Defense sales will likely increase in a mid-single digit.

Industrial sales are projected to increase 4-5%, down from 4-8% mentioned previously. Forex woes will likely adversely impact sales by 3% and BOFA acquisitions will add 4%. Industrial Filtration Solutions sales growth projection has been revised from a low-double digit to a high-single digit. GTS sales are still predicted to decline in a high-single digit and Special Applications sales are likely to fall in a low-single digit.

The company’s operating margin is predicted to be 13.8-14.2%, down from the previously mentioned 14.2-14.6%. Interest expenses will likely be approximately $20 million, down from $21 million and capital expenditure will be $150 million, in the high-end of the previous projection of $130-$150 million. Effective income tax rate will be 24.4-25.4%, down from 24.4-26.4% stated earlier.

Earnings are expected to be $2.20-$2.24, down from previously mentioned $2.27-$2.41. Share buybacks in the year are likely to be roughly 2% of the company’s outstanding shares.

Donaldson Company, Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Donaldson Company, Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
Donaldson Company, Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Donaldson Company, Inc. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Donaldson Company, Inc. Quote

Zacks Rank & Stocks to Consider

With a market capitalization of approximately $6.2 billion, Donaldson currently carries a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell).

Some better-ranked stocks in the Zacks Industrial Products sector are CECO Environmental Corp. CECE, Tetra Tech, Inc. TTEK and Roper Technologies, Inc. ROP. All these stocks currently carry a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

In the past 60 days, earnings estimates for all these three stocks have improved for the current year. Further, average earnings surprise for the last four quarters was positive 25% for CECO Environmental, 8.22% for Tetra Tech and 8.43% for Roper.

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