Don't Race Out To Buy CMC Markets Plc (LON:CMCX) Just Because It's Going Ex-Dividend

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Some investors rely on dividends for growing their wealth, and if you're one of those dividend sleuths, you might be intrigued to know that CMC Markets Plc (LON:CMCX) is about to go ex-dividend in just 2 days. This means that investors who purchase shares on or after the 1st of August will not receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 6th of September.

CMC Markets's next dividend payment will be UK£0.0068 per share, on the back of last year when the company paid a total of UK£0.02 to shareholders. Looking at the last 12 months of distributions, CMC Markets has a trailing yield of approximately 2.0% on its current stock price of £1.008. If you buy this business for its dividend, you should have an idea of whether CMC Markets's dividend is reliable and sustainable. So we need to check whether the dividend payments are covered, and if earnings are growing.

See our latest analysis for CMC Markets

Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned in profit, then the dividend could be unsustainable. CMC Markets paid out 100% of its earnings, which is more than we're comfortable with, unless there are mitigating circumstances.

Generally, the higher a company's payout ratio, the more the dividend is at risk of being reduced.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

LSE:CMCX Historical Dividend Yield, July 29th 2019
LSE:CMCX Historical Dividend Yield, July 29th 2019

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Businesses with shrinking earnings are tricky from a dividend perspective. If earnings fall far enough, the company could be forced to cut its dividend. With that in mind, we're discomforted by CMC Markets's 25% per annum decline in earnings in the past five years. Ultimately, when earnings per share decline, the size of the pie from which dividends can be paid, shrinks.

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. CMC Markets has seen its dividend decline 43% per annum on average over the past 3 years, which is not great to see. While it's not great that earnings and dividends per share have fallen in recent years, we're encouraged by the fact that management has trimmed the dividend rather than risk over-committing the company in a risky attempt to maintain yields to shareholders.

The Bottom Line

Has CMC Markets got what it takes to maintain its dividend payments? Not only are earnings per share shrinking, but CMC Markets is paying out a disconcertingly high percentage of its profit as dividends. It's not that we hate the business, but we feel that these characeristics are not desirable for investors seeking a reliable dividend stock to own for the long term. This is not an overtly appealing combination of characteristics, and we're just not that interested in this company's dividend.

Wondering what the future holds for CMC Markets? See what the five analysts we track are forecasting, with this visualisation of its historical and future estimated earnings and cash flow

A common investment mistake is buying the first interesting stock you see. Here you can find a list of promising dividend stocks with a greater than 2% yield and an upcoming dividend.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.

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