U.S. Markets closed

Don't Sell Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (NASDAQ:ODFL) Before You Read This

Simply Wall St

This article is for investors who would like to improve their understanding of price to earnings ratios (P/E ratios). We'll apply a basic P/E ratio analysis to Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ODFL), to help you decide if the stock is worth further research. Old Dominion Freight Line has a P/E ratio of 24.28, based on the last twelve months. That is equivalent to an earnings yield of about 4.1%.

View our latest analysis for Old Dominion Freight Line

How Do You Calculate Old Dominion Freight Line's P/E Ratio?

The formula for price to earnings is:

Price to Earnings Ratio = Price per Share ÷ Earnings per Share (EPS)

Or for Old Dominion Freight Line:

P/E of 24.28 = $189.74 ÷ $7.82 (Based on the year to September 2019.)

Is A High Price-to-Earnings Ratio Good?

A higher P/E ratio means that investors are paying a higher price for each $1 of company earnings. That isn't necessarily good or bad, but a high P/E implies relatively high expectations of what a company can achieve in the future.

Does Old Dominion Freight Line Have A Relatively High Or Low P/E For Its Industry?

The P/E ratio essentially measures market expectations of a company. The image below shows that Old Dominion Freight Line has a higher P/E than the average (19.1) P/E for companies in the transportation industry.

NasdaqGS:ODFL Price Estimation Relative to Market, January 6th 2020

That means that the market expects Old Dominion Freight Line will outperform other companies in its industry. Shareholders are clearly optimistic, but the future is always uncertain. So investors should always consider the P/E ratio alongside other factors, such as whether company directors have been buying shares.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

P/E ratios primarily reflect market expectations around earnings growth rates. Earnings growth means that in the future the 'E' will be higher. And in that case, the P/E ratio itself will drop rather quickly. Then, a lower P/E should attract more buyers, pushing the share price up.

Old Dominion Freight Line's earnings per share were pretty steady over the last year. But EPS is up 22% over the last 5 years.

A Limitation: P/E Ratios Ignore Debt and Cash In The Bank

One drawback of using a P/E ratio is that it considers market capitalization, but not the balance sheet. In other words, it does not consider any debt or cash that the company may have on the balance sheet. Theoretically, a business can improve its earnings (and produce a lower P/E in the future) by investing in growth. That means taking on debt (or spending its cash).

Spending on growth might be good or bad a few years later, but the point is that the P/E ratio does not account for the option (or lack thereof).

So What Does Old Dominion Freight Line's Balance Sheet Tell Us?

Old Dominion Freight Line has net cash of US$277m. That should lead to a higher P/E than if it did have debt, because its strong balance sheets gives it more options.

The Verdict On Old Dominion Freight Line's P/E Ratio

Old Dominion Freight Line trades on a P/E ratio of 24.3, which is above its market average of 18.9. The recent drop in earnings per share might keep value investors away, but the net cash position means the company has time to improve: and the high P/E suggests the market thinks it will.

When the market is wrong about a stock, it gives savvy investors an opportunity. As value investor Benjamin Graham famously said, 'In the short run, the market is a voting machine but in the long run, it is a weighing machine. So this free visual report on analyst forecasts could hold the key to an excellent investment decision.

You might be able to find a better buy than Old Dominion Freight Line. If you want a selection of possible winners, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a P/E below 20 (but have proven they can grow earnings).

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.