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Earnings Estimates Moving Higher for Aerojet Rocketdyne (AJRD): Time to Buy?

Zacks Equity Research

Investors might want to bet on Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings (AJRD), as earnings estimates for this company have been showing solid improvement lately. The stock has already gained solid short-term price momentum, and this trend might continue with its still improving earnings outlook.

The rising trend in estimate revisions, which is a result of growing analyst optimism on the earnings prospects of this aerospace and defense company, should get reflected in its stock price. After all, empirical research shows a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock price movements. Our stock rating tool -- the Zacks Rank -- has this insight at its core.

The five-grade Zacks Rank system, which ranges from a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) to a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), has an impressive externally-audited track record of outperformance, with Zacks #1 Ranked stocks generating an average annual return of +25% since 2008.

For Aerojet Rocketdyne, strong agreement among the covering analysts in revising earnings estimates upward has resulted in meaningful improvement in consensus estimates for the next quarter and full year.

The chart below shows the evolution of forward 12-month Zacks Consensus EPS estimate:

12 Month EPS

Current-Quarter Estimate Revisions

The company is expected to earn $0.48 per share for the current quarter, which represents a year-over-year change of +14.29%.

Over the last 30 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for Aerojet Rocketdyne has increased 18.52% because two estimates have moved higher compared to no negative revisions.

Current-Year Estimate Revisions

For the full year, the earnings estimate of $1.90 per share represents a change of -1.55% from the year-ago number.

In terms of estimate revisions, the trend for the current year also appears quite encouraging for Aerojet Rocketdyne. Over the past month, two estimates have moved higher compared to no negative revisions, helping the consensus estimate increase 13.77%.

Favorable Zacks Rank

The promising estimate revisions have helped Aerojet Rocketdyne earn a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). The Zacks Rank is a tried-and-tested rating tool that helps investors effectively harness the power of earnings estimate revisions and make the right investment decision. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

Our research shows that stocks with Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) and 2 (Buy) significantly outperform the S&P 500.

Bottom Line

Aerojet Rocketdyne shares have added 6.4% over the past four weeks, suggesting that investors are betting on its impressive estimate revisions. So, you may consider adding it to your portfolio right away to benefit from its earnings growth prospects.


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