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Edited Transcript of CAC.OQ earnings conference call or presentation 26-Jan-21 8:00pm GMT

·24 min read

Q4 2020 Camden National Corp Earnings Call Camden Jan 27, 2021 (Thomson StreetEvents) -- Edited Transcript of Camden National Corp earnings conference call or presentation Tuesday, January 26, 2021 at 8:00:00pm GMT TEXT version of Transcript ================================================================================ Corporate Participants ================================================================================ * Gregory A. Dufour Camden National Corporation - President, CEO & Director * Gregory A. White Camden National Corporation - Executive VP, CFO and Principal Financial & Accounting Officer ================================================================================ Conference Call Participants ================================================================================ * Damon Paul DelMonte Keefe, Bruyette, & Woods, Inc., Research Division - SVP and Director * Jacob F. Civiello Janney Montgomery Scott LLC, Research Division - Director of Banks and Thrifts & Equity Research Analyst * William Jefferson Wallace Raymond James & Associates, Inc., Research Division - Research Analyst ================================================================================ Presentation -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Operator [1] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Good day, and Welcome to the Camden National Corporation's Fourth Quarter 2020 Earnings Conference Call. My name is Tom, and I will be your operator for today's call. (Operator Instructions) Please note that this presentation contains forward-looking statements, which involve significant risks and uncertainties, that may cause actual results to vary materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements. Additional information concerning factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in such forward-looking statements are described in the company's earnings press release, the company's 2019 Annual Report on Form 10-K and other filings with the SEC. The company does not undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statements to reflect circumstances or events that occur after the forward-looking statements are made. Any references in today's presentation to non-GAAP financial measures are intended to provide meaningful insights and are reconciled with GAAP in your press release. Today's presenters are Greg Dufour, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Greg White, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Please note that this event is being recorded. At this time, I would now like to turn the conference over to Greg Dufour. Please go ahead, sir. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gregory A. Dufour, Camden National Corporation - President, CEO & Director [2] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Great. Thank you, Tom, and good afternoon, and welcome to Camden National Corporation's fourth quarter and year-end 2020 earnings call. Earlier today, we announced that we achieved record earnings in 2020 of $59.5 million or $3.95 per diluted share. Greg White will provide an overview of our performance in a few minutes, but I'd like to just take a few moments to provide my perspective on our financial performance and positioning for 2021. Our year-end results demonstrate our strong asset quality position and equally as important, the strength of our allowance for loan losses. We adopted the current expected credit loss, or CECL, accounting standard during the quarter, effective January 1, 2020. I'll point out that we were confident in our second quarter provision for credit losses of $9.4 million to reflect both the impact of the pandemic and CECL adoption. This was proved out as our fourth quarter provision of $258,000 resulted in an allowance to loan ratio of 1.18% at December 31, 2020, confirming our actions are on target and that we are adequately prepared for 2021. Our asset quality metrics also reflect our preparedness. Many of you were tracking our deferred loans, and they ended the year at a negligible 0.8% of total loans compared to 5.5% at September 30, 2020, and 16.4% at June 30, 2020. This decrease across periods occurred without seeing a migration to nonperforming status, past due status or charge on. Nonperforming assets were only 0.22% of total assets and past due loans were 0.1% of total loans at year-end. While net charge-offs for the year were just 2 basis points of average loans. With that said, we continue to monitor economic and asset quality indicators of 2021. COVID-19 and the ability to vaccinate people will be critical health and economic factors for the nation in our markets. Our teams are in constant contact with our borrowers and commercial customers, which provides us insight into local economies and helps us determine how to be proactive if a borrower or commercial customer faces financial difficulties. Our team kicked off the next round of PPP lending on January 19, and through the end of last week, we had received 495 applications, of which about 92% were second request. Since the first round of PPP loans, we've strengthened our technology and deepened our training for our staff as well as remaining confident that we'll be positioned to help our customers through this process. While we're proud of our strong financial performance during 2020, we understand many businesses and people have not had the same experience this past year. I believe our efforts in deferring payments on many loans and participating in the PPP program speak to our concern as well as our willingness to help our customers in their time and need. We've supported many community organizations, addressing needs such as homelessness and victims of domestic violence. We've also supported our hard working employees, including those who work with the public in our banking centers, to ensure a safe and healthy work environment. Finally, our Donations Committee led an effort where we've made donations to community organizations where our employees volunteer their time and expertise during 2020. These funds helped more than 50 local nonprofits in our market areas. It's now my pleasure to turn over the discussion to our CFO, Greg White, who'll provide further insights to our financial performance. Greg? -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gregory A. White, Camden National Corporation - Executive VP, CFO and Principal Financial & Accounting Officer [3] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Thank you, Greg, and good afternoon, everyone. As Greg mentioned, we had record earnings last year, and I'm happy to report the fourth quarter was a record as well. Our fourth quarter return on tangible common equity exceeded 17%, and our diluted earnings per share was $1.22 compared to $0.99 in the fourth quarter of 2019, which is a 23% increase period-over-period. On a linked-quarter basis, our diluted earnings per share increased 10% compared to $1.11 in the third quarter of 2020. During the fourth quarter, our Board of Directors approved a dividend of $0.33, which is a 27% payout ratio, and we continue to repurchase shares opportunistically while growing and strengthening our capital position. Our total risk-based capital ratio increased by 25 basis points during the quarter to 15.4% from 15.15% at September 30. We had strong tangible book value per share growth during the quarter, increasing 3% or $0.82 to $28.96 from $28.14 as of the end of the third quarter. Our net interest margin increased to 3.06% for the fourth quarter from 3% the prior quarter, but adjusting for the impact of both PPP loan income and excess liquidity, our margin declined slightly to 2.99% from 3.03% on that basis quarter-over-quarter. We continue to focus on driving down our cost to deposits and our overall cost of funds, which declined by 6 and 5 basis points, respectively. Excluding PPP loans, total loans at December 31, 2020, were flat compared to December 31, 2019, but were up 4% annualized during the fourth quarter. Much of that quarterly growth occurred in the commercial real estate portfolio, which grew at 11% on an annualized basis during the quarter. Average total deposits grew by $465 million or 14% compared to the fourth quarter of 2019, while average noninterest-bearing checking grew by $242 million or 43% during the same period. During the fourth quarter, despite $44 million of time deposit runoff, total average deposits grew by $42 million or 4% annualized. In average, noninterest-bearing checking grew by $59 million or 32% on an annualized basis. Asset quality remains strong with nonperforming loans to total loans at 0.33% at the end of the quarter, down 1 basis point from the end of the third quarter and down from 0.36% at the end of 2019. We also had annualized net recoveries of 2 basis points of average loans during the fourth quarter, and net charge-offs for the full year were 2 basis points of average loans. During the fourth quarter, we adopted CECL with an effective date of January 1, 2020. Our total provision for credit losses for the quarter was $258,000, and our allowance for loan losses, excluding PPP loans at December 31, 2020, was 1.23% compared to 1.19% at the end of the third quarter and 0.81% at December 31, 2019. Our coverage ratio of reserves to nonperforming loans increased to 3.6x at December 31, 2020, up from 3.3x at September 30, 2020, and 2.3x at December 31, 2019. Lastly, we have provided additional information on our deferred loans on Page 9 of the supplemental deck that we provided with our earnings release. As of December 31, 2020, our loans remaining on short-term deferrals were $26.5 million. Whereas, Greg Dufour mentioned, 0.8% of total loans, down from $181 million or 5.5% of loans as of September 30. That concludes our comments on the fourth quarter. We will now open up the call for questions. Thank you. ================================================================================ Questions and Answers -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Operator [1] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (Operator Instructions) Our first question comes from Damon DelMonte with KBW. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Damon Paul DelMonte, Keefe, Bruyette, & Woods, Inc., Research Division - SVP and Director [2] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- So first question, just wanted to talk a little bit about the margin. Greg, you gave some color on the core margin. I think you said basically, it decline from like 3.03% last quarter to 2.99% when you kind of strip out couple of items in there. Directionally, what are you thinking at this point? Do you feel that you've kind of reached the bottom? Or do you think that there is still going to be additional pressure on the asset side? -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gregory A. White, Camden National Corporation - Executive VP, CFO and Principal Financial & Accounting Officer [3] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- There could be a little bit more pressure on -- a little more asset yield compression. With that said, we might get a little help from the mix. Our investment portfolio grew pretty significantly last year. We don't necessarily expect that this year. Certainly, if you look at the average balance table, cash and liquidity was higher on an average balance basis in Q4 than Q3, but on a spot, that basis was quite a bit lower at the end of the year than the end of the third quarter. So certainly, that speaks to a little bit less of a liquidity drag as we enter the new year here. Damon, I think it's also worth mentioning, our cost of funds came down 5 basis points last quarter, 6 the quarter before. So we're still working hard and have some opportunity to offset a little bit of that asset compression, if in fact, it does continue a little bit here. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Damon Paul DelMonte, Keefe, Bruyette, & Woods, Inc., Research Division - SVP and Director [4] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Got it. Okay. And then in the way of loan growth, I think excluding the PPP balances there, you're looking at about 4% linked quarter annualized growth here in the fourth quarter. How are the pipelines looking on the commercial side? And what are the thoughts as you go into 2021? Do you think that sentiment has improved with your borrowers? And would you expect them to be more in the market for more borrowings? -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gregory A. Dufour, Camden National Corporation - President, CEO & Director [5] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Sure. I can take that one. It's Greg Dufour. Damon, we have -- over the past quarter, you've seen our commercial loan pipeline build up, and we're getting pleased to it. I would say, it's probably approaching maybe not the high peaks pre-COVID, but pretty in the -- much in the solid average of what we'd normally see. Looking out next year, we're -- call it, cautiously optimistic that the pipeline should hold up and our balances and growth should hold up, and it's -- so we're expecting really kind of a good solid year that way. On the residential side, we're still seeing a lot of activity. Obviously, that will drive both gain on sales as well as those mortgages that we may choose to hold. So in a way, we're -- like I said, optimistic about next year. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Damon Paul DelMonte, Keefe, Bruyette, & Woods, Inc., Research Division - SVP and Director [6] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Got it. Okay. Great. And then just one final question on the expense side. Greg, can you give a little color on the higher comp cost this quarter? And kind of what that means for the run rate going forward in 2021? -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gregory A. White, Camden National Corporation - Executive VP, CFO and Principal Financial & Accounting Officer [7] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Yes. Sure, Damon. So obviously, most of that comp expense was incentive based, so had a strong year. So we did add quite a bit in the fourth quarter for the bonus accrual. Typically, we don't like to give too specific of guidance, but in this case, there has been a little bit of noise on the expense side. So I think for Q1 of this year, kind of a reasonable range for total expenses in that $24.5 million to $25 million. $25 million on the high side, $24.5 million on the low is a reasonable starting point for you and others. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Operator [8] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Our next question comes from William Wallace with Raymond James. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- William Jefferson Wallace, Raymond James & Associates, Inc., Research Division - Research Analyst [9] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Maybe just kind of following up on that last question. It seems across the industry, there is a lot of commentary about how the pandemic and work from home has changed how not only retail, but commercial customers are using the branch. Assuming that's the same in Maine, is there opportunity with your branch network to maybe accelerate consolidation opportunities? And could that $24.5 million to $25 million expense range, could there be potential levers for that to even decline or perhaps, at least offset any kind of natural pressures from reinvesting in the business and inflation, et cetera? -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gregory A. Dufour, Camden National Corporation - President, CEO & Director [10] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Greg White, do you want to kick off that? -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gregory A. White, Camden National Corporation - Executive VP, CFO and Principal Financial & Accounting Officer [11] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Yes. Sure. I guess, I -- first of all, reference. If you look, we did closed 3 branches in April of 2020. Obviously, the pandemic was going on at that point, but that analysis was done pre pandemic. So I guess the point, Wally, is the bank is always looking to rationalize cost, and those branches were either unprofitable or were low profitability, I should say. So that's kind of a good way to think about Camden National Bank, I think, is always -- with that said, I'd also add that we're very focused on the efficiency ratio and both components, revenue and expense side, making sure that, that doesn't go much beyond the mid 50-ish type of level. So, yes. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gregory A. Dufour, Camden National Corporation - President, CEO & Director [12] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Maybe if I can jump in a little bit, and Wally, I think we agree with what you're saying and what a lot of other organizations doing and announcing branch closures, and that's one aspect of it. I will point out in addition to what Greg said of, call it, our track record of constantly looking at our branches and trimming when we can. As I looked at some of those other announcements, especially when you get into those larger organizations, they're dealing with a high concentration of branches, a lot of overlap, whether it's within a couple of miles or not. The main geography doesn't give us, call it, those somewhat more logical choices to make that if we have 2 branches within 5 miles of each other to go through that analysis, it tend to be spread out a little bit more. Albeit, we always look at those opportunities where we can gain efficiency by, call it, closing a branch and maintaining a high level of retention of those customers. The other aspect, though, is we are seeing, as all organizations, a lot more customer behavior going into the digital channels. We're really focused on not only, call it, expanding on that and deepening that with our customers, but also making investments in it to make sure that we're keeping pace with what our customers want, and more importantly, what some of the bigger organizations can do. And the great news is, we're starting with a great platform that's driven by Q2 e-banking for us. So we're looking forward to that, and that will help us. Again, further work into, call it, the calculus of what do we do with this branch network that we have. The final piece of it -- that is somewhat more interesting is, as we're looking at return to work, and we're still in our nonbanking staffing level or non in-person branches, we're probably still about 80% of the remaining employees are working remotely, and those 20% may range from being in the office 5 days a week to as little as 1 day a week, and we're tracking that quite a bit. And as you can tell, we're operating really well when we put up these results. As time goes on, that will allow us to really, like a lot of organizations, banking and elsewhere, what does our workforce look like. And that, I think, is going to be the interesting one where we look at, call it, our nonbanking or nonbranch locations to say what is our realistic need there? And can we reduce that fixed cost that's built in the system of running offices and et cetera. I think all of that is some of those things that we're looking at, they're on the table. We have teams of people considering that. Now with that said, a lot of variables to go in there, especially with, call it, just COVID-19 vaccination impact. So we're not prepared to say here's the estimate of the upside for all of those things, but at least, we have them in the scope of what we're looking at strategically. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- William Jefferson Wallace, Raymond James & Associates, Inc., Research Division - Research Analyst [13] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Okay. All right. I appreciate all that commentary. I believe you said in your prepared remarks that you've taken -- I think you said 92 applications of the most recent round of PPP. What's the dollar amount of those? And ultimately, where do you think you could shake out? -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gregory A. Dufour, Camden National Corporation - President, CEO & Director [14] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Yes. And actually, I think it was 495 applications. I don't have the all-in number off the top of my head, and 90% of those, give or take, were second draws. Actually, right now -- and somebody just whispered in my ear, it's $40 million of applications so far we have. Right now, it's really kind of hard to gauge what we expect the total volume to be. We do know it's starting off. I won't say slower because I think part of it is -- we're ready for PPP, the SBA is. More importantly, customers are. So there is not, call it, that huge rush that we saw a little less than a year ago in the first round of PPP. We're prepared to do a lot more volume, but of course, it comes down to what we're going to see from our customers. But we're proactively going out there, reaching out to our existing customers who have PPP and double checking to make sure they're looking at their records, in case you want to come in for a second draw. And we can't forget at the same time, we got to work through some forgiveness on the first rounds going through. So the teams involved there relatively busy for quite a while. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- William Jefferson Wallace, Raymond James & Associates, Inc., Research Division - Research Analyst [15] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Okay. And then last, as you continue to buy some shares during the quarter, is the stock -- is it still at levels that you consider attractive to utilize repurchases as a capital management tool? And if so, how do you think about maybe target or where you say you have excess capital or just kind of how do you manage that part of this equation? -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gregory A. Dufour, Camden National Corporation - President, CEO & Director [16] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Yes. We really don't give, call it, an indication obviously of what value we think we're at with. And like any bank CEO or any public company CEO, my stock is always undervalued no matter what level we're at, right? We do have parameters that we institute that program on that for all the right reasons are confidential. I will say, when you look at our capital, we are holding a lot more, I would call it at this point, in the dry powder phase as we're trying to see things play out economically from all the factors that we all know about. I will say, when you look over time, we have a pretty good track record of maintaining our capital levels. So this institution stays strong, but also redeploying that back to shareholders either through dividends, through repurchases or other things that we've done over the spectrum of years at least I've been here. So it's something that we constantly look at. I will say from, call it, an inside perspective, we do have a committee of the Board that is a capital committee. So that's something that the Board is playing an active role in as how we manage those capital levels. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Operator [17] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (Operator Instructions) Our next question comes from Jacob Civiello with Janney. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Jacob F. Civiello, Janney Montgomery Scott LLC, Research Division - Director of Banks and Thrifts & Equity Research Analyst [18] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- First question is that you referenced mortgage banking being really strong in the quarter. Do you have the breakdown of the refi versus purchase for the fourth quarter mortgage originations? -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gregory A. Dufour, Camden National Corporation - President, CEO & Director [19] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Let me see if we can gather that while we're on the phone. I don't have it at my fingertips, Jake, but I will point out that the activity was strong. We reached $1 billion of mortgage volume within that. I don't have that specific breakout right now, but I would say, the vast majority of that or a good majority of that was refi. However, we have seen, and as you know, being in the main market that the purchase activity was significant, but that may be something that we can come back and get out to you all so you know. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Jacob F. Civiello, Janney Montgomery Scott LLC, Research Division - Director of Banks and Thrifts & Equity Research Analyst [20] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Okay. I appreciate that. And then thus far in the first quarter in January, with the move in the 10-year to over 1%? Have you noticed any demand change for -- specifically for mortgage refis? -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gregory A. Dufour, Camden National Corporation - President, CEO & Director [21] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- I was just chatting with Trish Rose, who runs our EVP of Retail Banking and Mortgages, and we are still at a fever pitch. So we haven't seen a big drop-off of that, but as you know, it's a lag. We're probably still working through stuff that was coming through the latter part of the year, but it continues to pick up on us. So it's a pretty strong market still for us. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Jacob F. Civiello, Janney Montgomery Scott LLC, Research Division - Director of Banks and Thrifts & Equity Research Analyst [22] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- That's good to hear. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gregory A. Dufour, Camden National Corporation - President, CEO & Director [23] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Yes. Absolutely. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Jacob F. Civiello, Janney Montgomery Scott LLC, Research Division - Director of Banks and Thrifts & Equity Research Analyst [24] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Just one more. Yes. Just one more question for me. If the economic environment stays on the same trajectory or on a similar trajectory through the rest of '21, could you envision releasing reserves at some point during the year? -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gregory A. Dufour, Camden National Corporation - President, CEO & Director [25] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Well, sorry if I'm laughing because you're talking to an old banker who's been here probably doing banking 30-plus years, and under the incurred model and prior models, that would be an easier answer. Right now, that's all driven by CECL. Now that we're on that, which, as you know, is driven by economic factors and outlooks and what have you. I will say, with that said, the model does give us flexibility to look at different factors, specific factors, especially as we drive into the data on various industry segments that we have. So I guess my best answer would be, Jake, is when we have an opportunity to release and that aligns up with our longer term view, and we will release when those indicators say that we need to be. I was fortunate, somebody just shot me a note that in the fourth quarter, on residential mortgage activity, 45% was refi. So a lot lower than what we expected at that volume level. So it's good because the rest of it, 55% is purchase, which is a great business to have. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Jacob F. Civiello, Janney Montgomery Scott LLC, Research Division - Director of Banks and Thrifts & Equity Research Analyst [26] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Yes, most definitely. I mean, I guess one last question would be to that last point. Do you think you're taking market share? Or are these existing customers that you're garnering new business from? -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gregory A. Dufour, Camden National Corporation - President, CEO & Director [27] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- I think we're -- well, I know we're gaining new customers through that. And I would say, when you look at the numbers, we're the third largest mortgage volume producer by the accounts that we have, and so that's pretty steady to what we've been having. However, when you look at the other list, like everybody else, in every market, you're seeing nonbanks getting a bigger market share, especially digital-based lenders as well. And so that's part of the competition that wasn't there a few years ago, and we're fortunate we have our mortgage touch, automated application process that can compete with that, but as well as provide our personal service that we have through our origination teams and branch teams that the digital lenders can offer. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Operator [28] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- As we have no further questions, this concludes our question-and-answer session. I would now like to turn the conference back over to Greg Dufour for any closing remarks. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gregory A. Dufour, Camden National Corporation - President, CEO & Director [29] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Great. Well, probably the one thing I've told a lot of different audiences and especially, here internally over the past couple of weeks as we've started to close the books and understand what happened to 2020. If you would have asked me 8 or 9 months ago, if we would be sitting here talking about record earnings, nearly $60 million of net income, I wouldn't have taken that sitting in April of 2020 at the start of the pandemic. So we're extremely grateful to be able to share these results with you, but I do want to just say, there's been a lot of hard work done here by teams, whether it's folks in PPP, obviously in our mortgage areas. We've asked banking center employees to show up to work, be in-person to serve our customers that do come in, and so it's been truly, truly a team effort. And I will just give you an aside, we take our engagement employees here very seriously, and we use Gallop to measure our engagement. And through all of this and through all the trials and tribulations of the pandemic, our engagement has actually gone up in 2020 versus 2019. So I just wanted to share -- publicly give thanks to the employees of the Camden National as well as say, you're good hands for folks that are caring about your investment. With that, I hope everyone stays safe and healthy, and best wishes for a great 2021. Thank you, all. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Operator [30] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.