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Edited Transcript of GECC.OQ earnings conference call or presentation 14-Nov-19 3:00pm GMT

Q3 2019 Great Elm Capital Corp Earnings Call

BOSTON Dec 6, 2019 (Thomson StreetEvents) -- Edited Transcript of Great Elm Capital Corp earnings conference call or presentation Thursday, November 14, 2019 at 3:00:00pm GMT

TEXT version of Transcript

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Corporate Participants

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* Adam W. Yates

Great Elm Capital Management, Inc. - Portfolio Manager

* Peter Andrew Reed

Great Elm Capital Corporation - Chairman, President & CEO

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Conference Call Participants

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* Mickey Max Schleien

Ladenburg Thalmann & Co. Inc., Research Division - MD of Equity Research & Supervisory Analyst

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Presentation

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Operator [1]

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Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Great Elm Capital Corp. Third Quarter 2019 Financial Results Conference Call. (Operator Instructions) I will now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Adam Yates. Thank you. Please go ahead, sir.

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Adam W. Yates, Great Elm Capital Management, Inc. - Portfolio Manager [2]

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Thank you, Lisa, and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us for Great Elm Capital Corp.'s Third Quarter 2019 Earnings Conference Call. As a reminder, this webcast is being recorded on Thursday, November 14, 2019. If you'd like to be added to our distribution list, you can e-mail investorrelations@greatelmcap.com or you can sign up for alerts directly on our website, www.greatelmcc.com. The slide presentation accompanying this morning's conference call and webcast can be found on our website under financial Information, quarterly results. On the website, you can also find a copy of our earnings release, Form 10-Q and link to the webcast.

I'd like to call your attention to the customary safe harbor statement regarding forward-looking information. Also, please note that nothing in today's call constitutes an offer to sell or a solicitation of offers to purchase our securities. Today's conference call includes forward-looking statements and projections, and we ask that you refer to Great Elm Capital Corp.'s filings with the SEC for important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from these projections. Great Elm Capital Corp. does not undertake to update its forward-looking statements unless required by law. To obtain copies of the SEC filings, please visit Great Elm Capital Corp.'s website under Financial Information, SEC filings or visit the SEC's website.

Hosting the call this morning is Peter Reed, Great Elm Capital Corp.'s President and Chief Executive Officer. I will now turn the call over to Peter.

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Peter Andrew Reed, Great Elm Capital Corporation - Chairman, President & CEO [3]

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Thank you, Adam. Good morning, and thank you for joining us today. I'm joined this morning by our COO, Adam Kleinman; Portfolio Manager, Adam Yates; and our CFO, Keri Davis. Where relevant in our prepared remarks, we will point you to the corresponding slide number in the deck that Adam referenced, which is available on our website as well as through the webcast.

Please turn to Slide 3 for an overview of GECC. GECC is an externally managed special situations-focused BDC. GECC seeks to generate both current income and capital appreciation from its portfolio of investments comprised primarily of secured loans, secured bonds and specialty finance investments. As of September 30, 2019, GECC had total assets of approximately $298.2 million; a portfolio fair value of $194.8 million; and a net asset value of $91.5 million, equating to $9.09 per share. The weighted average current yield on our debt holdings was approximately 11%. GECC paid an $0.083 per share monthly base distribution that equates to approximately $1 per share on an annual basis. Importantly, greater than 20% of GECC shares are held by employees and affiliates of Great Elm Capital Management Inc., GECC's investment manager, creating very clear alignment of interest between management and our shareholders.

Let's turn to Slide 4 to go over a few highlights and recent achievements. I'm pleased to report that GECC's net investment income has covered its declared distributions every quarter since inception in 2016. Over the trailing 12 months, GECC has paid $1.24 in total distributions, consisting of a $0.083 monthly based distribution and a $0.24 special distribution. Based upon September 30 NAV and closing market price, that total distribution equates to an annual distribution yield of 13.6% and 15.1%, respectively. During the quarter, we deployed capital at a weighted average price of 97% of par, and we monetized investments at a weighted average price of par.

On Slide 6, we highlighted a few high-level characteristics of the portfolio. The weighted average current yield on our secured debt holdings, which comprised approximately 86% of the fair value of the portfolio is approximately 11%. The weighted average price of the debt instruments in our portfolio is approximately 87% of par, providing for significant potential capital appreciation. Moreover, as we have monetized legacy Full Circle positions and redeployed the proceeds into new and existing Great Elm investments, the portfolio continues to better reflect our investing style and approach. As of September 30, roughly 95% of the portfolio was comprised of investments that are representative of the diversified manner in which we intend to invest going forward.

Slide 7 describes additional portfolio characteristics. The portfolio contains 36 investments, 29 of which are secured debt and 7 of which are equity. The 29 debt investments account for $168.3 million of fair value, and the 7 equity investments account for approximately $26.5 million of fair value. Our total debt holdings -- of our total debt holdings, roughly 72% are floating rate instruments and 28% accrue at fixed rates.

Please turn to Slide 8 to review our capital activity during the third quarter. We deployed approximately $46 million into 15 investments at a weighted average price of 97% of par and a weighted average current yield of 10.2%. We monetized in part or in full, 16 investments at a weighted average dollar price of par and a weighted average current yield of 10.8%.

Slides 9 and 10 review our capital deployment in greater detail. We purchased 5 new and 5 existing portfolio investments during the quarter, deploying approximately $34 million. The new investments were: $12 million of Mitchell International secured term loan; $4.3 million of California Pizza Kitchen's second lien term loan; $3 million of Cooke Omega's secured note; $2.8 million of ASP Chromaflo secured term loan; and a $5 million commitment in Duff & Phelps secured revolver. Additions to our existing investments included $4 million of Shearer’s Foods secured term loan; $3 million of Boardriders secured term loan; $3 million of California Pizza Kitchen's first lien term loan; $3 million of Tensar secured term loan; and approximately $0.3 million of Peninsula Pacific Entertainment secured term loan purchased in the primary market.

Please turn to Slide 11 to break down the quarter end portfolio by asset and interest rate type. Approximately 86% of the fair value of the portfolio is invested in secured debt, with the balance in equity investments. That's roughly $168.3 million of debt and $26.5 million of equity. Of the $168.3 million of debt holdings, roughly $121.1 million is invested in floating rate debt with a weighted average current yield of 10.6%. Roughly $47.2 million is invested in fixed rate debt with a weighted average current yield of 12.3%.

On Slide 2 (sic) [12], we highlight how the composition of the portfolio has changed over time. Today, the portfolio has no unsecured debt as we continue to source and purchase attractive secured opportunities. Prestige Capital Finance LLC, one of GECC's significant equity positions received its third and largest distribution to date, totaling $480,000 and annualizing at a greater than 20% yield on GECC's initial investment. Prestige's performance has exceeded our internal expectations, contributed meaningful earnings with little correlation to our broader secured credit portfolio.

Turning to Slide 13. Let's review the composition of our debt holdings by interest rate type. Our team has been focusing on floating rate leverage loan opportunities that are uncovering in the secondary market. Recently, we have found greater opportunity in the leveraged loan market than in the more transparent high-yield bond market, and we anticipate that this trend may continue.

On Slide 14, we break down the portfolio by industry. Wireless Telecommunications services, comprised of our investments in Avanti, is still the largest industry weighting. Nevertheless, we continue to maintain a diversified portfolio of investments, as indicated by the 21 different industries represented.

Please turn to Slide 15 to take a historical look at GECC's portfolio rotation. During each of the past 12 quarters since inception, we have monetized higher dollar priced investments and deployed capital into lower dollar priced investments contributing to GECC's total return. Most recently, in the third quarter of 2019, we deployed capital at a weighted average price of approximately 97% of par and we realized investments at a weighted average price of par. Again, substantially all of the capital deployed during the quarter was invested in first lien and/or secured debt.

Turning to Slide 16. We get a more granular picture of what GECC's investment activity looks like quarter-over-quarter. As you can see, we've been able to find compelling debt investment opportunities at prices below par in each of the past 5 quarters. This past quarter, we were able to invest capital at a 10.2% average current yield, slightly lower than our recent average as LIBOR compresses.

On Slide 18, we detail our activity since quarter end. In particular, I would note that the $2 million of Viasat receivables purchased at $0.90 on the dollar and the $700,000 (sic) [$800,000] par paydown of the PE Facility Solutions Term Loan B. The small outstanding amount of the PE facility solutions, Term Loan B is the only remaining exposure from one of Full Circle's largest investments.

Let's turn to Slide 20 to review financial highlights from the quarter. Net loss per share was $0.96 in the third quarter. NII per share came in at $0.26 covering our $0.25 quarterly base distribution once again. We experienced net realized gains of approximately $0.02 in net unrealized losses of $1.24, primarily the result of fluctuations in the fair value of certain investments, including our Avanti investments. Net asset value was $9.09 per share at period end.

Please turn to Slide 21 for a financial overview of the portfolio. At period end, total assets were $298.2 million. Total fair value of investments was $194.8 million and our $9.09 per share NAV equated to an aggregate NAV of $91.5 million. Total debt outstanding was unchanged at $124 million. Cash and money markets were a healthy $24.8 million at period end.

Slide 22 highlights select financial performance during the quarter. Total investment income was approximately $7 million or $0.70 per share. Net expenses were approximately $4.4 million or $0.44 per share. NII was approximately $2.6 million or $0.26 per share. Net realized gains were approximately $300,000 or $0.02 per share. Net unrealized depreciation from investments was $12.5 million or $1.24 per share.

Slide 23 contains detail on the $12.5 million of unrealized losses our portfolio experienced during the quarter. The unrealized losses were the result of what we believe to be temporary reductions in the fair value of a number of our investments. Importantly, we remain encouraged by the underlying credit quality of the portfolio and we do not believe that this quarter's volatility is indicative of a reduction in the intrinsic value of those positions.

Turning to Slide 24. Let's discuss the quarterly operating results. Total investment income of $7 million or $0.70 per share compares to the second quarter $6.7 million or $0.66 per share. Net operating expenses of $4.4 million or $0.44 per share were higher than the first (sic) [second] quarter's $3.7 million or $0.36 per share primarily the result of increased interest expense associated with our new baby bond GECCN. NII of $2.6 million or $0.26 per share was lower than the second quarter's $3.0 million or $0.29 per share, as we received certain nonrecurring fees during the second quarter that boosted NII.

Turning to Slide 26. Let's discuss GECC's distribution policy and declared distributions to date. GECC continues to pay an $0.083 per share monthly base distribution that sums to $1 per share per year. In December, we announced a special distribution of $0.24 per share bringing the past 12 months total distributions to $1.24 per share. The past 12 months total distributions represent a 13.6% dividend yield on the September 30, 2019, NAV and approximately 15.1% dividend yield on the quarter end market value.

Slide 27 shows GECC's full distribution history and overlays what the annual distribution yield was as a percentage of the market price. GECC's substantial special distributions in each of the past 2 years, when combined with the monthly base distributions, have driven annual distribution yields well north of 10% in each full year since inception.

Slide 28 illustrates our historical distribution coverage. Again, it's important to emphasize that NII has covered the base distribution every quarter since inception in 2016.

Finally, please turn to Slide 30 for a GECC summary. Our Board has set first quarter 2020 distributions at $0.083 per share per month. Also greater than 20% of GECC shares are held by employees and affiliates of Great Elm Capital Management Inc., GECC's investment manager, fostering a true alignment of interest between management and other shareholders. Furthering that alignment of interest, to date, GECC has repurchased approximately 22% of its initial share count. The weighted average current yield on our diversified portfolio of secured loans and bonds is approximately 11%. And the IRR on our growing pool of realized investments is a substantial 20%.

Thank you for joining us this morning. We continue to be excited about the upside potential in the portfolio as well as with the progress we have made monetizing legacy positions. We believe that we have created a significant alignment of interest with you, our shareholders. Thank you again for the support and confidence you have placed in us.

With that, we will turn the call over to the operator to open for questions.

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Questions and Answers

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Operator [1]

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(Operator Instructions) Your first question comes from the line of Mickey Schleien with Ladenburg.

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Mickey Max Schleien, Ladenburg Thalmann & Co. Inc., Research Division - MD of Equity Research & Supervisory Analyst [2]

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I wanted to follow-up on your comments about the unrealized depreciation this quarter being driven by volatility in the loan markets. And clearly, I agree, there's been a great deal of volatility, some of that being driven by outflows due to lower LIBOR, but also, deterioration in credit with the rating agencies lowering the ratings on many borrowers as a result of business models that may not be working. And also, there's a bifurcation in the market where folks are rewarding good businesses with good credit and not so much for others. So my question is, in this sort of environment, obviously, it's having an impact on your NAV, but I presume that's also providing you with some opportunities. And I'd like to understand where your focus is in terms of that opportunities? And also, how do you see this volatility playing out over the next few quarters? And how are you positioning yourself ahead of that?

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Peter Andrew Reed, Great Elm Capital Corporation - Chairman, President & CEO [3]

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Mickey, thanks for your questions. A lot of good insight in there per usual. I'll take that -- the last part first. The upside of the enhanced market volatility is that our deployment environment at the margin is definitely better than it has been. It's definitely slightly easier to put money out at slightly higher returns and where we think we're not taking a significant amount of -- or an increased amount of corporate credit risk. As far as parsing the different pieces of market volatility, it's a little bit hard to unpack. But when I look at our portfolio, I would say, generally, companies that performed well in the quarter still frequently were marked lower and companies whose performance was more mediocre are also marked lower, but at a higher magnitude. So that's what we're observing with respect to our portfolio. And then it's even in positions that don't have market prices, but where we, as an independent valuation firm, do full valuations. Those filter through as well with wider spreads in the marketplace, increasing discount rates applied to positions that are being fair valued, that don't have market prices, and that also has a depressing effect. So we've observed it on a broad basis across the portfolio, not every position had it, but a lot of them did and the ones -- and that seemed to be somewhat irrespective of underlying company performance.

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Mickey Max Schleien, Ladenburg Thalmann & Co. Inc., Research Division - MD of Equity Research & Supervisory Analyst [4]

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Okay. I understand that. That's certainly consistent with what I'm hearing. And just if I could follow-up, sort of, every quarter, we're going to ask about Avanti, and now that it's not listed, I guess, there's going to be less flow of information. But going into the year, there was expectation that recapitalization of that company would provide a pathway toward improved financial performance to the extent that you can, can you give us an update on how that business is progressing?

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Peter Andrew Reed, Great Elm Capital Corporation - Chairman, President & CEO [5]

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Sure. And so a good point, the company did delist during the most recent calendar quarter; however, its bonds are listed on the Irish Stock Exchange and there are reporting obligations that go along with that. So the company's public disclosures are not going away entirely. There will still be availability out there of information describing its financial performance would be one. Two, despite the unrealized loss that we took on the 2 positions in the quarter, the company's performance is trending very much in the right direction and very much consistent with the public guidance that the company had put up before it delisted. And to summarize that, what I would say is, the company has guided to its key revenue category core bandwidth having very substantial growth year-over-year, we are observing that today. The company had embarked upon an ambitious cost-cutting plan at the beginning of the year, it's ahead of plan. The results of that are that the company expects to be EBITDA positive in the fourth quarter of this year, fourth calendar quarter, and that remains our belief from what we're observing out of the company on a regular basis. As the company has long duration recurring revenue contracts, presuming that we are -- and the company are correct about the trajectory of its financial performance, the next quarter on an annualized basis should be substantially better than this quarter because of -- its hit a meaningful inflection point in the fourth quarter as far as profitability goes.

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Mickey Max Schleien, Ladenburg Thalmann & Co. Inc., Research Division - MD of Equity Research & Supervisory Analyst [6]

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Okay, that's helpful. Just one follow-up to that. To what extent does Avanti rely on customers who are transmitting television signals? The reason that I ask is that there's an argument that with 5G in cellular and other technologies developing, fate -- the outlook for satellite TV seems pretty meager. Is that a meaningful risk factor for Avanti?

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Peter Andrew Reed, Great Elm Capital Corporation - Chairman, President & CEO [7]

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Good observation, Avanti had 0 business in the television side of the satellite business. It's all communications driven.

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Operator [8]

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(Operator Instructions)

Your next question comes from the line of [Tony Holcombe] with Arlington Management.

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Unidentified Analyst, [9]

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I also have a question regarding the investment in Avanti, the second lien bonds and the common equity. First, the second lien bonds traded right before quarter end in the 20s. Now shareholders are being charged a fee on this mark. Can you help me understand your valuation at 69% of par, approximately? And then also, would you be able to get that in the open market if you were to sell those bonds today?

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Peter Andrew Reed, Great Elm Capital Corporation - Chairman, President & CEO [10]

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Sure. Thanks, [Tony.] So the way that our valuation policy works is that it has -- it's sort of a waterfall. And all of our positions, the way that it goes through is, we have an independent valuation firm looking at the market activity. And in some cases, lack of activity. That firm determined that the market activity in the quarter was not sufficient to solely rely on the market price for determining the valuation. So consistent with what it's been doing for most of this year is it's been doing what's called a full valuation. In that full valuation, this independent valuation firm receives information from us that we get from Avanti as a result of being on the company's Board of Directors. I can tell you that, that market activity is incorporated into their full valuation, but it incorporates a variety of factors and that is one of those. And that activity did play a part in the unrealized loss that we incurred in this quarter.

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Unidentified Analyst, [11]

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Okay. And then how -- so if you were to sell those today, you're feeling like you would be able to get $0.69, despite the open market transactions that have taken place?

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Peter Andrew Reed, Great Elm Capital Corporation - Chairman, President & CEO [12]

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No. Sorry, that's -- I'm not saying that. I'm saying that the fair value of the investment, as determined by an independent firm was determined to be $0.69. I think it's also worth looking one of the other significant bondholders is also a BDC. I believe they also have the position valued by an independent valuation firm, and their mark is the same as ours this quarter or very close.

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Unidentified Analyst, [13]

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Right. Yes, it's close. BlackRock has it marked a little bit lower. But okay, I guess that's all right. Then second question on the common stock, we did note that it was delisted at the end of September. The last day it was trading on AIM, it was a fraction of a pence, which I suppose translates into a lesser fraction of $0.01, but your valuation appears to be slightly more than $0.01. So again, I mean, as investors are being charged on this mark, how did you arrive at the common stock valuation?

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Peter Andrew Reed, Great Elm Capital Corporation - Chairman, President & CEO [14]

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So same process as the bond we have, it's valued by an independent firm. The trading price of the equity prior to its delisting was a significant input in that valuation, but wasn't all of the input for that. So just like with the second lien bond, the valuation firm has access to information that we're providing it from the company that is not available in the public domain. And that -- they go through a variety of methodologies and come up with a weighted average of those methodologies to arrive at the valuation of that investment.

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Unidentified Analyst, [15]

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Okay. Well, just kind of a final note or final question. Shareholders before, let's say, I mean, I guess last 2 years have been getting ordinary income in the form of dividends and principal losses, so I mean if the Avanti does manage to pay off at our call, we would really be just getting money back that we've already paid out as dividend. The bond protections, looking at the documents, are pretty weak. It does not look like there's really any sort of mechanism for default, unless there is no payment, which does not -- which won't happen as long as they can pay PIK. So is there any visibility you can give us on a potential exit of this investment because it really seems to be the cloud over the stock that's holding it back. And frankly, I mean, what's holding back your otherwise decent trading and special situation results?

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Peter Andrew Reed, Great Elm Capital Corporation - Chairman, President & CEO [16]

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So understanding Avanti and the position and its sizing are -- is the topic we talk about with investors most often. With respect to the bond, that's the result of a heavily negotiated out of bankruptcy court restructuring that we participated in, along with a few other key investors. In connection with that, we and other significant creditors effectively took over control of the company. And so as a result of that some of the things that I think you're talking about were less important to us as bondholders than they would be if the bondholders didn't end up owning the company, if that makes sense. Now to be fair, it's a secured piece of credit with a pretty rich collateral package that we can -- have thought and continue to think is sort of underappreciated by the marketplace. But nevertheless, we feel comfortable with the creditor protections. They are -- in many ways, they are more robust than is what's available out there in the broadly syndicated markets. But the primary way that I think all of the former creditors, most of whom are significant shareholders now will engineer and exit is through effective control of the company's Board of Directors by virtue of being large shareholders. So I do think that there is likely to be strategic interest in this company. I think that the company continuing to perform well, makes it more likely that there's an exit that we would find appealing. So the company is continuing to trend in the right direction fundamentally. We think its assets are pretty valuable, in particular, to other satellite operators. And hopefully, those converge upon and exited valuation that we like.

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Operator [17]

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I am showing no further questions at this time. I would now like to turn the conference back to Mr. Adam Yates.

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Adam W. Yates, Great Elm Capital Management, Inc. - Portfolio Manager [18]

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Thank you again for joining us this morning. We look forward to continued dialogue, and please let us know if we can be helpful with anything in follow-up.

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Operator [19]

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Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.