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Edited Transcript of HEX.OL earnings conference call or presentation 14-Aug-19 6:30am GMT

Q2 2019 Hexagon Composites ASA Earnings Presentation

Oslo Aug 24, 2019 (Thomson StreetEvents) -- Edited Transcript of Hexagon Composites ASA earnings conference call or presentation Wednesday, August 14, 2019 at 6:30:00am GMT

TEXT version of Transcript

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Corporate Participants

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* David Bandele

Hexagon Composites ASA - CFO

* Jon Erik Engeset

Hexagon Composites ASA - President & CEO

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Conference Call Participants

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* Halvor Strand Nygård

SEB, Research Division - Analyst

* Mikkel Nyholt

Carnegie Investment Bank AB, Research Division - Analyst of Industrials, Construction and Infrastructure

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Presentation

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Jon Erik Engeset, Hexagon Composites ASA - President & CEO [1]

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Okay. Very good morning to all of you. Welcome to Hexagon's Q2 Presentation 2019. And we've just completed our strategic update, so I would like to spend the first section of this presentation in giving or sharing with you some of the highlights. And then David will take you through the Q2 numbers and the outlook for the rest of the year.

So the backdrop of our strategic position -- we'll just allow the latest to arrive. Good morning -- so may not be the brightest for the globe, but for Hexagon, it represents major opportunities. In our assessment, the shift to clean energy alternatives has now passed the point of no return. So there is a growing concern, I would say, in most layers of the populations around the world and an acknowledgment that the climate changes are real and also true concerns about local emissions. And in the last couple of years, we've also seen financiers to an increasing extent preferring environmental and social governance papers. So capital today is readily available for good investment opportunities in direction of improved environment.

And regarding our sector, there is a significant push now for greener transportation. Short to medium term, in our terminology that is the next 5 to 10 years, we are of the strong expectation that natural gas will be a major source and the environmental impact will be improved further by renewable natural gas or biogas, while at the same time, we see a technology shift towards electric drive. So electric drive in itself has efficiency advantages above combustion engines. So we think that longer term, electric drive will be the solution for the drivetrains, but the jury is still out on whether it will be battery electric, whether it will be fuel cell electric or whether it will be hybrids and potentially hybrids between gas and electric drive. Some very significant challenges in infrastructure development, less so with hybrid solutions because then, you could potentially generate the electricity onboard the vehicles.

Also, we see that the center of gravity especially for the hydrogen development is now shifting towards Asia -- East Asia: China, Korea, Japan. We see that light-duty vehicle projects in Europe and in North America are getting delayed. I will come back to that. And we also see shift to heavier vehicles. So while the focus a couple of years ago primarily was on the light-duty side, we see now that there is a considerable attention to the medium-duty and heavy-duty vehicles.

So the sum of this is an expectation of significant growth. Probably that is a strong understatement. If you take a look at the forecasts for the global vehicle sales, it is predicted to grow by approximately 1% per year. In 2018, there were a volume of 97 million vehicles sold on a global basis. That, if growing by 1% per year, will reach 110 million by 2030 and 134 million by 2040. KPMG, they release a report annually, and they estimate that by 2040, 77% of new vehicles sold will be clean fuels and hybrids, 77%. If we then do some maths, in 2018, Hexagon's estimated combined addressable market globally was approximately NOK 4 billion, corresponding to 0.4 per mille of the new sales of vehicles globally. If we assume that by 2030, 10% of the new sales will be -- will represent an addressable market for our products and systems, that is -- conservatively translates into an addressable market of NOK 600 billion.

That may be deemed extreme if you look at the relative growth, but if you look at it as a step to solve the problem, it is probably extremely disappointing because 10% is not even the incremental growth of the sales of vehicles from now until 2030. So if one truly believes that this emission challenge needs to be solved, and needs to be solved fast, then 10% is far too low by 2030. I will not take the risk of making a prediction, but I do assume that Hexagon will meet very, very strong growth in the years to come.

If we take a strategic recap and go back to 2014, then I think many looked at Hexagon as a shale gas play. We had a strong presence in North America, and shale gas entered the markets at very competitive terms. Then we had the oil price collapse late 2014, and we repositioned Hexagon shortly thereafter to become an alternative clean fuel systems supplier. We merged part of our business with Agility in 2016, taking the step from product supplier to system supplier. We later acquired our main competitor, xperion, consolidating the industry. And we reorganized and established Hexagon Purus as the main vehicle for hydrogen sales globally. We, last autumn, acquired Digital Wave as a step towards digitizing our offering. And then late last year, we also announced the purchase of the remaining shares in Agility, acquiring that 100%.

So with these steps, we feel we now have established a very strong platform for pursuing the g- and e-mobility opportunities going forward. And if I say that in 2014, on a scale from 1 to 10, our confidence level was between 4 and 5, today, it is at 10. So we are now fully convinced that the strategic steps that we've taken were the right ones in order to position Hexagon for the future.

With these steps, we now have engineering hubs in North America and in Europe. And we worked over the last year, in particular, in order to combine these and to establish joint processes and be able to position for further opportunities. We, today, can boldly divide our business into g-mobility on the one hand, CNG and RNG; hydrogen electric and battery electric under e-mobility. So as we have mentioned a couple of times in Agility, we have run the program to develop systems capability for battery electric, medium-duty and heavy-duty. So it's important to underline that we are not a battery producer. We will probably never be a battery producer, but we are integrating battery technologies with electric drivetrains and are able to upfit trucks and medium-duty vehicles to battery electric drivetrains.

And also, we have the capabilities to combine and deliver hybrids. That is a bit premature. We don't see a lot of hybrids between battery electric, hydrogen electric and natural gas/biogas at this stage, but it is our expectation that -- also that will come into the picture in the coming years. So there will not be one and only solution. There will be a combination of several.

The hydrogen momentum continues to build up strongly. So we announced a few weeks ago that one of the programs that we had been working on has been delayed indefinitely, so it may seem a paradox that we're then stating that the momentum is building up strongly, but it is an important message there. The reason why these light-duty programs get delayed are twofold: one, the technology development is very challenging, and the OEMs are working through those challenges and they experience some delays; but more importantly, by moving hydrogen up their strategic agenda, they are taking a step back, looking at the vehicle platforms, looking at their long-term strategies, making adjustments to get it right.

And the latest to announce that they are targeting the fuel cell space is BMW. They have been late in entering the party. But they also then, a couple weeks ago, confirmed that they want to be in the market from the mid-'20s with a serial production.

Germany. In Germany, the German government has followed Japan, Korea and China and expressed that they are targeting leadership -- global leadership in development of hydrogen technology. And also Cummins, one of the major players in the combustion technology space, recently announced that they want to acquire Hydrogenics and also then taking an important step from the combustion technology platform into the electric space.

China, having been a forerunner in battery electric development, now is shifting to hydro -- sorry, to fuel cell electric. The government there is targeting 1 million hydrogen fuel cell vehicles by 2030. And as the father of electric cars in China has expressed, "We will sort out the factors that have been hindering the development of fuel cell vehicles." So very interesting development coming there.

Somewhat under the radar in Norway is the development on renewable natural gas, but this is maybe the hottest topic for the time being in North America. UPS, a major customer of ours, has already been a forerunner in promoting alternative fuels, and they recently announced their target of 40% alternative fuels by 2025. They also made a record RNG deal, so renewable natural gas -- biogas, if you like, of 170 million diesel gallon equivalents. And the illustration to the right on this picture shows the impact on CO2 emissions by that deal. So as we've discussed before, RNG can have a net CO2 reduction impact as it ties up methane and converts it to fuel and replace fossil fuels.

And Volkswagen's program to promote CNG and biogas as a main part of their strategy continues. They now have 19 passenger car models on the market but also a number of bus applications and also have a truck solution. And as you will see from the numbers, the development of that particular business is very satisfactory.

So going forward, we will leverage our established leadership position and pursue even stronger growth. We will step up our R&D activities further. We will put major emphasis on developing a world-class organization. We have a strong organization, but we have to deal with some of the most sophisticated, large corporations in the world being used to the light-duty OEM standards, and we need to develop our organization to fully meet those requirements. We are strong in North America. We are strong in Europe. We have a weak presence in Asia, so to establish and develop an Asian footprint is high on our agenda.

From some of the commentary, we see that some investors and maybe also some analysts look at Hexagon as a value stock. That is slightly surprising to us. And I want to be clear that as much as we like to make money and feel that we have shown -- we have a track record of showing that we are able to do that, we also need now to balance the short-term profitability with continuing our establishment of long-term positions and organizational development. And in a way, our dream is now coming true, and we are going to step up our efforts significantly further in order to take the right strategic positions and take our fair share of growth opportunity, which we think is pretty formidable.

So on that note, I will leave the floor to David, and then we will take some questions later.

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David Bandele, Hexagon Composites ASA - CFO [2]

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Thank you, Jon Erik. Exciting future. I'm going to just take you through the second quarter financials. We'll also touch the near-term outlook, that is, second half of 2019.

So starting with Q2. Our newly acquired division, Agility Fuel Solutions, acquired at the beginning of 2019, continues to have a strong performance, 44% growth year-over-year. In this quarter, particularly strong on Refuse Truck. Extremely strong developments in the CNG Light-Duty Vehicle volumes. We have Volkswagen, as Jon Erik mentioned, pushing the CNG agenda in Europe, and we were contracted by Volkswagen then to triple annual production volumes in 2019 over 2018. And we already see some of that new demand coming through. And by the -- and towards the end of Q3, we will be commissioning the extra capacity.

On Mobile Pipeline, relatively soft volumes. The one positive was that we've been quite dependent on North America, but we've seen some good deliveries into the U.K. So good to see a pickup outside of North America. On LPG, very solid sales volumes there. Profitability is still lower than last year, again, as we've seen in Q1, impacted adversely by mix factors.

As Jon Erik covered there, the hydrogen market continues to be extremely dynamic, so aside from the delay in the -- one of the hydrogen light-duty projects that we have, there's been a lot of activity, particularly on the heavy-duty. And we will cover the H2Bus Consortium that Hexagon joined also in the quarter.

Firstly, from left to right, let's go through the financials for the quarter. We recorded revenues of NOK 882 million versus just under NOK 367 million same period last quarter. Of course, in 2019, we are now consolidating Agility Fuel Solutions. Agility delivered NOK 450 million of that top line growth and the rest then coming from CNG Light-Duty Vehicles.

On the EBITDA side, we recorded NOK 62 million in EBITDA versus NOK 73.6 million the same period last year. In the middle, you'll see a block in lighter color there. We're just adjusting for the NOK 40 million accrual reversal. That was to do with the obligations on our purchase of xperion that were no longer required. So when we adjust like-for-like and the comparative figure, then it's NOK 33.7 million. And we see some very good growth up to this quarter this year.

Agility contributed NOK 38 million net of that. That's net of NOK 7 million of transaction impacts. And the Hydrogen dilution -- again, Hydrogen is very much our future play, but we do have to invest significantly today in there. The dilution in 2090 was minus -- 2019, sorry, was minus NOK 30 million, same dilution last quarter of minus NOK 20 million. So a little pickup in dilution there as well.

When we go over to the right, we made a net loss of minus NOK 27.3 million versus the profit last year. And here, we do have to include the depreciation and the amortization from all the goodwill post from the Agility transaction. In addition, we have obviously higher interest costs. Now we've issued a bond to finance that transaction year-over-year.

Some leasing cost increase. Those are cash. However, we've had unfavorable currency movements year-over-year of minus NOK 30 million. That contributes to the effect year-over-year. Those, of course, are noncash. And of course, a positive tax impact of NOK 10 million given the lower results.

Of course, important to look at the business outside of Hydrogen, how that is doing. So this picture to the right shows our results from the left, and then in the middle, the Hydrogen results. You can see they're quite dilutive to the group results. So to the right-hand side, we would have -- or the rest of the business outside of Hydrogen, should I say, would have recorded around about NOK 857 million in revenue and about NOK 92 million in EBITDA for 11% margin. So the dilution is 4 percentage points for the Hydrogen business in the quarter. Otherwise, recording a solid double-digit EBITDA margin, rest of the business.

Here, we look at the revenue split in our segments. So on the left-hand side is 2018. Here, we include pro forma numbers for Agility and also for Digital Wave, a smaller acquisition we made at the end of 2018. You can see the extreme growth there in Agility from NOK 313 million in '18 to NOK 450 million this quarter. We'll talk a little bit more about Agility on the next slide.

But having a look at the next area, Hexagon Purus. So that combines our Hydrogen business and our Light-Duty Vehicles business. In 2018, that recorded NOK 67 million. NOK 52 million of that was CNG Light-Duty Vehicles. And this quarter this year, NOK 150 million, which NOK 125 million was CNG Light-Duty Vehicles. So the run rate coming out of Q2 for CNG is NOK 0.5 billion business unit. So very impressive growth there and one to look for going forward.

For Mobile Pipeline, fairly flattish, as you see, NOK 131 million versus NOK 129 million revenues this year. And for LPG, slight reduction on NOK 191 million last year. That was very close to record sales last year. And NOK 175 million is a pretty solid performance for LPG in this quarter.

As Agility is our largest division, we'll just take a few more minutes to concentrate on Agility. Here's the 5-quarter picture on the right-hand side. Starting with quarter 2 '18, if we cast our minds back, we had the -- the market was waiting for the low nitrogen oxide, low emissions, new Cummins 12-liter engine, and that was actually launched towards the back end of 2018. After launch, you can see quite a pickup in -- particularly in the Heavy-Duty Truck volumes in quarter 3 and quarter 4 '18, and we've continued that momentum through 2019, both for quarter 1 and now quarter 2, recording revenues of NOK 450 million in the quarter.

A lot of that growth year-over-year in Q2 was due to Refuse Truck. I would say that our Refuse Truck orders are more skewed towards the first half of the year and will be lower the second half of the year. Transit -- European Transit in particular, very much accelerating. So we continue to see that trend. You will see there is a margin reduction in the quarter to 8%. A lot -- or 1.5 percentage points is from those purchase price adjustment I mentioned in previous slides, and that was an effect of minus NOK 7 million in the quarter. So that's about 1.5 percentage points there. Otherwise, some adverse mix, and also Agility is ramping up the EV program as well. So hence, a slightly dampened margin for the quarter.

Very importantly, it continues to be self-funded, meaning it doesn't need any group contribution. So it's working on its own cash and it's strongly cash-generating. As we issued the bond basically on the back of that investment, that's very important to note.

On the balance sheet. No real changes. We have remained a 45% equity ratio, which is good. Net interest-bearing debt are going slightly above the level of the bond we issued in the quarter. That is mainly driven by some adverse working capital. So we had a working capital draw of minus NOK 65 million in the quarter. Otherwise, pretty stable conditions.

So just jumping to near-term outlook. As I say, we can -- unless otherwise stated, that's the second half of 2019. Starting with Agility, we expect more of the same in 2019 second half. Certainly, the cleaner air directives that were introduced and adopted in Europe is having a significant impact to the focus in heavy-duty bus and cities around Europe. That is definitely stimulating demand, and it's going to be more of a question of us having capacity to continue to supply demand. So very exciting segment there.

I mentioned that Refuse Truck will be more skewed towards the first half and a little bit lower in the second half of the year. But overall, for the full year of 2019, Refuse Truck had very high levels and growth year-over-year.

Low and zero-emission heavy-duty trucks, we will speak a lot about RNG. We have already and we will continue to do so. So RNG, renewable natural gas or biogas. Those initiatives, together with CNG, are really helping our stakeholders achieve sustainability commitments. In the previous picture, you saw one of our largest customers, UPS, who have been extremely aggressive on sustainability targets and I believe extended those out to 2025 and increased the level of alternative fuel vehicles that will be in their fleets. So very good news also for Agility going forward.

As I mentioned, battery electric vehicle programs will remain on track. We have a very strong anchor customer there. So that's a paid development. But of course, in addition to that, we do have some extra costs in order to keep competitive in that growing area.

Hexagon Purus, at least the Hydrogen part of Purus. Talk a little bit about the H2Bus partnership. Certainly, a lot of interest in heavy-duty on the hydrogen side. The H2Bus partnership were in partnership with companies like Ballard, with Nel, Wrightbus, amongst others. And here, the goal is to deploy 600 buses by 2023 at good and competitive total cost of ownership. Hexagon, ourselves, we will provide the fuel solutions on these buses and also the distribution trailers. And that's quite important. So with Agility Fuel Solutions and systems competence, we have quite a competitive package now, especially when we go into the heavy-duty sector for hydrogen. And then combining our distribution and mobile pipeline expertise, it's quite a formidable package, we feel.

Geographically, as Jon Erik mentioned, certainly China and Korea are expanding, and we see a lot of interest currently and expect it to grow in the future. As Jon Erik mentioned, that will continue to mean organization ramp-up.

And when we look at the other side of Purus, on the Light-Duty Vehicle side. As I mentioned, a very strong demand here in Europe. Our order intake is at the all-time high. And the -- as I mentioned, the capacity investment contracted with Volkswagen to triple our volumes, that should be commissioned by -- already end quarter 3. So hope to supply even more from that point on. Volkswagen are targeting not only Germany, Germany, they have a target of 1 million CNG vehicles, light-duty, on the road by 2025, but also adjacent markets in Europe, so Italy, Spain, Belgium, Sweden, Czech Republic for example. So these are all interesting areas of growth also hopefully for Hexagon.

When we look at Mobile Pipeline. Mobile Pipeline, there are still strong underlying drivers. But we know Mobile Pipeline very well. It's going to be challenging near term. The challenge is really in its lumpy project-based nature, so that means that demand is fairly variable, sometimes unpredictable. We have low order visibility generally, and that will be how we see the rest of 2019. I will say that North American oil and gas and then industrial users over the last 2 or 3 years, this has been really the main area driving our volumes. It continues to be high activity. That is good.

But what is really interesting as well is, back to RNG, we're getting initiatives that will also help us diversify our revenue streams and applications. And if we look further down, we were awarded an RNG contract for $4 million recently from a leading U.S. utility, and again, enabling reduction of agricultural carbon emissions. So we hope to see many more of those projects. It's a little bit too early to see the size of that total market segment, but certainly an interesting one both for Hexagon, also for the climate.

Also pleased to see on, back on the industrial and North American side, we had a new order from Certarus for $7 million. So -- going into Canada and the mining sector, for example.

On Ragasco LPG. We tend to refer to this in Ragasco as a step-by-step development. So we will continue to that step-by-step approach. Second half of the year, as you know, is seasonally softer. That's because the first half of the year is very heavily targeted to the European barbecue season. So Q3 and 4 does tend to be lower. Saying that, we see continued opportunities in Bangladesh and sales there, so that's been our largest market this year, a market that we've opened up over the last couple of years. We're still gaining some traction. We have 7 pilot programs in the U.S., so those remain ongoing. And we're happy to announce a new market in the quarter, our first sales into Bulgaria. So step-by-step for LPG.

So to summarize the group outlook for the second half. We will have weak profitability in quarter 3, but it's looking pretty strong for Q4. In Q3, unfortunately, when all our major divisions have their softest quarter of the year at the same time, it does have an impact on the profitability. But of course, the reverse is also applicable. So it will be fairly variable, a low Q3, higher Q4. Agility, CNG LDV and LPG will remain strong contributors. LPG, as I mentioned, will be seasonally lower but fairly solid rest of second half of the year. CNG LDV continues to grow, and Agility is well poised. I think for Agility, we will have some softness as well in Q3, but it's probably the strongest quarter expected than in Q4. Underlying drivers remain strong. That's the key for Hexagon. We are a long-term play. And as the push for greener mobility only increases, this is exciting times for Hexagon.

And on that note, I'll ask Jon Erik to join me for any questions and answers -- for any questions, rather, from the audience, or web audience.

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Questions and Answers

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Halvor Strand Nygård, SEB, Research Division - Analyst [1]

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Halvor Nygård from SEB. You gave some details on the lost Hydrogen contract, but could you say something -- the risk for additional contracts within the Hydrogen segment being pulled?

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Jon Erik Engeset, Hexagon Composites ASA - President & CEO [2]

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Being pulled, we don't see any significant risk. But delays, we see that the development that needs to take place in this whole technology evolution entails risks. So we see risk for delays also in other -- maybe more on the light-duty side. But we see much more upside potential than downside potential, and our overall estimate for the future, yes, is higher today -- significantly higher today than it was, for example, 6 months ago.

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Halvor Strand Nygård, SEB, Research Division - Analyst [3]

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We are talking months or years for the delay?

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Jon Erik Engeset, Hexagon Composites ASA - President & CEO [4]

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It's very hard for us to comment on that. As I said, these are huge programs, massive resources spent by the OEMs, and they will have their strategy reviews. And it's now moving, as I mentioned, high up on their overall strategic agendas. So I think they are, first and foremost, focused on getting it right. So while they may be -- 2, 3 years ago some of them at least were more dipping their toe in the water, now they really see that this needs to be part of their portfolio. Their plans are 10-, 15-years horizon. And then I think it's in the nature of that development that there may be hiccups in the development, which will then, in consequence, also affect us.

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Halvor Strand Nygård, SEB, Research Division - Analyst [5]

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And on the guidance for second half and the comments for weak Q3 and a strong Q4, is it possible to quantify how weak the weak Q3 will be? And how confident are you in a pickup in Q4? You mentioned your scale, 4 to 5 and 10. How confident are you that Q4 will be a stronger quarter?

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David Bandele, Hexagon Composites ASA - CFO [6]

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Yes. I don't want to quantify, be so precise, but it will be the weakest quarter of the year. That, as you know, tends to happen. LPG is seasonally weak. And then if the other divisions just have a relatively softer quarter, then there's less profit to cover the dilution of Hydrogen. So I think Mobile Pipeline is the -- is something that is a low visibility, so it's hard to predict. So we always have that risk, of course. But yes, Q4 and the bigger divisions, I'm looking at backlog and real orders. So fairly confident then on the strong Q4.

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Halvor Strand Nygård, SEB, Research Division - Analyst [7]

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And you mentioned that you're stepping up efforts now based on what you see, and especially within Hydrogen. Does that imply that you're also -- or the Hydrogen EBITDA dilution and CapEx, will that be changed from what you earlier have communicated?

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Jon Erik Engeset, Hexagon Composites ASA - President & CEO [8]

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We will come back to that and give more guidance as we quantify our plans. But the short answer is yes. Maybe not near term, but going into 2020, we will want to step up the efforts. And you should assume a higher dilution than what you've seen so far this year. And it's not only the hydrogen program. It's also the battery electric vehicle program, which is dilutive. It's also the geographical expansion projects. We are spending quite significant, relative to our size, resources now on mapping, analyzing, doing due diligence, et cetera. So that is also a cost factor. And we want to continue and increase all of these efforts.

And maybe most importantly, we want to prepare for really significant growth, then we need to look at our organization. And we need to look at every process on the manufacturing side, on the R&D side, on our systems side, and we need to ramp up all of those parts to create a truly world-class organization in order to meet the expectations that we know will be there for us in 2, 3 years from now. And that investment needs to be taken now, and that's what we're talking about. So the answer is yes. We will probably give more guidance, but a fairly significant step-up in the efforts to prepare for the future.

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Mikkel Nyholt, Carnegie Investment Bank AB, Research Division - Analyst of Industrials, Construction and Infrastructure [9]

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Mikkel Nyholt, Carnegie. First off, a question on Agility. Since Q2 2018, we've seen margin fluctuation from 5% towards just north of 12%. And I mean, in terms of revenues, it looks to be as you're delivering according to at least analyst estimates. But on the margin side, you're coming in slightly weak. So I was wondering whether you could elaborate a bit. Is this normal seasonality? Is -- what kind of going rate margin should we expect long-term? And interim seasonality, this is, of course, very interesting. And given our lack of history for this division, it's difficult to estimate. And then we have quarters like this and then possibly next quarter coming in -- or no, Q4 coming in much better. I was just wondering if you can elaborate there.

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David Bandele, Hexagon Composites ASA - CFO [10]

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I can maybe take that. So firstly, we set kind of a minimum requirement of the double-digit EBITDA margin. So that's what we look to target, and Agility certainly looks to target that. So long-term target will still be in the 15% with a minimum target of 10%. Obviously, if you break down the divisions within the Agility portfolio, there's a couple of things -- Jon Erik mentioned the EV program. So that is dilutive by margin percentage just by definition. But the second area is, if you remember, in 2018, Agility bought -- sorry, 2017 -- something called the -- what we call, the powertrains division. It's the medium-duty propane. That's more or less on a start-up phase. So that is still looking to breakeven in 2019 and then start accelerating and giving good growth. So whilst the medium-duty is in that growth phase, you do see some drag on the margins. As that improves into 2020, naturally, you'll get a more improved margin.

On seasonality, I'm afraid I can't -- it's not predictable in that way. How we explain it internally is that there will always be 1 quarter that's weaker, but it's not predictable which quarter. But we like the relative stability of Agility. So hopefully the EV, the profile on medium-duty will help explain some of the margin drag. Fluctuations will be also caused by mix factors within the business units.

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Mikkel Nyholt, Carnegie Investment Bank AB, Research Division - Analyst of Industrials, Construction and Infrastructure [11]

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All right. Lastly, on the g-mobility and e-mobility market, which you calculated to NOK 4 billion in 2018. Are you able to say what kind of market share you held in that market in 2018 and how you eventually see the competitive landscape develop towards the possible NOK 600 billion market in 2030?

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Jon Erik Engeset, Hexagon Composites ASA - President & CEO [12]

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I can at least comment on it. So we -- our estimate is that we are comfortably above 50% of that market today. In the near term, we don't see a lot of significant players being attracted. But certainly, as more and more companies get their eyes open to the opportunities and as the OEMs figure out what their future supply chain needs to look like, we should assume that there will be several entrants and several worthy competitors entering the space. So that's what we are preparing for. We have an advantage. We need to build that organization to withstand the competitive pressure that we should assume, and we think that we will be competing on know-how, on flexibility. And I think in this transformation of the whole sector, the fact that we are relatively small, we have a light structure is an advantage, and we intend to leverage that starting point.

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Unidentified Company Representative, [13]

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Are there any more questions from the people in the room? Just a second, we will check the web audience.

The first question from web audience is from [Barrick Schwartzholt]. How is the Hyon partnership developing? And is there any outlook?

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Jon Erik Engeset, Hexagon Composites ASA - President & CEO [14]

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So by and large, it's a very constructive cooperation, so -- targeting the maritime opportunities. So we've had some successes, but that is a longer-term play. So we're thinking in terms of 2, 3 years from now. There was an article in one of the Norwegian papers as late as yesterday discussing the fast ferry sector, which is now ready for 0 transmission. So that's the type of opportunities that we are addressing. And they will materialize, but we shouldn't expect a lot of revenue from that partnership in the next 2 to 3 years.

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Unidentified Company Representative, [15]

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Thank you. The next question is from [Hairal Havnan] from [Current Capital]. New orders in Class-A trucks in the U.S. are significantly down year-to-date, down over minus 60%, pointing to deteriorating Class-A truck retail sales through second half 2019 and first half '20. What impact will this have, if any, on Hexagon's order intake in the Agility segment in the medium term?

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Jon Erik Engeset, Hexagon Composites ASA - President & CEO [16]

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So if any impacts, we believe that will be positive because the very high activity in the truck market has made capacity availability constraints. The truck OEMs have naturally prioritized the serial production of diesel trucks, and there has been -- at times, been constraints. And also in the rest of the value chain, there have been constraints. So for us, it's much more important that main transporters like UPS now make a firm commitment to alternative fuels. That is what we believe is going to drive our market.

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Unidentified Company Representative, [17]

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Thank you. There are no further questions from the web audience today.

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Jon Erik Engeset, Hexagon Composites ASA - President & CEO [18]

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Any further questions in this room? Seems not. Then thank you very much for sharing this morning with us, and have a good rest of day.

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David Bandele, Hexagon Composites ASA - CFO [19]

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Thank you.