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Edited Transcript of OAS earnings conference call or presentation 7-Aug-19 3:00pm GMT

Q2 2019 Oasis Petroleum Inc Earnings Call

Houston Aug 14, 2019 (Thomson StreetEvents) -- Edited Transcript of Oasis Petroleum Inc earnings conference call or presentation Wednesday, August 7, 2019 at 3:00:00pm GMT

TEXT version of Transcript

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Corporate Participants

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* Michael H. Lou

Oasis Petroleum Inc. - CFO & Executive VP

* Taylor L. Reid

Oasis Petroleum Inc. - President, COO and Director

* Thomas B. Nusz

Oasis Petroleum Inc. - Chairman & CEO

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Conference Call Participants

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* Bradley Barrett Heffern

RBC Capital Markets, LLC, Research Division - Associate

* Daniel Ray Pickering

TPH Asset Management, LLC - CIO

* David Adam Deckelbaum

Cowen and Company, LLC, Research Division - Senior Analyst

* David Martin Heikkinen

Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. Securities, Inc., Research Division - Former MD and Head of E&P Research

* Derrick Lee Whitfield

Stifel, Nicolaus & Company, Incorporated, Research Division - MD of E&P and Senior Analyst

* Michael Anthony Hall

Heikkinen Energy Advisors, LLC - Partner and Senior Exploration & Production Research Analyst

* Noel Augustus Parks

Coker & Palmer Investment Securities, Inc., Research Division - Senior Analyst Exploration, Production and MLP’s

* Ronald Eugene Mills

Johnson Rice & Company, L.L.C., Research Division - Analyst

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Presentation

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Operator [1]

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Good morning. My name is Ben, and I will be your conference operator today.

At this time, I'd like to welcome everyone to the Second Quarter 2019 Earnings Release and Operations Update for Oasis Petroleum. (Operator Instructions)

Please note, this event is being recorded. I will now turn the call over to Michael Lou, Oasis Petroleum CFO, to begin the conference. Thank you. You may begin your conference.

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Michael H. Lou, Oasis Petroleum Inc. - CFO & Executive VP [2]

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Thank you, Ben. Good morning, everyone.

Today, we are reporting our second quarter 2019 financial and operational results. We're delighted to have you on our call. I'm joined today by Tommy Nusz and Taylor Reid as well as other members of the team. Please be advised that our remarks on both, Oasis Petroleum and Oasis Midstream Partners, including the answers to your questions, include statements that we believe to be forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act.

These forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to be materially different from those currently disclosed in our earnings releases and conference calls.

Those risks include, among others, matters that we have described in our earnings releases as well as in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including our annual report on Form 10-K and our quarterly reports on Form 10-Q. We disclaim any obligation to update these forward-looking statements.

During this conference call, we will make reference to non-GAAP measures and reconciliations to the applicable GAAP measures can be found in our earnings releases and on our website. We will also reference our current investor presentation, which you can find on our website.

With that, I'll turn the call over to Tommy.

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Thomas B. Nusz, Oasis Petroleum Inc. - Chairman & CEO [3]

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Good morning and thanks for joining our call.

The Oasis team continues to execute on our plan, harvesting free cash flow from the Williston to fund Permian development and generate free cash flow at the E&P level, excluding the impact of OMP.

As an organization, we continue to focus on per share value drivers of cash flow, cash margins, return on investment, capital efficiency and volume performance relative to our budget targets, all of which, should drive attractive returns, whether at the well project or corporate level. Taylor will get into more operational detail in a minute, but I want to highlight a few key points about our performance and strategy.

First, Oasis continues to execute its major development program in 2019 and expects to generate strong free cash flow at the E&P level at current oil prices. Second, in the Williston, despite some challenging weather and flooding conditions, we executed well on the D&C side, getting 21 -- 24 wells online during the second quarter, albeit, weighted to the latter part of the quarter. Third, in the Delaware, we've been able to secure services and drive operational efficiencies, get visibility on takeaway capacity, and we continue to make significant progress delineating our position and understanding the subsurface.

We brought on 3 wells, testing the Wolfcamp A, B and C across our position. We also completed 3 other wells during the quarter, and our Sugarloaf spacing unit testing our spacing concept in the Wolfcamp A, upper and lower. These latter 3 wells were fracked in the second quarter and came on production early July. So keep in mind that while the CapEx was spent in the second quarter, they'll show up in our July completion count.

Additionally, we were able to do a small bolt-on acquisition in Ward County that created 1,280-acre spacing unit. In fact, all of this puts us in a position now to move towards development mode.

Fourth, our midstream assets continue to provide an advantage. This can be seen in our cost structure and net back and flow assurance. As we said for some time, the midstream side of the business has been a big win for us and a very important component of managing business risks over the last several years as all of our drilling was focused on Wild Basin.

We IPOed the Oasis Midstream Partners almost 2 years ago, and it's proven to be one of the better performing partnerships in a difficult market. We continue to look at ways to enhance the value of our ownership in this asset. During the quarter, we did experience some downtime in the Wild Basin Gas Complex. The impact reduced quarterly production by approximately 3,000 Boes per day in net in the second quarter.

We will also have some impact in early July that's captured in our guidance. The complex had been up and running well since mid-July and over the last few weeks. That, coupled with us seeing the production from our second quarter completions, really started to show up now at total Oasis production averaging about 89,000 Boes per day in July. We continue to incorporate our views of well performance, completion timing and any infrastructure constraints into our full year guidance and have updated our range to 86,800 to 88,500 Boes per day to account for our current views.

We are now estimating third quarter volumes to range between 87,000 and 90,000 Boes per day with an oil cut of around 71.5%. We continue to expect the fourth quarter oil cut to trend down a little bit to about 71%.

With things moving around a bit on us here, it's early to begin totally flushing out 2020, but we would expect both oil and total volumes to be roughly flat to up relative to our fourth quarter exit rate depending on oil price, our cash flow generation and operations plan.

Additionally, we've updated Slide 7 in our presentation to reflect our latest free cash flow projection. We have updated our capital assumptions. As you saw on our press release, the increase primarily reflects an adjustment to deflation expectations related to a lower crude price and our budget assumptions, improved cycle times in the Delaware Basin resulting in increased SPUDs with a 2 rig program and a number of operated wells with higher working interest as well as increased nonop spending in the highest return parts of the Williston Basin.

All of these results in an increasing CapEx but that's more than covered by our free cash flow generation. On the EBITDA side, we've adjusted for pricing year-to-date, made tweaks to our volume forecast and lowered natural gas and NGL pricing. We now expect to generate $75 million to $120 million of free cash flow at the E&P business in 2019 at a $50 to $60 WTI price.

Our intent at this point would be to take excess cash to our revolver as we've talked about in the past. Despite a few headwinds, Oasis E&P stands to deliver strong free cash flow this year. The underlying business remains strong and we continue to advance our strategic objectives, which include size and scale, portfolio diversity, asset quality and financial strength.

With that, I'll turn the call over to Taylor.

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Taylor L. Reid, Oasis Petroleum Inc. - President, COO and Director [4]

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Thanks, Tommy.

We continue to execute our 2019 program with a focus on efficient operating at Williston and preparing the Delaware for full field development. Oasis well productivity in Williston remains at the top of the pack.

As seen on Slide 10 of our investor deck, we are ranked #2 for the 12-month cumulative average oil equivalent versus our peers. Separately, we continue to be encouraged by delineation results from step-out areas. Slides 8 and 9 have been updated to reflect the latest data from select emerging areas in the Williston.

We continue to see outstanding results from Painted Woods, North Alger, South Cottonwood and Red Bank, which shows that these areas are competitive with the rest of the basin. In Painted Woods, we provided additional production history, which validates our view that the area is highly productive with a low economic breakeven. Our remaining inventory in these areas averages between 7 and 10 wells per spacing.

When combined with current well costs, these well performance numbers lead to great economic across the play. Current well cost for the Bakken average about $7.6 million, and we see a path to work these down to $7 million by the end of the year.

Switching to the Delaware. We're seeing strong performance across the entire column with certain Wolfcamp B and C wells performing in line with the Wolfcamp A. We recently brought on a Wolfcamp B, the Rattlesnake A 1H, with 1 month cumulative oil production of 3,500 barrels per 1,000 foot of lateral.

The recent Wolfcamp C well, the Kerwin A 1H, delivered 3 month cumulative oil production of 7,500 barrels per 1,000 foot of lateral. Additionally, we brought on a 3-well Wolfcamp A spacing test in early July.

As a reminder, we'll be conducting a larger 8-well spacing test, which we're currently drilling and expect to bring online in 2020.

We've earned a tremendous amount since closing on the Forge asset in early 2018. We've been able to secure services at a reasonable cost, execute on our well program, navigate [the evolving] basis pricing and developed an effective marketing strategy, which will command attractive pricing.

Our subsurface knowledge is growing rapidly through Oasis wells, nonoperated activity, trading information with other partners and third-party data sources.

Cycle times are improving rapidly as well. As we began to discuss last quarter, we've made significant strides in reducing our drilling days with our most recent 2-mile lateral wells being drilled within the 25- to 30-day range versus our first wells in the basin and that were in the 40-plus day range. This has allowed us to drill more wells this year than originally planned. We continue to expect completions of 9 to 11 wells for the year.

As always, our focus remains on optimizing capital efficiency. While we can drop a rig to forego these additional wells and the associated spending in 2019, keeping an efficient crew together and continuing to lower well cost is important. The fact that we're moving into development with more DSU drill out means that we will carry a little larger DUC backlog than what we were in testing mode when we were drilling 1- to 3-well pad.

Additionally, we're funding these additional wells with free cash flow generated in 2019. Said another way, E&P free cash flow would be slightly less this year, but the benefits of having an efficient program with manageable cycle times are a net positive for the company.

Drilling speed should continue to improve as well as we optimize well design and shift to pad development. In development mode, we would expect drill times to be in the mid- to low-20s, and we're targeting well cost of $9.6 million for a 4-well pad which compares to approximately $11.5 million in 2018.

We've learned a great deal since integrating this world-class asset about 18 months ago. Well performance remains exceptional and we've been able to lower costs significantly. We continue to believe the economics will be as good as or potentially better than the best parts of the Williston.

To close, we continue to execute on our 2019 plan, focused around an efficient Williston program as we move into development in the Delaware. Oasis benefits from our inventory depth, subsurface expertise, operational experience as well as a top-notch marketing team. We're excited about driving these assets forward into 2019 and beyond.

With that, I'll now turn the call over to Michael.

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Michael H. Lou, Oasis Petroleum Inc. - CFO & Executive VP [5]

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Thanks, Taylor. Oasis remains focused on delivering our 2019 program. Operating cost are in check and oil realizations remain strong. We are on a trajectory to deliver significant free cash flow in 2019. We continue to enjoy strong liquidity levels with the total borrowing base of $1.6 billion with only $531 million drawn as of June 30, 2019.

Oasis had a net debt in the second quarter annualized EBITDA multiple of 2.7x with adjusted EBITDA attributable to Oasis approximating $238 million in the second quarter.

Turning to Midstream. We continue to work towards executing final agreement for the dedication of certain Delaware acreage to OMP via the Panther DevCo. We would expect this to be finalized September 1.

Additionally, Oasis continues to work with third parties for gas infrastructure in the Delaware and expect to provide an update in the coming month on the outcome of the selection process.

Total Midstream Capex was adjusted to range $219 million to $230 million. This largely reflects additional third-party business, incremental plant cost and an acceleration of gathering and infrastructure construction spending from 2020 into 2019.

Net CapEx to Oasis attributable to its retained interest is expected to range between $15 million and $16 million. We'll be talking in more detail on OMP cost shortly and I would direct you to our OMP press release for more color on our continued success on the Midstream plan.

We've approximately 80% of the remainder of 2019 estimated oil production hedged at a weighted average floor price of $56 per barrel. For 2020, we've added additional colors and slots, the details of which can be found in the Appendix of our investor presentation.

Williston crude differential remains strong as our marketing team have done a great job of being opportunistic and getting Oasis superior realization. In the Delaware, as expected, crude differentials have narrowed considerably versus last year and several new long-haul pipes coming online in the back half of 2019 should continue to improve realization.

We took down the top end of our differential guidance range and we're now expecting $1.50 to $3 per Boe through 2019.

As everyone is aware, natural gas and NGL prices have deteriorated significantly since May. Oasis benefits from its Midstream assets and was an early mover in securing strong contracts with third-parties to process and market our NGLs. This should keep our pricing relatively towards the top end of our peer group. However, on an absolute basis, gas and NGL realizations have come down significantly, and for modeling purposes, we've begun to providing differential guidance on a 2-stream basis.

To sum things up, Oasis continues to execute well, and we're in a strong position to deliver in 2019 and beyond. With that, I'll hand the call back over to Ben for questions.

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Questions and Answers

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Operator [1]

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(Operator Instructions) Our first question comes from Derrick Whitfield with Stifel.

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Derrick Lee Whitfield, Stifel, Nicolaus & Company, Incorporated, Research Division - MD of E&P and Senior Analyst [2]

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Perhaps for Michael. Referencing Slide 7 of your presentation, is that a recall based on past conversations on this slide? Your views on potential free cash flow outcomes for 2019 contemplated $50 million of the $80 million increase just announced for upstream CapEx. Could you confirm that and possibly walk us through any other material changes in your Q2 versus Q1 assessment?

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Michael H. Lou, Oasis Petroleum Inc. - CFO & Executive VP [3]

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Yes. It's a great question, Derrick. I really appreciate that. Absolutely right. So what we talked about at the beginning of the year, remember, we were in a mid-$40 oil price when we budgeted for the year. As we came out in February with that -- that budget, we talked about a budget at $50, and we came out with the CapEx number. And in that cash flow chart and through many discussions with you and with others, we talked about in a $60 environment, you wouldn't see the same type of deflation that you would see in a $50 environment.

And so we did have in that free cash flow chart at $60 million, $50 million more essentially for the lack of deflation at the same pace that we would have saw in a $50 environment. Where you've seen oil prices so far this year, activity level has really been more in the $60 level, and thankfully, we've been closer to that level in terms of pricing, we've enjoyed that free cash flow, but service cost have remained a bit higher. And you're seeing a lot of progress that we're making not quite as quickly as that $50 scenario, but you're seeing well cost come down across both basins and we think we can continue to hold that. You're seeing service cost starting to soften now, but it's just a little bit different. We've taken the deflation assumptions out of those CapEx numbers that we've just newly guided to.

So those are kind of the differences. Obviously, on the free cash flow side, you're also seeing some adjustments on the NGL and natural gas side. We talked about significantly lower realizations on that side. There's probably about $30 million a difference from kind of what we had in that free cash flow before versus where differentials and pricing is today. So you're seeing that impact that number as well.

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Derrick Lee Whitfield, Stifel, Nicolaus & Company, Incorporated, Research Division - MD of E&P and Senior Analyst [4]

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That's great. Thanks for the confirmation. And then, perhaps for yourself or Tommy. There has been growing discussion within the investor community regarding the long-term strategic fit of your Midstream business. As I recall from your comments last quarter, the upstream business has derived tremendous benefit from Oasis having control of the infrastructure. However, you guys did note that its strategic importance is evolving. Big picture, if you would think about the amount of expected gas prices in additions in the Bakken in the second half and your progress in the Delaware to date, how do you currently view the strategic importance of that business?

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Thomas B. Nusz, Oasis Petroleum Inc. - Chairman & CEO [5]

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Yes. Let me make a comment there, and I'll turn it over to Taylor. As we went into the downturn, we kind of contracted to activity in Wild Basin and that asset was really, really important to us to be able to move our volumes. As you know, until that gas plant came on, gas production in the basin was 2.8 Bcf a day, processing capacity 2 Bcf a day and then our plant came on, Plant 2, and bumped that up to 2.2 Bcf a day. And so we've been very fortunate in that we've been able to, absent the little blip we had here in June, early July, we've been able to move our volumes, which has been tremendously important to us. But as we start to look at the future and more activity in areas outside of Wild Basin, which based on the slide in the presentation, you can see a lot of those areas have really improved over the last few years in terms of results, that more of our drilling activity, will move out of Wild Basin. So that asset won't be quite as strategic to us on a go-forward basis as it has been in the past.

Taylor?

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Taylor L. Reid, Oasis Petroleum Inc. - President, COO and Director [6]

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Yes. What I'd add to that is, if you look back in 2015, 2016, you'll remember that was when we really were spending a lot of dollars developing the Midstream on the gas side, building plants, building out the Wild Basin infrastructure. And as Tommy said, it was strategic at the time because all the gas capture laws wanted to make sure we had that infrastructure in place. And as we were doing that, obviously, in a downturn being very cautious about where we're spending our dollars and with a focus on being free cash flow positive. We're very open about considering alternatives for those investments.

Was there a different way to fund that very important spend for us and we had a lot of conversations with you guys around that. At the time, a little more kind of challenging to find those dollars, especially, for really a nascent business that -- which has gotten off its feet. And the good news is, if you fast forward to today, and it is a substantial business, it is differential in terms of a first mover up in the basin on building out gas infrastructure, and the cash flows, and value in the business has materialized, still growing with great coverage ahead of us. And so the great news around that is there's really big value in it. And to Tommy's point about how do you think about it strategically, it's still very important to us, but the biggest strategic piece of it that we wanted to get set up and get in place has been served at this point. So as you know as we go forward and think about that investment and the value in it, people ask, would you ever consider to do anything with that? And we've been open about it, again, saying like in '15 and '16, we're open to alternatives and we'll consider all those things, and we want to maximize value for the company and so we'll be thinking about all those things going forward.

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Thomas B. Nusz, Oasis Petroleum Inc. - Chairman & CEO [7]

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At the end of the day, what we try to build is coveted assets and this has been coveted asset for us and I think it would be a coveted asset for a lot of other people as well. But that's what we try to do across our entire portfolio, is build coveted assets, and we certainly think this is one of them.

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Operator [8]

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Our next question comes from Michael Hall with Heikkinen Energy Advisors.

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Michael Anthony Hall, Heikkinen Energy Advisors, LLC - Partner and Senior Exploration & Production Research Analyst [9]

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I was just curious, I guess, a little bit on the Delaware program, better understanding the moving pieces there that have changed a little bit. How do you think about as you're building up sounds like a little bit of an incremental backlog from a completion standpoint? How big of -- what does the DUC count look like? I guess as you head out of the year? And is that really, like you alluded to, really more a function of just kind of optimizing for the change in pad size versus providing some sort of future potential drawdown -- potential that would improve capital efficiency in 2020?

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Michael H. Lou, Oasis Petroleum Inc. - CFO & Executive VP [10]

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Mike, it's really probably a little bit of both. As we've been talking about the DUC backlog, and we're drilling -- up to this point, we're really doing kind of 1- to 3-well pads. And having a single-digit DUC backlog was natural with that, with the increased cycle times that we talked about, keeping 2 rigs going. I mean, you're likely to build to low- to -- might be low- to the mid-teens next year. And so it does 2 things. One, we're on a 8-well pad right now. The one that's behind it is likely to be somewhere in that kind of range as well. And so you're going to need a little bit more of a DUC backlog. You're going to drill 8 wells before you frac them and then follow with another one. So you just need a little bit of a pad. But there is some additional build up here that gives us the flexibility next year depending on how things are going to draw that down a bit. And so we'll -- as we get into 2020, we'll be looking at all those options. What's that right level if you pull it down a bit more from a capital efficiency standpoint like you talked about.

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Michael Anthony Hall, Heikkinen Energy Advisors, LLC - Partner and Senior Exploration & Production Research Analyst [11]

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Okay. And can you remind me what the kind of required activity levels look like from a lease capture standpoint in the Delaware in 2020?

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Michael H. Lou, Oasis Petroleum Inc. - CFO & Executive VP [12]

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Yes. It's been -- its kind of 1.5 and it depends on cadence, kind of 1.5 rigs to meet our land holding requirement. And most of that is -- we talked about that 7% of that is on -- of our land is on the Delaware. We've got a great agreement there that allows us to -- we can drill in development mode, and it holds the pool of acres. So we[don't have to be jumping] all around. And it really helps from efficiency standpoint.

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David Martin Heikkinen, Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. Securities, Inc., Research Division - Former MD and Head of E&P Research [13]

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That's helpful. And then the last one from my end. You mentioned in the prepared remarks that -- I think it was you Michael, that you see potential room to take Williston Basin well cost down closer to $7 million in the back half. Is that something that's already played into the updated budget? Or would that be I guess potential tailwind in the back half of the year?

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Michael H. Lou, Oasis Petroleum Inc. - CFO & Executive VP [14]

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Yes. Really at this point, we've kind of factored in the cost that we -- you know the $7 million, $6 million range that we're talking about, Michael, and so that could provide a bit of a tailwind depending on how well we do.

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Operator [15]

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Our next question comes from Ron Mills with Johnson Rice.

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Ronald Eugene Mills, Johnson Rice & Company, L.L.C., Research Division - Analyst [16]

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A quick question follow-up on the Delaware. You talked a little bit maybe about the spacing test you did. I know it just came on in July. What kind of spacing was that done on? And when you move -- and I think you said you're doing an 8 well spacing test now, is that -- is the second spacing test designed to test not just the upper and lower A but also the B and C on the same pad?

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Thomas B. Nusz, Oasis Petroleum Inc. - Chairman & CEO [17]

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Yes. Ron, good question. The first test, the 3 well test, it was all in Wolfcamp A, and so we actually had 2 lower Wolfcamp A wells and 1 upper Wolfcamp A well. The spacing -- the 2 lower wells were 800 feet apart, and then the upper well was right smack in between them. And it was about 200 feet above them so it's like a wine rack. You had them -- that one right in the middle but 200 feet above upper Wolfcamp A. And then core [ceiling] is 400 feet from the -- those lower Wolfcamp wells.

And in terms of the 8 well test that's coming up, it's going to be a combination of 3rd Bone Springs band and Wolfcamp A test that will have 4 wells in the 3rd Bone Springs and then 4 wells in the lower Wolfcamp A.

So at this point, it's not a -- we're looking at that going forward. We don't have D&C incorporated into the multi-well test. But as we talked about, we've got a number of really attractive B and C tests that we're excited about. So we're looking at incorporating more of the column as we go down the road.

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Ronald Eugene Mills, Johnson Rice & Company, L.L.C., Research Division - Analyst [18]

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And then Michael, just for you on the Slide 7 chart, I know the new presentation updates for the new CapEx, you still have kind of an EBITDA number based on $50 oil prices. So you seem to be burdening the CapEx with the higher CapEx level. What kind of impact does that $10 delta have in the EBITDA? Because is it as simple as kind of that $25 million or $30 million delta as shown on the far right? I just want to try to make sure I understand the -- you do have an associated EBITDA benefit from the higher prices even though it does impact spending.

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Michael H. Lou, Oasis Petroleum Inc. - CFO & Executive VP [19]

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Correct. No, that's absolutely right, Ron. And that is a good way to look at it at this point. The free cash flow numbers now have the same capital assuming that kind of higher cost level kind of throughout the year. So is there a possibility that you could bring it down if you sat at $50? And today, we're -- the strip is closer to $50 for a longer period of time? Possibly. But right now, this has kind of the less deflation case kind of in there.

And the way to think about the difference is, with hedges and all that impact, is that difference in the free cash flow line kind of midpoint of $85 million to the midpoint of $115 million. So that $30 million number you're referencing is kind of the differential between those scenarios.

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Operator [20]

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Our next question comes from Brad Heffern with RBC Capital Markets.

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Bradley Barrett Heffern, RBC Capital Markets, LLC, Research Division - Associate [21]

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Just looking at the new guide and what the 3Q guide implies for 4Q, it looks like production's expected to be down a little bit and there's only expected to be around $100 million in CapEx. I was just wondering if those 2 things are related and what it says about the momentum into 2020.

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Thomas B. Nusz, Oasis Petroleum Inc. - Chairman & CEO [22]

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So when you look at the production like you said it is going to taper down a little bit in the fourth quarter. And it's really a -- it's just really everything coming together. And we look every quarter, we look at everything from our PDP base to you have capital wells coming online to capital well performance. And so as we look into 4Q of this year, we think that, that number while down a bit really sets us up for 2020. One of the things that say is from a PDP standpoint, as we continue to look at our volumes, one of the things we talked about in the past and factored in a bit here is we talked about spacing. And if you look at our pre '19 wells -- and this is really focused in Wild Basin, we tended to be a little tighter. When we drilled the very first wells there, we were kind of 13 to 14 well per spacing range and then we've walked that down over time. Everything '19 forward is -- and really going back into parts of '18, we really made this shift, but everything going forward is 10 to 11 well spacing. And we think we're spaced about right at this point. The impacts of the tighter spacing, we think we have fully factored in and have that behind us as we go forward. But all that stuff kind of plays into the number for 4Q as we've dialed it in.

And then the last thing I'd say in terms of cadence which you touched on, our capital, when you look at 3Q and 4Q, it's going to be still weighted a little bit with the remaining cap we have for the year, probably about 60% to 65% of that's going to be in 3Q, and then the balance will be in 4Q. So just -- so people are thinking, hey, is this going to be evenly split between the quarters because we'll probably get -- we'll get a few more wells fracked in 3Q than 4Q, and then we'll work on when we bring those on.

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Bradley Barrett Heffern, RBC Capital Markets, LLC, Research Division - Associate [23]

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Okay. Got it. And then just an administrative question, maybe for Michael. Do you have a commodity mix for the Wild Basin downtime? And does it look approximately like what Wild Basin looks like on a production mix? Or was it more gas-weighted?

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Michael H. Lou, Oasis Petroleum Inc. - CFO & Executive VP [24]

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That number specifically is a little bit more gas-weighted, Brad. We don't -- we know that the oil was impacted, but we don't know exactly how much. And so of that 3,000 a day, it could be a bit higher in that too with the oil side, but more of that's going to be on the gas side in terms of the way we thought about that. But you're right. That gas plant downtime did impact potentially on the oil side as well. And what we're trying to show is that with the July number is that your production number is back up, and part of that is the plant running very efficiently now.

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Operator [25]

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Our next question comes from Daniel Pickering with TPH Asset Management.

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Daniel Ray Pickering, TPH Asset Management, LLC - CIO [26]

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Michael or Tommy or Taylor, maintenance capital, how do you think about how much money you need to spend to sort of hold volumes flat '20 versus '19 roughly?

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Thomas B. Nusz, Oasis Petroleum Inc. - Chairman & CEO [27]

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So I think to start with to probably talk about it just what the -- and Michael can add to this, but what the capital program is going to look like we think going forward and -- it's probably flat to slightly down from this year and for 2020. And in fact it'll -- it's probably pretty close to what's out there from a guidance perspective at this point. And then Michael can add on the volume side.

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Michael H. Lou, Oasis Petroleum Inc. - CFO & Executive VP [28]

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Yes. So Dan, I think that you'll see kind of for our 2019 guidance that consolidated numbers is right around 850. And as Taylor mentioned, next year, that consolidated number should come down. I think consensus has it just under 800. I think that's probably a good ballpark and that's on a consolidated basis. And then I think Tommy talked about it in his comments, fourth quarter oil volumes, we should be in a position to keep that flat to growing a little bit. And obviously, there's a lot of things that, that depends on. And we don't have a full program scoped up for 2020 yet, but that's how we're thinking about it.

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Daniel Ray Pickering, TPH Asset Management, LLC - CIO [29]

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And then I guess, conceptually, I'm looking at a stock market that doesn't -- clearly isn't rewarding the assets you've got or the spending program you're doing or it's not rewarding something. It's obviously penalizing you for kind of where we sit today. And I guess my question, I heard on the call some kind of dancing around a little bit about the future of OMP. I just wonder, given how the market's treating the company now, if there isn't -- if it isn't time for something a little more aggressive and how you guys think about a clearly undervalued equity and the levers that you can pull, whether its capital spending, OMP monetization, something isn't working now, what changes going forward?

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Michael H. Lou, Oasis Petroleum Inc. - CFO & Executive VP [30]

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Yes, Dan. I think that the good news in there is that, whether you look at what we have in Williston, what we have in Delaware, what we have in E&P, we've got a portfolio of coveted assets like I talked about earlier when we start thinking about the Midstream. And it kind of -- because it's focused on Wild Basin but it also, on the water side, touches our entire footprint in the Williston. But ultimately, we do feel like there's a coveted asset there that, whether it's our coveted assets or somebody else's, I mean we -- and coveted assets provide a lot of optionality. And so -- and as we talked about, as we move our drilling activity outside -- we've got that thing in place. And as we move drilling activity outside of the Wild Basin complex, it increases options for us. It's probably the easiest way to say that, if that makes sense.

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Daniel Ray Pickering, TPH Asset Management, LLC - CIO [31]

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I guess I understand it. It increases optionality, Tommy, the -- let's pretend that action comes on that front some time in the next 6 months or so, you'd have a lot of cash from some sort of monetization of that asset. Is -- what are the priorities for external nonoperational cash? Is it paying down debt, which seems like the market's nervous about your leverage? Are you nervous about your leverage? Would you pay down debt? Would you spend more on E&P? How would you handle that?

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Thomas B. Nusz, Oasis Petroleum Inc. - Chairman & CEO [32]

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Yes. I think as we've talked about in the past, Dan, it's -- in today's world, well, what you've heard us say is when you look at debt metrics, the old 3 is below 2 and it may be even 1.5. And I do think as we get screened, that metric does provide a bit of a drag. And so as we've talked about in free cash flow or available cash, that's the first place that it needs to go to get right sized in this market, which -- and I don't think that's going to change any time soon. Michael, you have anything to add to that?

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Michael H. Lou, Oasis Petroleum Inc. - CFO & Executive VP [33]

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No. I think that's exactly right. So prioritization is paying down debt, first and foremost, Dan.

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Operator [34]

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Our next question comes from David Deckelbaum with Cowen.

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David Adam Deckelbaum, Cowen and Company, LLC, Research Division - Senior Analyst [35]

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You guys just provided a lot of really comprehensive answers to a lot of questions that I had. But I really just wanted to add on to -- one, some of the tests outside I guess more on like the extended core going into Alger, South Cottonwood area, I guess as you're evaluating these and you're looking at these areas kind of expanding, do you see these as opportunities to start allocating rigs towards? Or do you see these as opportunities to delineate some areas like Foreman Butte that you would have looked to sell over time?

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Taylor L. Reid, Oasis Petroleum Inc. - President, COO and Director [36]

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So really probably some of both. And you know when you look back at, you remember after we did the Forge deal, we went through a divestiture process, sold about $360 million in assets. And we originally talked about looking at something around $500 million, and we just, at that time, elected to just go with what we thought was the very best value. But one of the things you saw at that time was while there was some good test results with these newer, bigger completions across the basin, they weren't long lived at that point, and they hadn't stretched as far as they have right now.

So it -- by our testing and third-party testing both, it's doing 2 things. One is it's pulled more of this inventory into the core and what's economic at a low price point so it really sets us up for our continued drilling program as we go forward. But in addition to that, it really makes some of this acreage attractive that was kind of further out in the Q. And so we're excited about having more of those tests push out on the acreage. And at the right time, we are open to placing those assets in somebody's hands who sees a lot of value in them. But it's stuff that see -- tail in our inventory and helps us to get our debt down or our leverage as we just talked about, then those are things that we'll be looking at, but some of both.

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David Adam Deckelbaum, Cowen and Company, LLC, Research Division - Senior Analyst [37]

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I appreciate that. I guess we haven't seen a ton of Bakken transactions outside of, I guess, some stuff in the first quarter, I guess, for obvious reasons, especially in the public arena. I guess have you seen any interest on -- I guess like has the mix of buyers changed that you're seeing out there that are kind of sniffing around deals right now? Is it more on the private side now or private equity side? Or are you still kind of seeing like the same players that would be out there?

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Michael H. Lou, Oasis Petroleum Inc. - CFO & Executive VP [38]

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Yes. Obviously, as you've mentioned, David, the A&D market is extremely challenged, especially as you think about public company buyers with the capital markets where they are is really seeing that A&D market shrink. Where you have seen transactions done kind of more broadly, there has been a little bit more capital access on the private side. And so that is where you've seen some of the more recent deals.

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Operator [39]

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Our next question comes from Noel Parks with Coker and Palmer.

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Noel Augustus Parks, Coker & Palmer Investment Securities, Inc., Research Division - Senior Analyst Exploration, Production and MLP’s [40]

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Probably you touched on this already, but could you just talk a little bit more about the nature of the downtime at Wild Basin? What kind of a precipitating event was? And whether it's something in hindsight was foreseeable or more of a random thing?

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Michael H. Lou, Oasis Petroleum Inc. - CFO & Executive VP [41]

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Yes. We didn't talk specifically about the downtime, Noel, but it's a good question. Look, one of the things that I'd say is that we saw, a couple of years back, a huge need for gas processing capacity in the basin. We moved forward to building our second gas plant, knowing that the basin was going to be constrained. Today, you've got 2.8 BCF in the basin, with our plant in place, 2.2 BCF of processing capacity. So that all played out really well.

The other nice thing for us is that while we stress kind of safety and making sure that you can get your systems online and doing it safely, we did that and we were on-time and on-budget with the plant, which is a phenomenal success for the team. You have seen because of just the weather fluctuations kind of throughout in a very short build season, a number of other plants didn't have the same type of success of getting up online like ours did. We had some downtime. Some of that's just kind of what I would call some of that startup phase of knocking out the kinks. And it did impact us because of our concentration kind of in Wild Basin to that plant. But kind of broader speaking getting that gas plant up online on time in December was just a huge feat for the team. And what I'd call this is just some of that initial startup that we got kind of 6 months into it and now we're through it and we think we're past it.

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Thomas B. Nusz, Oasis Petroleum Inc. - Chairman & CEO [42]

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Yes. You'd like to think of these things are all cookie cutter, and you turn them on and they work perfectly. But they're a little bit more complex than that. So you always know that you're going to have a little bit of whether it's 3 months or 6 months, trying to get these things lined out and operating correctly and efficiently and that's not a wild surprise. You'd rather not have that, but it's not a wild surprise.

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Noel Augustus Parks, Coker & Palmer Investment Securities, Inc., Research Division - Senior Analyst Exploration, Production and MLP’s [43]

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And just actually can you tell us what the -- how long the plant was down, how many days?

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Taylor L. Reid, Oasis Petroleum Inc. - President, COO and Director [44]

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It was about 20 days, plus or minus. So something like -- a few weeks, ballpark.

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Noel Augustus Parks, Coker & Palmer Investment Securities, Inc., Research Division - Senior Analyst Exploration, Production and MLP’s [45]

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And then just turning to the Delaware for a minute. I've heard some other operators out there comment on our being in a window of opportunity where meaningful acreage swaps and so forth can still be accomplished but that, that window might be closing. I was just curious if, around your acreage, do you have a sense of any urgency about that among your partners and competitors? Or just with oil having been a little weaker lately, is there not so much of a press going on anymore?

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Thomas B. Nusz, Oasis Petroleum Inc. - Chairman & CEO [46]

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We've focused -- since we got the assets, big part of the focus was to just really block it up and do bolt-ons, and we've been successful on that front. We've done a number of trades and done some small acquisitions that has resulted in extending the number of places we can drill 2-mile laterals. That was already a high number. It's kind of 75%, 80% of the acreage, and so we're moving that -- continue to move that up and then consolidating in and around the acreage. We've been successful. So we've seen good cooperation and willingness to do both trades and where it makes sense to sell assets that aren't core to people or may not be an exact fit for their position that may not be concentrated in this area. So we've been pleased on that front, and it looks like we're going to continue to have those opportunities going forward.

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Noel Augustus Parks, Coker & Palmer Investment Securities, Inc., Research Division - Senior Analyst Exploration, Production and MLP’s [47]

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Just to clarify, but is your sense that we're kind of in the final innings of that process or just something that's going to keep going?

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Thomas B. Nusz, Oasis Petroleum Inc. - Chairman & CEO [48]

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Yes, Noel. Look, it's actually if anything kind of a trade activity and bolt-on is if anything maybe picked up a bit, is everybody starts to optimize their capital spend and focus on their operated projects, especially, with lease terms in -- in the Delaware that you're very familiar with. It's very different than the Williston Basin, for instance with the different clauses that you have in these leases. So as -- with the combination of those clauses in the leases as well as people being focused on their operated programs and optimizing their CapEx, if anything, I would say, that it's made it -- I mean doing trades is never easy, but at least, people are feeling the need to consolidate, which -- and as I mentioned, I mean we just picked up some acreage that allowed us to form a 12 80 where we didn't have a core and -- but it does tend to get people focused on it.

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Operator [49]

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This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would now like to turn the conference back over to Tommy Nusz for any closing remarks.

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Thomas B. Nusz, Oasis Petroleum Inc. - Chairman & CEO [50]

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Thanks. In closing, Oasis continues to execute its 2019 program. We remain committed to being free cash flow neutral to positive in a volatile oil price environment as we have since 2015. But I want to be clear, we're focused on making prudent long-term value decisions for our shareholders.

Again, thanks for joining our call.

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Operator [51]

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The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.