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Edited Transcript of RM.N earnings conference call or presentation 29-Oct-20 9:00pm GMT

·35 min read

Q3 2020 Regional Management Corp Earnings Call Greenville Nov 2, 2020 (Thomson StreetEvents) -- Edited Transcript of Regional Management Corp earnings conference call or presentation Thursday, October 29, 2020 at 9:00:00pm GMT TEXT version of Transcript ================================================================================ Corporate Participants ================================================================================ * Michael S. Dymski Regional Management Corp. - VP, Interim CFO & CAO * Robert William Beck Regional Management Corp. - President, CEO & Director ================================================================================ Conference Call Participants ================================================================================ * David Michael Scharf JMP Securities LLC, Research Division - MD and Equity Research Analyst * John Hecht Jefferies LLC, Research Division - MD & Equity Analyst * Sanjay Harkishin Sakhrani Keefe, Bruyette, & Woods, Inc., Research Division - MD * William J. Dezellem Tieton Capital Management, LLC - President, CIO & Chief Compliance Officer * Garrett Edson ICR, LLC - SVP ================================================================================ Presentation -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Operator [1] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Thank you for standing by. This is the conference operator. Welcome to the Regional Management Corporation Third Quarter 2020 Earnings Conference Call. As a reminder, all participants are in listen-only mode, and the conference is being recorded. After the presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To join the question queue, you may press star then one on your telephone keypad. Should you need assistance during the conference call, you may signal an operator by pressing star and 0. I would now like to turn the conference over to Garrett Edson of ICR. Please go ahead. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Garrett Edson, ICR, LLC - SVP [2] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Thank you, and good afternoon. By now, everyone should have access to our earnings announcement and supplemental presentation, which was released prior to this call and may be found on our website at regionalmanagement.com. Before we begin our formal remarks, I will direct you to Page 2 of our supplemental presentation, which contains important disclosures concerning forward-looking statements and the use of non-GAAP financial measures. Part of our discussion today may include forward-looking statements, which are based on management's current expectations, estimates and projections about the company's future financial performance and business prospects. These forward-looking statements speak only as of today and are subject to various assumptions, risks, uncertainties and other factors that are difficult to predict and that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements. These statements are not guarantees of future performance, and therefore, you should not place undue reliance upon them. We refer all of you to our press release presentation or recent filings with the SEC for a more detailed discussion of our forward-looking statements and the risks and uncertainties that could impact the future operating results and financial condition of Regional Management Corp. Also, our discussion today may include references to certain non-GAAP measures. Reconciliation of these measures to the most comparable GAAP measure can be found within our earnings announcement or earnings presentation and posted on our website at regionalmanagement.com. I would now like to introduce Rob Beck, President and CEO of Regional Management Corp. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Robert William Beck, Regional Management Corp. - President, CEO & Director [3] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Thanks, Garrett, and welcome to our Third Quarter 2020 Earnings Call. I'm joined today by Mike Demski, our Interim Chief Financial Officer. Simply put, we had an outstanding third quarter, particularly when considering the challenging economic and operating environment. I couldn't be happier with our results and our team's efforts. We generated $11.2 million of net income, or $1.01 of diluted EPS as a result of quality growth in our loan portfolio, a strong credit profile, disciplined expense management and low funding costs. Thanks to both rebounding consumer demand and our new growth initiatives, we sequentially grew our total portfolio by $37 million, led by $41 million of growth in our core small and large loan portfolio. Our core loan portfolio also grew by $10 million year-over-year. At the same time, the credit quality of our portfolio remains stable, with a net credit loss rate of 7.8% in the third quarter compared to a 10.6% rate in the second quarter and 8.1% in the prior year period. We ended the third quarter with a 30-plus-day delinquency rate of 4.7%, near historic lows and down from 4.8% as of June 30, and 6.5% as of the prior year, even as our borrower assistant program usage held steady at pre-pandemic levels throughout the quarter. Our $144 million allowance for credit losses as of September 30th, compares favorably to our 30-plus-day contractual delinquency of 49.9 million. The allowance includes a 31.9 million reserve for credit losses associated with COVID 19. Though we expect delinquencies to begin to normalize off these historic lows, we're confident that we have ample coverage to absorb the associated credit losses. Of course, any additional government stimulus would help us to keep delinquencies low for a longer period of time. As an annualized percentage of average receivables, interest expense in the third quarter improved by 50 basis points to 3.5% compared to 4% in the prior year period. In late September, we completed our largest securitization transaction to date at a weighted average coupon of 2.85%, further reducing our cost of capital and improving our already ample liquidity and borrowing capacity. We're now a well-established issuer in the ABS market and expect to access the market regularly moving forward. As of October 23rd, we had 516 million of unused capacity on our credit facilities and 208 million of liquidity, consisting of a combination of unrestricted cash on hand and immediate availability to draw down cash from our credit facilities. In sum, we executed well on all facets of our business, and we continue to position the company to expand market share and profitability in the coming quarters and years. As we've consistently noted, our management team and Board of Directors regularly assess our capital allocation priorities. On the heels of our outstanding third quarter performance and based on our strong capital position, robust liquidity, and confidence in our long-term strategy and ability to generate excess capital to return to shareholders on a regular basis. Our Board of Directors approved a quarterly dividend of $0.20 per share and authorized a $30 million share repurchase program. The quarterly dividend and the repurchase program enable us to return significant value to our shareholders, while at the same time, allowing us to maintain a strong balance sheet and the necessary capital to invest in our long-term growth strategy. Looking ahead, we're excited about our growth prospects. We continue to invest heavily in our omnichannel, digital and marketing initiatives as we see considerable opportunities to generate significant growth and expand our market share moving forward. We entered the fourth quarter with 1.1 billion of net finance receivables. And thus far, in October, we have continued to experience a steady uptick in the number of loan applications and originations, further evidence of rebounding consumer demand and the early effectiveness of our growth strategy. As I noted on our prior call, we completed the rollout of our remote loan closing capabilities across our network in July. Our remote loan closing process enables our customers to extend and expand their borrowing relationship with us from the comfort of their home, while still allowing us to maintain the exact same underwriting standard that we would apply if the customers were meeting with us and our branches. After only 3 months with the new capabilities fully deployed, we completed 16% of September branch originations through the loan closing process, a demonstration of our ability to adapt successfully to the new operating environment, while continuing to provide our customers with the best-in-class service and experience that they've come to expect from them. Over the next 18 months, we expect to test and implement a number of exciting digital and growth initiatives. For example, in the third quarter, we experienced early positive results from a test of our larger loan offers to our highest credit quality customers and a test of Direct mail offers to expanded segments of our risk response model, which we believe will generate attractive risk-adjusted returns. By early 2021, we expect to complete the migration of our IT infrastructure to the cloud. And in the first half of 2021, we plan to roll out an improved digital pre-qualification experience for our customers, including expanded integrations with existing and new digital affiliates and lead generators. Early next year, we also plan to enter a new state as we continue our footprint expansion, and we intend to pilot a guaranteed loan offer program, which will be an alternative to our convenience check loan product and may be fulfilled online with ACH funding into a customer's bank account. In the second half of 2021 and early 2022, we expect to test the digital origination product and channel for new and existing customers. In parallel, we plan to improve our customer experience through the introduction of a mobile app and the enhancement of our customer pool. Being available at the customer's convenience is imperative, now more than ever. And having modern capabilities that further enrich the customer experience will only aid in our ability to retain our current customers and win new customers. We believe that our omnichannel and digital investments will allow us to extend the geographic reach of our existing branches, enter new markets more quickly and with lower brand density, enable new growth and higher average receivables per branch, and ultimately, further expand our revenue and operating efficiencies leading to a stronger bottom line growth. As we grow and introduce new channels, products, and service features, we remain keenly focused on maintaining the credit quality of our portfolio. We're proud of the job we've done in preserving a strong and stable credit profile. Our ongoing credit performance is a testament to the quality of our pre-pandemic underwriting criteria, our custom scorecards, the bridge provided by borrower assistance programs and government stimulus, and our ability to quickly adapt our underwriting criteria as the operating and macroeconomic environment evolves. Our investment in our credit infrastructure over the past several years has paid dividends in 2020, and has positioned us well to pursue our growth initiatives over the long term. Looking ahead, we plan to continue investing in further improving our underwriting, including through alternative data and advanced machine learning tools and models that will expand the use of trended credit attributes. Maintaining sharp focus on our credit quality will help to ensure that top line expansion translates into sustainable bottom line growth. To aid in the execution of our ongoing initiatives, we announced last month that Harp Rana will be joining us in November as our new Chief Financial Officer. Along with her significant financial and credit expertise, Harp has extensive experience in steering digital initiatives and innovation at Citi, making her an ideal fit for the role. We look forward to having her as a key member of the team, and I would be remiss if I didn't thank Mike for doing an outstanding job in the interim CFO position. I look forward to continuing to work with him in his ongoing role as our Chief Accounting Officer. In summary, I want to thank our team members who continue to perform admirably for an outstanding third quarter performance in all respects. We remain confident in the sustainability of our operating model, the resilience of our customers, and our team's ability to execute in a challenging environment. We're very pleased with our results and with our ability to return capital to our shareholders, and we're excited about what the future holds. I'll now turn the call over to Mike to provide additional color on our financials. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Michael S. Dymski, Regional Management Corp. - VP, Interim CFO & CAO [4] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Thank you, Rob, and hello, everyone. Let me take you through our third quarter results in more detail. On Page 3 of the supplemental presentation, we provide the third quarter financial highlights. We produced net income of $11.2 million and diluted earnings per share of $1.01, driven by sequential portfolio growth, stable credit performance, and low funding costs. Page 4 displays our portfolio growth and mix trends through September 30th. We closed the quarter with net finance receivables of $1.1 billion, up $37 million sequentially due to rebounding consumer demand and the execution of our new growth initiatives. Our core loan portfolio grew $41 million or 4% sequentially, and $10 million or 1% year-over-year. We continue to originate new loans with appropriately tightened lending criteria. As illustrated on Page 5, branch originations further increased from $67 million in June to $82 million in September. Meanwhile, direct mail and digital originations increased from $12 million in June to $27 million in September. Total originations for the third quarter of 2020 decreased 12% over the prior year period. The year-over-year change in total originations has consistently improved for the past 5 months, with September originations increasing 7% year-over-year. We expect fourth quarter originations to decline from third quarter levels as part of our normal seasonal pattern, which should result in modest sequential portfolio growth in the quarter. However, the timing of any new government stimulus checks would temporarily reduce loan demand. Turning to Page 7. Total revenue declined 1%, and the interest and fee yield declined 60 basis points year-over-year due to the continued product mix shift toward large loans and the portfolio composition shift toward higher credit quality customers with slightly lower interest rate due to enhanced underwriting standards during the pandemic. Interest and fee yield increased 100 basis points sequentially as a result of increased renewal activity and the recognition of unearned revenue on those renewals. In the fourth quarter, we expect interest and fee yield to be 30 basis points lower than the third quarter. As of September 30, 80% of our loan portfolio had an APR at or below 36%. Total revenue yield, which includes our insurance net income, decreased 40 basis points year-over-year, also due to the change in product mix and portfolio composition shift to higher credit quality customers. As a reminder, customers purchase unemployment insurance coverage from us to help keep their loan payments on track, even during an unforeseen unemployment event. As of September 30th, 53,000 or 13% of our customer accounts are covered by unemployment insurance. In the first quarter of 2020, we recorded a $1.3 million IUI reserve related to elevated unemployment claims at the start of the pandemic. Based on IUI claim frequency to date, no additional reserves were required in the second or third quarters. In the fourth quarter, we expect our total revenue yield to be 50 basis points lower than the third quarter. Moving to Page 9. Our net credit loss rate was 7.8% for the third quarter of 2020, a 30 basis point improvement year-over-year, and a 280 basis point improvement from the second quarter of 2020. We expect to see the impact of the pandemic on our net credit loss rate more prominently in the middle of 2021 with the timing dependent on macro conditions and the impact of any additional government stimulus. Flipping to Page 10. The credit quality of our portfolio remains stable. Our 30-plus day delinquency level at September 30th was 4.7%, which was a 10-basis-point improvement from the second quarter and a 180-basis-point improvement year-over-year. 74% of our core loan portfolio has now passed our scorecard underwriting criteria. In addition, approximately 40% of our total loan portfolio has been originated since April, the vast majority of which was subject to enhanced underwriting standards deployed following the outset of the pandemic. Turning to Page 11. We ended the second quarter with an allowance for credit losses of $142 million or 13.9% of net finance receivables. During the third quarter of 2020, the allowance increased by $2 million with a base reserve build of $3.5 million from portfolio growth, partially offset by a macroeconomic reserve release of $1.5 million. We ran several updated economic stress scenarios, and our final forecast assumes elevated unemployment in 2020 with a gradual decline to 9% by the end of 2021. The severity and duration of our macro assumptions remained relatively consistent with the second quarter model. We ended the third quarter with an allowance for credit losses of $144 million or 13.6% of net finance receivables, inclusive of $31.9 million of COVID-19-related reserves. We are confident that we are sufficiently reserved if the pandemic continues for an extended period. Flipping to Page 12. G&A expenses in the third quarter of 2020 were $43.8 million, up $3.6 million year-over-year, but better than our sequential guidance for the quarter by $0.7 million. As we reposition the business for future growth, we adjusted our workforce in the third quarter and incurred $0.8 million of non-operating severance expense. The savings from these actions will be used to fund our omnichannel and digital investments. We deferred $0.9 million less in loan origination costs on less loan volume in the third quarter of 2020, which increased personnel expense year-over-year. We increased marketing expense year-over-year by $0.9 million to support our growth initiatives. Lastly, the third quarter of 2020 included $0.8 million of incremental costs related to new branches that opened since the prior year period. Our operating expense ratio was 17% in the third quarter of 2020 with the items previously noted, impacting the ratio by 130 basis points. We remain focused on investing in our digital capabilities and marketing efforts, all to drive new revenue opportunities, enhance our customers' omnichannel experience, and create long-term operating leverage. In parallel with these efforts, we executed cost management actions, including the aforementioned workforce reduction to self-fund a large portion of the digital investment. Excluding marketing, expenses in the second half of 2020 are forecasted to be down from the first half of the year, which evidences the self-funding of the digital initiatives. Overall, we expect G&A expenses for the fourth quarter to be higher than the third quarter by $1.7 million, encompassing $1 million of increased marketing, and the remainder related to investment in digital capability. Turning to Page 13. Interest expense of $9.3 million in the third quarter of 2020 was $1 million lower than the prior year period due to the lower interest rate environment and despite $0.8 million of accelerated amortized debt issue costs incurred during the third quarter of 2020. These costs, related to repaying our first securitization, were the proceeds from our latest securitization transaction. In late September, we closed our fourth and largest asset-backed securitization, a $180 million note issuance with a weighted average coupon of 2.85%, our lowest cost of capital ever. Our third quarter annualized interest expense as a percentage of average finance receivables was 3.5%, a 50-basis-point improvement year-over-year. During the third quarter, we purchased $150 million of interest rate cap contract with 3-year terms and a strike rate against LIBOR of 50 basis points. We took advantage of the favorable rate environment and help secure our funding cost for the future. In the fourth quarter, we expect interest expense to be approximately $9.1 million. Our effective tax rate during the third quarter of 2020 was 27% compared to 25% in the prior year period. In the ordinary course of business, we have nondeductible expenses, taxes on share-based compensation, and state taxes in Texas that largely do not vary based on pre-tax income, so these items have a larger impact on our effective tax rate when pretax income is lower. Our 27% effective tax rate for the third quarter of 2020 was better than our guidance of 30% as pretax income increased on sequential loan growth, strong credit results and low funding costs. In the fourth quarter, we expect our effective tax rate to be approximately 27%. Page 14 is a reminder of our strong funding profile. Our third quarter funded debt-to-equity ratio remained at a very conservative 2.6:1. Low leverage, coupled with $144 million in loan loss reserves provides a fortress for our balance sheet and the completion of the securitization transaction during the third quarter improved our liquidity profile and borrowing capacity even more. In summary, we have more than adequate liquidity and capacity to support the fundamental operations of our business throughout the pandemic. That concludes my remarks. I'll now turn the call back over to Rob to wrap up. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Robert William Beck, Regional Management Corp. - President, CEO & Director [5] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Thanks, Mike. In summary, we exited the third quarter with solid operating results, strong balance sheet, ample liquidity, stable credit profile, and an exciting long-term growth trajectory. We're very pleased with our performance, our current position, and with our Board of Directors' decision to begin regularly returning excess capital to our shareholders. Thank you again for your time and interest. I'll now open up the call for questions. Operator, could you please open the line? ================================================================================ Questions and Answers -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Operator [1] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (Operator Instructions) Our first question comes from David Scharf with JMP Securities. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- David Michael Scharf, JMP Securities LLC, Research Division - MD and Equity Research Analyst [2] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- First off, Rob, you kind of rattled off an awful lot of sort of new growth initiatives next year. I couldn't get them all down. But I was just wondering at a high level, whether it's new -- trying to think about how to rank maybe the prioritization in your mind, as you think about what might be most impactful to origination volumes over the next maybe 24, 30 months. Is it new stores? Is it the digital convenience checks or just remote closing? How should we be thinking about how the origination model is ultimately changing?? -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Robert William Beck, Regional Management Corp. - President, CEO & Director [3] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Yes, David, great question and good to hear from you. So, I guess the way I look at it is this way. The growth we saw in the third quarter, the $41 million increase in receivables, about half of that came from some of the new initiatives that we listed. Whether that was testing some larger offers to our very best credit quality customers, some of the enhanced analytics we use for our direct mail program to kind of expand the segments that we're marketing into within our risk response models. We talked about extended footprint mailing before, so we're starting to see some early results from those initiatives. I think the key takeaway, and we did pack in a lot in my commentary there, is this is all about really finally building out that true omnichannel experience, so a customer can be served where and how they want. And we think that's going to be critical post COVID. The things we're going to be rolling out next year is going to ultimately allow us to do end-to-end digital originations, whether that's on a mobile app or our portal. And when you have those capabilities, that can be applied in numerous ways to not only expand the top line and grow your balance sheet and your receivables, but also drive efficiencies in the organization. And so then when you think about -- we talked about entering a new state next year, as we think entering new markets, not only could that allow you to do that in a more efficient way with less stores, but it can also ramp up your ability to enter more geographies faster. So it's hard for me to give you any kind of quantification now other than I think part of the confidence in returning capital to our shareholders is the confidence that we have in our long-term business model and ability to return excess capital to our shareholders. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- David Michael Scharf, JMP Securities LLC, Research Division - MD and Equity Research Analyst [4] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Got it. Understood. I appreciate that, and maybe just one more follow-up. I guess, with roughly 80% of balances now, it sounded like, or at or below 36%. You obviously can control based on what types of products you're actually marketing, either digitally or direct mail. Did you have a goal in mind time wise for when you would prefer perhaps for the portfolio to be entirely at that level, particularly in advance of what potentially could be a different regulatory environment in Washington? -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Robert William Beck, Regional Management Corp. - President, CEO & Director [5] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Yes, so really 2 component pieces to your question, I think. Look, part of our core strategy is we acquire small loan customers that, on average, have a much higher rate than 36%. I think the average is 43%. We then have the honest credit experience with us. And then as you know, we graduate them to larger loans, and they're delighted in the sense that they pay a lower rate, and in many cases, a lower payment -- absolute payment. And that's still a core part of our strategy, and it's how we acquire new customers and fill the funnel, so to speak, to then graduate them to large loans. So, that remains intact. Now, if there were to be a pivot in the regulatory environment to some sort of 36% rate cap, being at 80% is a pretty good place to be, and we could migrate and pivot accordingly. I also think that any kind of rate cap at 36% would lead to a lot of companies struggling to stay in business and create some opportunity, maybe even a lot of opportunity for us to grab share from their customers who some are paying higher rates than they otherwise could be paying if they possibly apply to us to get a loan. But stepping back more from a practicality standpoint -- and no one can know what's going to happen in Washington, the access to credit that would get taken away if there's a 36% rate cap. It could impact, I don't know, 100 million Americans, and that's going to have a significant impact on the economy right as we're hopefully coming out of COVID. And so, while it sounds good that there's a 36% rate cap, I'm not sure from a practical standpoint that, that's going to be beneficial to the economy and get through. But again, whichever way it goes, we're well positioned, and we like where we stand. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Operator [6] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The next question comes from Sanjay Sakhrani with KBW. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Sanjay Harkishin Sakhrani, Keefe, Bruyette, & Woods, Inc., Research Division - MD [7] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is actually Steven Kwok filling in for Sanjay. I guess, like just a follow-up around the credit aspect, like when do we see the effects of pandemic on your credit line? Because it seems like everything has been great thus far, how should we think about the credit trajectory over the near term? And then as you think about that, how does that impact the reserve base as these charge-offs come through? And should we expect then the reserve rate to come down given you've already reserved for those losses? -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Robert William Beck, Regional Management Corp. - President, CEO & Director [8] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Hey, Steven, thanks for the question. I'll take the first part and probably kick the reserve question over to Mike. So look, where we stand now, delinquencies at 4.7% are just off historical lows. And we do expect that delinquencies, as we've said previously, will start to rise. Given where we are in the year, I think right now, you're looking at, absent any more government stimulus, you're looking at maybe middle of the year next year where you start to see the COVID related losses come through, of which we are reserved well for. So that's kind of the outlook at the moment. Now obviously, if there's additional government stimulus, and we don't know the timing of the form, but I would expect that, that would extend the benefit on the delinquencies and push further out the losses depending on what the nature of that stimulus is. Mike, you want to cover from a reserve standpoint?? -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Michael S. Dymski, Regional Management Corp. - VP, Interim CFO & CAO [9] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Sure. Hey, Steven. Good afternoon. And your thesis is correct on the reserving for the losses here in 2020, that would -- release of the reserves would offset those losses when they come through in 2021. So just to give you a little background, our model assumes elevated unemployment in 2020 with a gradual decline to 9% by the end of next year. We then made adjustments to the model to account for some of the benefits of our internal borrower systems programs. In the third quarter, our severity and duration of our assumptions remain pretty consistent with where the second quarter model was. And overall, we're confident that we are sufficiently reserved if the pandemic continues for extended period. As Rob mentioned, we do expect delinquency to rise during the fourth quarter. But a lot of that's going to depend on the timing and level of any government stimulus. But in the meantime, we have $31.9 million of COVID related reserves, which is about a 30% stress on our normal reserve rate that we came into 2020 with on CECL. And so we feel comfortable with reserves being able to cover the impact of COVID losses in 2021. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Sanjay Harkishin Sakhrani, Keefe, Bruyette, & Woods, Inc., Research Division - MD [10] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Great. And just as a quick follow-up, are you seeing anything on the consumer side as some of these stimulus programs have kind of gone away? Just wanted to see if you're seeing anything on the early side. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Robert William Beck, Regional Management Corp. - President, CEO & Director [11] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Well, Steven, the additional unemployment expired, the FEMA money that was redirected was largely used up by the end of September. And so, we really haven't seen an impact on our delinquencies ending at 4.7%. And so far in October, we're tracking well to be below 5%. There's the size of government stimulus, there's other things that are supporting our customer and the economy in general. I think that if you think about the forbearance programs with the mortgage forbearance programs and the government agencies, I think up to 1/3 of customers maybe taking advantage of those forbearance programs. The average benefit is about $1,100 in cash saved per month. So obviously, our customers may be on the -- below the average in terms of cash saved. But you take that, you combine that with people spending less money. And what that translates into is a much higher savings rate, and I think you can see that from some of the metrics been reported. I think savings are up $12 trillion since the beginning of the pandemic, and that's really across all income bands. Debt-to-income is -- has improved. So, the consumer's balance sheet is pretty healthy. I saw some research recently that suggested for the pure government stimulus that was provided, about 1/3 of the dollars want to pay down debt, 1/3 went to spending, and a third went to savings. So, there's underlying support beyond direct government stimulus. But clearly, if there's additional government stimulus, that's going to add further support on the credit side. Now, just to be clear, a little bit of a double-edged sword, I do think if there's stimulus checks, at least in the very short term, you might have some impact on demand for a month or 2 or a quarter as any stimulus dollars burned through. But net-net, we're sitting in a pretty good shape. The customer, I think, is in better shape. And of course, as Mike said, we're -- we've got substantial reserves relative to our current delinquencies at this point in time. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Operator [12] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (Operator Instructions) The next question comes from John Hecht with Jeffries. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- John Hecht, Jefferies LLC, Research Division - MD & Equity Analyst [13] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- I'm on for John Hecht today. Just wanted to touch on the omnichannel platform, how it's going to affect the cost structure going forward? And what else do you expect to see out of it, especially in like '21, '22? -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Robert William Beck, Regional Management Corp. - President, CEO & Director [14] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Yes, a little bit too early to tell how that's all going to play out. As you saw, there's various initiatives we have. I think, fundamentally, over time, it is going to improve our cost efficiency. The more customers you service through digital means, the lower the cost will be. If we enter new states with the thinner branch footprint, that obviously reduces our origination cost. Part of the -- the reason why I can't give you a straight answer is it really all comes down to the pace of implementation. And we're very early in testing some things, and we're investing and building out the rest of the capabilities. And where we finally land is in part going to be how quickly we can affect the pace of change. And of course, along the way, that we're meeting the need of the customer with the right capabilities. And that's never just a straight line. You test and you learn and you pivot. I think we've learned to be very nimble in this environment during global pandemic, and that's going to pay off in spades as we digitize the business and build out our omnichannel strategy. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- John Hecht, Jefferies LLC, Research Division - MD & Equity Analyst [15] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Awesome. And then another quick one for '21 is, how should we think about the branch build outs? I know you said in your release that we're expecting one for 4Q, but going forward, or is it too early to tell there?? -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Robert William Beck, Regional Management Corp. - President, CEO & Director [16] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- A little early to tell. I would tell you this, we are going to enter new states. So you can kind of pencil in right now approximately 10 new branches. I'm not going to say that they're all going to be in the new state; we do have some opportunities in some of our other recent states we've entered. So, you can pencil in 10 for now, we'll get back to you on more details as we finish up our plan for next year. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Operator [17] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The next question comes from Bill Dezellem with Tieton Capital. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- William J. Dezellem, Tieton Capital Management, LLC - President, CIO & Chief Compliance Officer [18] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You walked through a number of new digital initiatives over the course of the next 12 or so months. Would you please kind of highlight which one of those is going to have the greatest overall impact on the business, number one. Number two, which one you expect to have the biggest impact on loan growth. And number three, the one that you expect to have the biggest impact on credit. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Robert William Beck, Regional Management Corp. - President, CEO & Director [19] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- So Bill, good to hear from you. Yes, we're probably not going to get too far over our skis on any of these initiatives. I can tell you there are several things we're working on that we think are very attractive growth opportunities. Yes, obviously, as we enter new states, that's always a very nice runway for growth. But the other capabilities we have around using our data to mail more effectively and efficiently, things we may do to extend the reach of our branches, all of those things are going to have a positive impact. And it's not as if we have to choose one over the other, many of these things can be done simultaneously and be built into just the way we operate. Clearly, as we digitize and we go end-to-end in terms of our capabilities, to underwrite for new and existing borrowers, that opens up tremendous greenfield opportunities for us to expand our growth. But on the credit front, what I'll tell you is, there's nothing we're doing that we aren't keeping laser-focused on credit, particularly given the environment with the pandemic. But when you do new strategies, obviously, we are going to be laser-like focused on the underwriting. The strategies that we started to put together in the end test in the third quarter, all those have been done with the existing underwriting standards we have. I think it's worth pointing out that since the start of the pandemic, we turned over about 40% of our portfolio so far. The vast majority of that new receivables has been put on the books with tightened or enhanced credit underwriting. And that's higher FICO cutoffs, maybe, lending less to certain segments, more robust income verification, use of other information to guide us in terms of our direct mail program from a risk standpoint. And we're going to build out -- continue to build out our credit infrastructure and go beyond our existing custom scorecards and really start to leverage a broader set of data elements. And beyond the 23 or 24 we have, we're talking about 1,000 or more, which some other firms utilize and take advantage of machine learning to make our underwriting even more sophisticated. So, when you take those elements along with tools that exist out there today, particularly with digital underwriting to prevent fraud, all of those activities are going to help us grow the top line through these new strategies, but maintain very tight control over our credit so that we can maintain the returns in the business. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- William J. Dezellem, Tieton Capital Management, LLC - President, CIO & Chief Compliance Officer [20] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- And let me ask another unrelated question. To what degree do you know the category that a person is employed in? And specifically, I'm trying to understand to what degree could you just pull up the proportion of your customers that are restaurant servers, for example, or work in hospitality, just some of these higher risk areas? -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Robert William Beck, Regional Management Corp. - President, CEO & Director [21] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Yes, we have the ability to sort by industry. Obviously, there's always going to be some noise in the data based on your sources of information, whether it's something that has been reported accurately by the customer or not. So we have the ability to look at that. We have the ability and we have suppressed certain industries like oil and gas for our direct mail program, as an example. So we have the ability to look at that. We know that proportion in our portfolio, not just in aggregate, but a state level. And of course, we look at the performance of the business at a very granular level. But clearly, as we continue to build out our data analytic capabilities in the credit side, we'll just get better and better at it. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- William J. Dezellem, Tieton Capital Management, LLC - President, CIO & Chief Compliance Officer [22] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- And your credit has been great, but have you seen a difference in behavior amongst customers, either geographically or by type of employment or type of employer category?? -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Robert William Beck, Regional Management Corp. - President, CEO & Director [23] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Yes, performance has been pretty consistent across all our states. Obviously, if someone is unemployed, there's more stress. There's obviously been a lot of support for the unemployed, which I think obviously improves the performance of that segment, along with all the other, I think, support that's out there in the economy, in general, whether it's forbearance programs and the like. So -- but the performance is pretty steady across the portfolio, and we're pleased with where we are, but we're also watching it like a hawk. And I think that's what you would expect us to do, and we're reserved obviously for any stress that comes. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Operator [24] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- This concludes the question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Rob Beck for any closing remarks. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Robert William Beck, Regional Management Corp. - President, CEO & Director [25] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Yes, thank you, operator, and thanks, everyone, for joining. As I said, we're really pleased with the results this quarter. Obviously, the environment is still uncertain, and top of mind for us is the safety and health of our employees and our customers. We remain there for our customers. We are seeing and have seen a pickup in demand and we're encouraged where the future holds. I will tell you that, very confident in the strength of this business. And just a slight snippet of some facts, with $272 million of equity, we have $208 million of available liquidity as of October 23rd, $144 million of loan losses and $507 million of unused borrowing capacity to support our growth and our earnings in the quarter, all of which were up strongly since the second quarter. So we're confident in the strength of our business. We're optimistic in the future for the business and the growth opportunities, and we are watching the environment closely. And we're prepared and we remain nimble to address whatever challenges face us a business. So thanks for joining the call, and have a good day. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Operator [26] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- This concludes today's conference call. You may disconnect your lines. Thank you for participating, and have a pleasant day.