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Is Emclaire Financial Corp (EMCF) A Buy At Its Current Price?

James Harlett

Emclaire Financial Corp (NASDAQ:EMCF) is currently trading at a trailing P/E of 14.4x, which is lower than the industry average of 19.3x. While this makes EMCF appear like a great stock to buy, you might change your mind after I explain the assumptions behind the P/E ratio. In this article, I will deconstruct the P/E ratio and highlight what you need to be careful of when using the P/E ratio. Check out our latest analysis for Emclaire Financial

Breaking down the P/E ratio

NasdaqCM:EMCF PE PEG Gauge Sep 12th 17

P/E is a popular ratio used for relative valuation. By comparing a stock’s price per share to its earnings per share, we are able to see how much investors are paying for each dollar of the company’s earnings.

Formula

Price-Earnings Ratio = Price per share ÷ Earnings per share

P/E Calculation for EMCF

Price per share = 28.38

Earnings per share = 1.975

∴ Price-Earnings Ratio = 28.38 ÷ 1.975 = 14.4x

On its own, the P/E ratio doesn’t tell you much; however, it becomes extremely useful when you compare it with other similar companies. Ideally, we want to compare the stock’s P/E ratio to the average of companies that have similar characteristics as EMCF, such as size and country of operation. A quick method of creating a peer group is to use companies in the same industry, which is what I will do. Since similar companies should technically have similar P/E ratios, we can very quickly come to some conclusions about the stock if the ratios differ.

At 14.4x, EMCF’s P/E is lower than its industry peers (19.3x). This implies that investors are undervaluing each dollar of EMCF’s earnings. As such, our analysis shows that EMCF represents an under-priced stock.

A few caveats

While our conclusion might prompt you to buy EMCF immediately, there are two important assumptions you should be aware of. The first is that our peer group actually contains companies that are similar to EMCF. If this isn’t the case, the difference in P/E could be due to some other factors. For example, if you accidentally compared higher growth firms with EMCF, then EMCF’s P/E would naturally be lower since investors would reward its peers’ higher growth with a higher price. Alternatively, if you inadvertently compared less risky firms with EMCF, EMCF’s P/E would again be lower since investors would reward its peers’ lower risk with a higher price as well. The second assumption that must hold true is that the stocks we are comparing EMCF to are fairly valued by the market. If this assumption does not hold true, EMCF’s lower P/E ratio may be because firms in our peer group are being overvalued by the market.

NasdaqCM:EMCF Future Profit Sep 12th 17

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? You may have already conducted fundamental analysis on the stock as a shareholder, so its current undervaluation could signal a good buying opportunity to increase your exposure to EMCF. Now that you understand the ins and outs of the PE metric, you should know to bear in mind its limitations before you make an investment decision.

Are you a potential investor? If you are considering investing in EMCF, basing your decision on the PE metric at one point in time is certainly not sufficient. I recommend you do additional analysis by looking at its intrinsic valuation and using other relative valuation ratios like PEG or EV/EBITDA.

PE is one aspect of your portfolio construction to consider when holding or entering into a stock. But it is certainly not the only factor. Take a look at our most recent infographic report on Emclaire Financial for a more in-depth analysis of the stock to help you make a well-informed investment decision. Since we know a limitation of PE is it doesn't properly account for growth, you can use our free platform to see my list of stocks with a high growth potential and see if their PE is still reasonable.


To help readers see pass the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned.