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End of February Can Disappoint Bulls

Over the most recent 21-year time span the end of February has been tepid. The bulk of the weakness appears to land on the last trading day of the month or the penultimate trading day, but it can begin as early as the fourth to last trading day. This weakness has been evident in Februarys with a gain or a loss. Perhaps it is the winding down of earnings season that triggers weakness in some years. This weakness can be seen graphically in an earlier post titled “Mid-February Historically Stronger then Beginning or End.