EUR/USD Daily Forecast – Euro Stays Strong Ahead Of The Weekend
Euro Continues To Move Higher
EUR/USD is currently trying to settle above the resistance at 1.1880 while the U.S. dollar is mostly flat against a broad basket of currencies.
The U.S. Dollar Index managed to stay above the 50 EMA at 91.90 but failed to settle above the nearest resistance level at 92. In case the U.S. Dollar Index declines below the 50 EMA, it will gain additional downside momentum which will be bullish for EUR/USD.
Today, foreign exchange market traders will focus on the economic data from EU. Flash reading of the second-quarter Euro Area GDP Growth Rate report is projected to show that Euro Area GDP Growth Rate increased by 1.5% quarter-over-quarter. On a year-over-year basis, Euro Area GDP Growth Rate grew by 13.2%.
Traders will also have a chance to take a look at preliminary Euro Area inflation data for July. Euro Area Inflation Rate is forecast to decline by 0.3% month-over-month. On a year-over-year basis, Euro Area Inflation Rate is projected to grow by 2%. Euro Area Core Inflation Rate is expected to increase by 0.8% year-over-year. Euro Area Unemployment Rate is expected to remain unchanged at 7.9%.
It remains to be seen whether these reports will have a major impact on euro’s trading dynamics as no surprises are expected on the inflation front.
Technical Analysis
EUR/USD continues its attempts to settle above the resistance at 1.1880. If EUR/USD manages to settle above this level, it will get to the test of the next resistance level which is located at the 50 EMA at 1.1900.
A successful test of the resistance at the 50 EMA will open the way to the test of the resistance at 1.1925. If EUR/USD gets above this level, it will move towards the resistance at 1.1945. A move above this level will open the way to the test of the resistance at 1.1965.
On the support side, a move below 1.1880 will push EUR/USD back towards the support at 1.1860. In case EUR/USD declines below this level, it will head towards the support at the 20 EMA at 1.1840. A successful test of this level will lead to the test of the next support at 1.1830.
For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.
This article was originally posted on FX Empire
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