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When Can We Expect A Profit From American Pacific Borates Limited (ASX:ABR)?

Simply Wall St

American Pacific Borates Limited's (ASX:ABR): American Pacific Borates Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Australia and the United States. The AU$106m market-cap company announced a latest loss of -AU$3.0m on 30 June 2019 for its most recent financial year result. The most pressing concern for investors is ABR’s path to profitability – when will it breakeven? In this article, I will touch on the expectations for ABR’s growth and when analysts expect the company to become profitable.

See our latest analysis for American Pacific Borates

ABR is bordering on breakeven, according to Metals and Mining analysts. They anticipate the company to incur a final loss in 2021, before generating positive profits of AU$1.2m in 2022. ABR is therefore projected to breakeven around 2 years from today. How fast will ABR have to grow each year in order to reach the breakeven point by 2022? Working backwards from analyst estimates, it turns out that they expect the company to grow 40% year-on-year, on average, which is rather optimistic! If this rate turns out to be too aggressive, ABR may become profitable much later than analysts predict.

ASX:ABR Past and Future Earnings, February 11th 2020

Underlying developments driving ABR’s growth isn’t the focus of this broad overview, but, bear in mind that generally a metal and mining business has lumpy cash flows which are contingent on the natural resource mined and stage at which the company is operating. This means, large upcoming growth rates are not abnormal as the company is beginning to reap the benefits of earlier investments.

One thing I’d like to point out is that ABR has no debt on its balance sheet, which is rare for a loss-making metals and mining company, which usually has a high level of debt relative to its equity. ABR currently operates purely off its shareholder funding and has no debt obligation, reducing concerns around repayments and making it a less risky investment.

Next Steps:

There are key fundamentals of ABR which are not covered in this article, but I must stress again that this is merely a basic overview. For a more comprehensive look at ABR, take a look at ABR’s company page on Simply Wall St. I’ve also compiled a list of important factors you should further research:

  1. Historical Track Record: What has ABR's performance been like over the past? Go into more detail in the past track record analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of our analysis for more clarity.
  2. Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on American Pacific Borates’s board and the CEO’s back ground.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

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