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Can These Factors Give You An Edge In Union Bankshares, Inc. (NASDAQ:UNB)?

Kayla Ward

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As a small-cap bank stock with a market capitalisation of US$212m, Union Bankshares, Inc.’s (NASDAQ:UNB) risk and profitability are largely determined by the underlying economic growth of the US regions in which it operates. Since banks make money by reinvesting its customers’ deposits in the form of loans, strong economic growth will drive the level of savings deposits and demand for loans, directly impacting the cash flows of those banks. Following the Financial Crisis in 2008, a set of reforms termed Basel III was enforced to bolster risk management, regulation, and supervision in the financial services industry. These reforms target banking regulations and intends to enhance financial institutions’ ability to absorb shocks resulting from economic stress which could expose banks like Union Bankshares to vulnerabilities. Since its financial standing can unexpectedly decline in the case of an adverse macro event such as political instability, it is important to understand how prudent the bank is at managing its risk levels. Low levels of leverage coupled with sufficient liquidity may place Union Bankshares in a safe position in the face of adverse headwinds. We can measure this risk exposure by analysing three metrics for leverage and liquidity which I will take you through today.

See our latest analysis for Union Bankshares

NasdaqGM:UNB Historical Debt, February 25th 2019

Why Does UNB’s Leverage Matter?

A low level of leverage subjects a bank to less risk and enhances its ability to pay back its debtors. Leverage can be thought of as the amount of assets a bank owns relative to its shareholders’ funds. Financial institutions are required to have a certain level of buffer to meet capital adequacy levels. Union Bankshares’s leverage level of 12.49x is significantly below the appropriate ceiling of 20x. This means the bank exhibits very strong leverage management and is well-positioned to repay its debtors in the case of any adverse events since it has an appropriately high level of equity relative to the debt it has taken on to remain in business. If the bank needs to firm up its capital cushion, it has ample headroom to increase its debt level without deteriorating its financial position.

What Is UNB’s Level of Liquidity?

Handing Money Transparent

Since loans are relatively illiquid, we should know how much of Union Bankshares’s total assets are comprised of these loans. Usually, they should not be higher than 70% of total assets, however its current level of 79% means the bank has lent out 9.18% above the sensible threshold. This level implies dependency on this particular asset class as a source of revenue which makes the bank more exposed to defaulting relative to banks with less loans.

Does UNB Have Liquidity Mismatch?

Banks operate by lending out its customers’ deposits as loans and charge a higher interest rate. Loans are generally fixed term which means they cannot be readily realized, conversely, on the liability side, customer deposits must be paid in very short notice and on-demand. This mismatch between illiquid loans and liquid deposits poses a risk for the bank if unusual events occur and requires it to immediately repay its depositors. Relative to the prudent industry loan to deposit level of 90%, Union Bankshares’s ratio of over 90% is higher, which places the bank in a relatively dangerous territory to go into negative discrepancy in liquidity. Essentially, for $1 of deposits with the bank, it lends out more than $0.9 which is risky.

Next Steps:

Today, we’ve only explored one aspect of Union Bankshares. However, as a potential stock investment, there are many more fundamentals you need to consider. Below, I’ve compiled three key aspects you should look at:

  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for UNB’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for UNB’s outlook.
  2. Valuation: What is UNB worth today? Has the future growth potential already been factored into the price? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether UNB is currently mispriced by the market.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.