Celgene Corporation CELG is scheduled to report third-quarter 2019 results on Oct 31. The company's earnings surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the trailing four quarters, with average positive surprise of 4.21%. In the last reported quarter, it delivered a positive earnings surprise of 9.16%.
Let's see how things are shaping up ahead of this announcement.
Celgene Corporation Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
Celgene Corporation price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Celgene Corporation Quote
Factors at Play
Celgene’s key product, Revlimid, was a major growth driver in the second quarter, backed by the adoption of the triplet therapy for myeloma leading to market share gains, a trend that most likely continued in the third quarter. Revlimid, an oral, immunomodulatory drug, is currently approved for several indications, including the newly-diagnosed multiple myeloma ("MM"), myelodysplastic syndromes and mantle cell lymphoma.
In May, the European Commission approved the drug in combination with Velcade and dexamethasone (RVd) for the treatment of adult patients with previously-untreated MM, who are not eligible for transplant. Also, the FDA approved the drug in combination with a rituximab product for the treatment of adult patients with previously-treated follicular lymphoma or marginal zone lymphoma. Sales might have got further boost as this was the first full quarter to benefit from the label expansion of the drug into these indications.
Psoriasis drug, Otezla, has driven growth for Celgene in the first half of the year on higher demand and is likely to have contributed significantly to the company’s top line in the third quarter.
In addition to Revlimid and Otezla, Pomalyst and Abraxane might have boosted the top line.
Apart from the regular top and bottom-line numbers, investors will focus on pipeline updates from the company. In August, the FDA approved Inrebic (fedratinib) for the treatment of adult patients with intermediate-2 or high-risk primary or secondary (post-polycythemia vera or post-essential thrombocythemia) myelofibrosis.
Celgene has been in news for its impending merger with Bristol-Myers Squibb Company BMY. In January, Bristol-Myers had announced that it will acquire Celgene for approximately $74 billion. In April, the stockholders of Celgene voted in favor of the proposed merger.
Share Price Performance
Celgene’s stock has surged 63.4% in the year so far against a 2.8% decline for the industry.
Our proven model does not conclusively predict an earnings beat for Celgene this season. The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat. Unfortunately, that is not the case here, as you will see below. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they're reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.
Earnings ESP: Earnings ESP for Celgene is +3.06% as the Zacks Consensus Estimate is $2.73 and the Most Accurate Estimate is $2.81.
Zacks Rank: The company currently carries a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell).
Stocks to Consider
Here are some stocks you may want to consider, as our model shows that these have the right combination of elements to post an earnings beat this quarter.
Incyte Corporation INCY has an Earnings ESP of +1.15% and a Zacks Rank of 1. It is scheduled to release earnings on Oct 29. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
Vertex Pharmaceuticals VRTX has an Earnings ESP of +3.07% and a Zacks Rank of 1. The company is scheduled to release earnings on Oct 30.
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