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First Cash (FCFS) Hits Fresh Highs: Is There Still Room to Run?

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Have you been paying attention to shares of First Cash FCFS? Shares have been on the move with the stock up 8.7% over the past month. FCFS hit a new 52-week high of $91.85 in the previous session. First Cash has gained 35.5% since the start of the year compared to the -0.5% move for the Finance sector and the 2.1% year-to-date return for its peer group.

What's Driving the Outperformance?

The stock has a great record of positive earnings surprises, having beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate in each of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on April 26, 2018, First Cash reported EPS of $0.9 versus the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.75 while it beat the consensus revenue estimate by 0.82%.

For the current fiscal year, First Cash is expected to post earnings of $3.43 per share on $1.83 billion in revenues. This represents a 25.18% change in EPS on a 2.68% change in revenues. For the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $3.89 per share on $1.94 billion in revenues. This represents a year-over-year change of 13.56% and 6.21%, respectively.

Valuation Metrics

First Cash may be at a 52-week high right now, but what might the future hold for FCFS? A key aspect of this question is taking a look at valuation metrics in order to determine if the company is due for a pullback from this level.

On this front, we can look at the Zacks Style Scores, as these give investors a variety of ways to comb through stocks (beyond looking at the Zacks Rank of a security). These styles are represented by grades running from A to F in the categories of Value, Growth, and Momentum, while there is a combined VGM Score as well. The idea behind the style scores is to help investors pick the most appropriate Zacks Rank stocks based on their individual investment style.

First Cash has a Value Score of D. The stock's Growth and Momentum Scores are A and D, respectively, giving the company a VGM Score of B.

In terms of its value breakdown, the stock currently trades at 26.7X current fiscal year EPS estimates. On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock currently trades at 23X versus its peer group's average of 11.6X. Additionally, the stock has a PEG ratio of 1.33. This isn't enough to put the company in the top echelon of all stocks we cover from a value perspective.

First Cash, Inc. Price and Consensus


First Cash, Inc. Price and Consensus | First Cash, Inc. Quote

Zacks Rank

We also need to look at the Zacks Rank for the stock, as this supersedes any trend on the style score front. Fortunately, First Cash currently has a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy) thanks to rising earnings estimates.

Since we recommend that investors select stocks carrying Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 and Style Scores of A or B, it looks as if First Cash fits the bill. Thus, it seems as though FCFS shares could still be poised for more gains ahead.

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