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FirstService (FSV) Hits Fresh High: Is There Still Room to Run?

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Shares of FirstService (FSV) have been strong performers lately, with the stock up 6.2% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $185.23 in the previous session. FirstService has gained 35.2% since the start of the year compared to the 18.1% move for the Zacks Finance sector and the 2.7% return for the Zacks Real Estate - Operations industry.

What's Driving the Outperformance?

The stock has a great record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't missed our earnings consensus estimate in any of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on April 27, 2021, FirstService reported EPS of $0.66 versus consensus estimate of $0.5.

For the current fiscal year, FirstService is expected to post earnings of $3.86 per share on $3 billion in revenues. This represents a 11.56% change in EPS on an 8.35% change in revenues. For the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $4.3 per share on $3.2 billion in revenues. This represents a year-over-year change of 11.4% and 6.68%, respectively.

Valuation Metrics

FirstService may be at a 52-week high right now, but what might the future hold for the stock? A key aspect of this question is taking a look at valuation metrics in order to determine if the company is due for a pullback from this level.

On this front, we can look at the Zacks Style Scores, as they provide investors with an additional way to sort through stocks (beyond looking at the Zacks Rank of a security). These styles are represented by grades running from A to F in the categories of Value, Growth, and Momentum, while there is a combined VGM Score as well. Investors should consider the style scores a valuable tool that can help you to pick the most appropriate Zacks Rank stocks based on their individual investment style.

FirstService has a Value Score of D. The stock's Growth and Momentum Scores are A and D, respectively, giving the company a VGM Score of B.

In terms of its value breakdown, the stock currently trades at 47.9X current fiscal year EPS estimates. On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock currently trades at 43.4X versus its peer group's average of 12.7X. This isn't enough to put the company in the top echelon of all stocks we cover from a value perspective.

Zacks Rank

We also need to consider the stock's Zacks Rank, as this supersedes any trend on the style score front. Fortunately, FirstService currently has a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy) thanks to rising earnings estimates.

Since we recommend that investors select stocks carrying Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B, it looks as if FirstService meets the list of requirements. Thus, it seems as though FirstService shares could still be poised for more gains ahead.

How Does FirstService Stack Up to the Competition?

Shares of FirstService have been soaring, and the company still appears to be a decent choice, but what about the rest of the industry? Some of its industry peers are also solid potential picks, including Realogy Holdings (RLGY), Brookfield Asset Management (BAM), and CBRE Group (CBRE), all of which currently have a Zacks Rank of at least #2 and a VGM Score of at least B, making them well-rounded choices.

The Zacks Industry Rank is in the top 45% of all the industries we have in our universe, so it looks like there are some nice tailwinds for FirstService, even beyond its own solid fundamental situation.


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