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Forex: USD/CHF Technical Analysis – Breakout Confirmation Pending

Ilya Spivak

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Talking Points:

  • USD/CHF Technical Strategy: Flat
  • Support: 0.8806 (23.6% Fib ret.), 0.8770 (Wedge top)
  • Resistance: 0.8873 (38.2% Fib ret.), 0.8927 (50% Fib ret.)

The US Dollar began to recover against the Swiss Francas expected, seeming completing a Falling Wedge chart formation. Near-term resistance is now at 0.8873, 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, with a break above that targeting the 50% level at 0.8927. Alternatively, slipping back below the 23.6% Fib at 0.8806 would expose the Wedge top at 0.8770.

An alternate interpretation of current technical positioning leaves open the possibility that a Falling Channel is the dominant pattern in play rather than the Rising Wedge setup. The possibility of such a scenario makes us leery to enter long for the time being and we will continue to wait on the sidelines for greater confirmation to materialize.

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dailyclassics_usd-chf_body_Picture_11.png, Forex: USD/CHF Technical Analysis – Breakout Confirmation Pending

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

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