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Is Fortune Brands Home & Security, Inc. (NYSE:FBHS) Potentially Undervalued?

Simply Wall St

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Fortune Brands Home & Security, Inc. (NYSE:FBHS), which is in the building business, and is based in United States, received a lot of attention from a substantial price increase on the NYSE over the last few months. As a mid-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Today I will analyse the most recent data on Fortune Brands Home & Security’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

View our latest analysis for Fortune Brands Home & Security

What's the opportunity in Fortune Brands Home & Security?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my valuation model. It’s trading around 1.36% above my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Fortune Brands Home & Security today, you’d be paying a relatively fair price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is $56.67, there’s only an insignificant downside when the price falls to its real value. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Fortune Brands Home & Security’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What kind of growth will Fortune Brands Home & Security generate?

NYSE:FBHS Past and Future Earnings, July 2nd 2019

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Fortune Brands Home & Security’s earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 54%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in FBHS’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on FBHS, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Fortune Brands Home & Security. You can find everything you need to know about Fortune Brands Home & Security in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Fortune Brands Home & Security, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.